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23056 Aspen Ave Multi-family
C Composite 56.37
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.7/30.0
  • DSCR +8.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.3/15.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +1.3/10.0

$750,000

23056 Aspen Ave · Warrens, WI 54666
None bd · None ba · 15,000 sqft · MultiFamily · 19 Days on market
Built 2000 1.74 ac lot $50/sqft · at area comps Est $715k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

This exceptional 15,000 sq ft property is ideally located right off the Warrens exit, next to Jellystone Park Warrens. Sitting on 1.74 acres, the building offers a unique investment opportunity with 42 temperature-controlled storage units in a variety of sizes. In addition, the property features 7 well-maintained apartments with their own secure entrance, including both 1-bedroom and 2-bedroom units. With strong income potential and a prime, high-traffic location near a popular destination, this versatile property is perfect for investors looking to expand their portfolio.

Key facts

  • Secure entrance
  • 1.74 acre lot
  • Built 2000

Tags

SECURE ENTRANCEHIGH TRAFFIC LOCATIONINVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a multifamily listed at $750k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $750k).
  • Recommended offer: $739k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#465 in WI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Tomah Area School District (town): math 27% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #293 of 342 in WI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 93 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $22k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($739k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $738,750 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
8.80%
Cash-on-cash
8.96%
DSCR
1.40
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$715,000
List price
$750,000
Delta
4.90%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
23056 Aspen Ave 0.00mi —/— 15,000 (0%) 0mo $715,000 $48 100

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.7%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-21,570
Equity at exit
$111,827
10-year hold
IRR
7.0%
Equity multiple
1.53×
Total profit
$110,292
Equity at exit
$64,846

Cash invested: $210,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 54666

Home prices YoY
-4.0%
Active inventory
34
Price-to-rent
54.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$8,545 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,933
Tax est. 1.5%
$938 /mo · $11,250/yr
Insurance
$312
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,794
Net cashflow
$1,567

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,561
Max offer price $750,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $2,086 -5% $1,827 +0% $1,567 +5% $1,308 +10% $1,049
Rent -10% $892 -5% $1,230 +0% $1,567 +5% $1,905 +10% $2,243
Rate -1.0pp $1,945 -0.5pp $1,758 base $1,567 +0.5pp $1,373 +1.0pp $1,175

7-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (7 units) $8,545

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$187,500
Closing costs
$22,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    status Pending 579-char remark
    Show marketing remark (579 chars)

    This exceptional 15,000 sq ft property is ideally located right off the Warrens exit, next to Jellystone Park Warrens. Sitting on 1.74 acres, the building offers a unique investment opportunity with 42 temperature-controlled storage units in a variety of sizes. In addition, the property features 7 well-maintained apartments with their own secure entrance, including both 1-bedroom and 2-bedroom units. With strong income potential and a prime, high-traffic location near a popular destination, this versatile property is perfect for investors looking to expand their portfolio.

  2. 2026-04-15
    listed $750,000 Active 579-char remark
    Show marketing remark (579 chars)

    This exceptional 15,000 sq ft property is ideally located right off the Warrens exit, next to Jellystone Park Warrens. Sitting on 1.74 acres, the building offers a unique investment opportunity with 42 temperature-controlled storage units in a variety of sizes. In addition, the property features 7 well-maintained apartments with their own secure entrance, including both 1-bedroom and 2-bedroom units. With strong income potential and a prime, high-traffic location near a popular destination, this versatile property is perfect for investors looking to expand their portfolio.

  3. 2024-03-14
    historical $995
  4. 2024-02-04
    listed $995
  5. 2023-08-29
    historical
  6. 2023-08-12
    listed
  7. 2023-07-19
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$102,540
− Mortgage interest
−$42,012
− Property taxes
−$11,250
− Insurance
−$3,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$8,203
− Management
−$8,203
− Depreciation
−$21,818
Taxable income
$7,304
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,753
After-tax cash flow
$17,057/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tomah Area School District
NCES district ID
5514910
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$50,063
Composite
24.14/100
National rank
#7747
State rank
#293 of 342 in WI

Livability — Warrens

Score
66/100
State rank
#465
US rank
#11843

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Warrens, WI
Population (ZIP)
2,623

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,682 people
By 2030
45,187 · -1.1%
By 2040
43,768 · -4.2%
By 2050
41,596 · -8.9%
By 2075
35,555 · -22.2%
By 2100
28,278 · -38.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 8% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Strong R (+26.1) · D 36.3% · R 62.5% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-34.1pp toward R · 2008: 8.0pp · 2024: -26.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+26.1 2020: R+23.6 2016: R+22.5 2012: R+0.7 2008: D+8.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -7.47%
Current HPI
177.84
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Pending METROMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $750,000 METROMLS
  • 2024-03-14 Rental Removed $995 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-02-04 Listed for Rent $995 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-08-29 Rental Removed APPFOLIO
  • 2023-08-12 Listed for Rent APPFOLIO
  • 2023-07-19 Rental Removed APPFOLIO

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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