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699 Lake Marion Golf Resort
D- Composite 39.59
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +8.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.3/10.0

$139,000

699 Lake Marion Golf Resort · Poinciana, FL 34759
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 784 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 56 Days on market
Built 2001 1,973 sqft lot $352/mo HOA · 24% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

LIVE WALK THROUGH VIDEO WITH LISTING!! You will enjoy resort style living year-round with this beautiful, FULLY-FURNISHED, 2 bedroom, 2 bath SINGLE FAMILY HOME in the gorgeous GATED resort community of Lake Marion Golf Resort with 24 hour virtually secured gates. Whether you are looking for a vacation rental or primary residence, this single floor unit is perfectly located within 100 feet of the clubhouse and amenities and also includes 3 driveways, one shared with a second unit. The kitchen is fully equipped with major appliances, solid surface countertops, breakfast bar, everything necessary to complete your stay, along with a separate dining room and living area. Home features a large master suite and bathroom with double door closet and on the other side a guest bedroom & bath featuring twin beds and double door stocked closet with many items such as tools and much more! The communities many features are COMMUNITY CLUBHOUSE WITH POOL & SPA PLUS A SECOND HEATED POOL, KIDDIE POOL, FITNESS ROOM, FUN GAMES, MEETING SPACE IN CLUBHOUSE, BASKETBALL & TENNIS COURTS, PICNIC AREA, PRIVATE DOCK, FISHING AND PET FRIENDLY!! HOA FEE INCLUDES; CABLE TV, INTERNET, COMMUNITY POOL, MAINTENANCE EXTERIOR, EXTERIOR PAINTED EVERY 8 YEARS, MAINTENANCE GROUNDS, MANAGER, PRIVATE ROAD, RECREATIONAL FACILITIES! This home is ready for you! Schedule your appointment to see for yourself!!

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Tennis courts
  • Quiet location

Tags

GATED COMMUNITYCOMMUNITY POOLSTENNIS COURTSSHUFFLEBOARDPRIVATE ACCESS TO LAKE MARIONQUIET LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: No lease restrictions indicated; Unfurnished
  • Financial info: Total monthly fees listed as $352 (total annual fees $4,224)
  • HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee of $149 (additional association fee $173 monthly listed); Buyer approval required; Association recreation-owned; Clubhouse; Community mailbox; Deed restrictions; Dog park; Fitness center; Golf carts allowed; Playground; Pool; Sidewalks; Tennis courts; Pets allowed with breed restrictions and number limit

Exterior

  • Parking: Asphalt road access
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Residential villa; One story; Northeast facing
  • Construction: Block construction; Tile roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built on one level
  • Exterior features: Dog run; Exterior lighting; Playground; Sidewalk; Sliding doors

Interior

  • Kitchen: Convection oven; Dishwasher; Disposal; Indoor grill; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Kitchen/family room combo; Living room/dining room combo; Open floorplan
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Indoor laundry (laundry closet)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-127 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $117k (16.1% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $139k).
  • Recommended offer: $117k (16.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 4.3% in Poinciana — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#859 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Laurel Elementary School (math 26% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,882 of 2,144 statewide, top 88%, 1,058 students, 50% FRL); Haines City Senior High School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #544 of 667 statewide, top 82%, 2,700 students, 58% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 41% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Polk average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 1151 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.5%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $116,639 (16.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
5.20%
Cash-on-cash
-3.90%
DSCR
0.83
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.48% appreciation · 1.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.3%
Equity multiple
0.38×
Total profit
$-23,991
Equity at exit
$30,388
10-year hold
IRR
-11.1%
Equity multiple
0.16×
Total profit
$-32,762
Equity at exit
$29,286

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34759

Home prices YoY
-0.5%
Rents YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
1151
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,478 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$729
Tax from tax record
$155 /mo · $1,865/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$352
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$310
Net cashflow
$-127

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,638
Max offer price $116,639
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-48 -5% $-87 +0% $-127 +5% $-166 +10% $-205
Rent -10% $-243 -5% $-185 +0% $-127 +5% $-68 +10% $-10
Rate -1.0pp $-57 -0.5pp $-91 base $-127 +0.5pp $-163 +1.0pp $-199

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,750
Closing costs
$4,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1202 Lake Marion Golf Resort #1202 Poinciana, FL 2.0 2.0 981 $1,200 $1.22 24d 1 0.15mi
6101 Lake Marion Golf Resort Poinciana, FL 2.0 2.0 981 $1,229 $1.25 24d 1 0.21mi
341 Port Pleasant Dr Unit 341 Poinciana, FL 2.0 2.0 812 $1,450 $1.79 24d 1 0.25mi
1786 Coriander Dr Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,600 $1.52 4d 1 0.64mi
1782 Coriander Dr Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,600 $1.52 4d 1 0.65mi
1764 Coriander Dr Kissimmee, FL 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,390 $1.32 3d 1 0.66mi
1769 Coriander Dr Kissimmee, FL 2.0 2.0 784 $1,299 $1.66 24d 1 0.69mi
1560 Cumin Dr Kissimmee, FL 2.0 2.0 923 $1,395 $1.51 24d 1 0.72mi
1631 Cumin Dr Kissimmee, FL 2.0 2.0 1055 $1,500 $1.42 24d 1 0.72mi
1631 Cumin Dr Kissimmee, FL 2.0 2.0 1055 $1,500 $1.42 4d 1 0.72mi
1601 Cumin Dr Kissimmee, FL 2.0 2.0 923 $1,550 $1.68 11d 1 0.74mi
1563 Cumin Dr Kissimmee, FL 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,400 $1.33 15d 1 0.74mi
106 Herring Ln Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1062 $1,575 $1.48 3d 1 1.26mi
12 Herring Ct Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1055 $1,613 $1.53 24d 1 1.38mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$352 · $4,224/yr
Likely covers
internetcablelandscapingpoolsecurity

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,000 Active 56 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,000 Active 55 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,000 Active 54 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,000 Active 53 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,000 Active 51 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $139,000 Active 48 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,000 Active 47 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,000 Active 46 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,000 Active 45 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $139,000 Active 42 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,000 Active 41 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,000 Active 40 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,000 Active 39 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,000 Active 38 DOM
  15. 2026-04-23
    listed $139,000 Active
  16. 2026-02-13
    historical
  17. 2026-01-13
    status Active
  18. 2026-01-11
    historical
  19. 2025-11-13
    price $139,900
  20. 2025-10-10
    price $148,000
  21. 2025-07-11
    listed $152,500 Active
  22. 2022-03-22
    soldstatus $140,000
  23. 2022-03-11
    soldstatus $140,000 Closed 1403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1403 chars)

    LIVE WALK THROUGH VIDEO WITH LISTING!! You will enjoy resort style living year-round with this beautiful, FULLY-FURNISHED, 2 bedroom, 2 bath SINGLE FAMILY HOME in the gorgeous GATED resort community of Lake Marion Golf Resort with 24 hour virtually secured gates. Whether you are looking for a vacation rental or primary residence, this single floor unit is perfectly located within 100 feet of the clubhouse and amenities and also includes 3 driveways, one shared with a second unit. The kitchen is fully equipped with major appliances, solid surface countertops, breakfast bar, everything necessary to complete your stay, along with a separate dining room and living area. Home features a large master suite and bathroom with double door closet and on the other side a guest bedroom & bath featuring twin beds and double door stocked closet with many items such as tools and much more! The communities many features are COMMUNITY CLUBHOUSE WITH POOL & SPA PLUS A SECOND HEATED POOL, KIDDIE POOL, FITNESS ROOM, FUN GAMES, MEETING SPACE IN CLUBHOUSE, BASKETBALL & TENNIS COURTS, PICNIC AREA, PRIVATE DOCK, FISHING AND PET FRIENDLY!! HOA FEE INCLUDES; CABLE TV, INTERNET, COMMUNITY POOL, MAINTENANCE EXTERIOR, EXTERIOR PAINTED EVERY 8 YEARS, MAINTENANCE GROUNDS, MANAGER, PRIVATE ROAD, RECREATIONAL FACILITIES! This home is ready for you! Schedule your appointment to see for yourself!!

  24. 2022-02-06
    status Pending 1403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1403 chars)

    LIVE WALK THROUGH VIDEO WITH LISTING!! You will enjoy resort style living year-round with this beautiful, FULLY-FURNISHED, 2 bedroom, 2 bath SINGLE FAMILY HOME in the gorgeous GATED resort community of Lake Marion Golf Resort with 24 hour virtually secured gates. Whether you are looking for a vacation rental or primary residence, this single floor unit is perfectly located within 100 feet of the clubhouse and amenities and also includes 3 driveways, one shared with a second unit. The kitchen is fully equipped with major appliances, solid surface countertops, breakfast bar, everything necessary to complete your stay, along with a separate dining room and living area. Home features a large master suite and bathroom with double door closet and on the other side a guest bedroom & bath featuring twin beds and double door stocked closet with many items such as tools and much more! The communities many features are COMMUNITY CLUBHOUSE WITH POOL & SPA PLUS A SECOND HEATED POOL, KIDDIE POOL, FITNESS ROOM, FUN GAMES, MEETING SPACE IN CLUBHOUSE, BASKETBALL & TENNIS COURTS, PICNIC AREA, PRIVATE DOCK, FISHING AND PET FRIENDLY!! HOA FEE INCLUDES; CABLE TV, INTERNET, COMMUNITY POOL, MAINTENANCE EXTERIOR, EXTERIOR PAINTED EVERY 8 YEARS, MAINTENANCE GROUNDS, MANAGER, PRIVATE ROAD, RECREATIONAL FACILITIES! This home is ready for you! Schedule your appointment to see for yourself!!

  25. 2022-02-03
    status Active 1403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1403 chars)

    LIVE WALK THROUGH VIDEO WITH LISTING!! You will enjoy resort style living year-round with this beautiful, FULLY-FURNISHED, 2 bedroom, 2 bath SINGLE FAMILY HOME in the gorgeous GATED resort community of Lake Marion Golf Resort with 24 hour virtually secured gates. Whether you are looking for a vacation rental or primary residence, this single floor unit is perfectly located within 100 feet of the clubhouse and amenities and also includes 3 driveways, one shared with a second unit. The kitchen is fully equipped with major appliances, solid surface countertops, breakfast bar, everything necessary to complete your stay, along with a separate dining room and living area. Home features a large master suite and bathroom with double door closet and on the other side a guest bedroom & bath featuring twin beds and double door stocked closet with many items such as tools and much more! The communities many features are COMMUNITY CLUBHOUSE WITH POOL & SPA PLUS A SECOND HEATED POOL, KIDDIE POOL, FITNESS ROOM, FUN GAMES, MEETING SPACE IN CLUBHOUSE, BASKETBALL & TENNIS COURTS, PICNIC AREA, PRIVATE DOCK, FISHING AND PET FRIENDLY!! HOA FEE INCLUDES; CABLE TV, INTERNET, COMMUNITY POOL, MAINTENANCE EXTERIOR, EXTERIOR PAINTED EVERY 8 YEARS, MAINTENANCE GROUNDS, MANAGER, PRIVATE ROAD, RECREATIONAL FACILITIES! This home is ready for you! Schedule your appointment to see for yourself!!

  26. 2022-02-03
    historical 1403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1403 chars)

    LIVE WALK THROUGH VIDEO WITH LISTING!! You will enjoy resort style living year-round with this beautiful, FULLY-FURNISHED, 2 bedroom, 2 bath SINGLE FAMILY HOME in the gorgeous GATED resort community of Lake Marion Golf Resort with 24 hour virtually secured gates. Whether you are looking for a vacation rental or primary residence, this single floor unit is perfectly located within 100 feet of the clubhouse and amenities and also includes 3 driveways, one shared with a second unit. The kitchen is fully equipped with major appliances, solid surface countertops, breakfast bar, everything necessary to complete your stay, along with a separate dining room and living area. Home features a large master suite and bathroom with double door closet and on the other side a guest bedroom & bath featuring twin beds and double door stocked closet with many items such as tools and much more! The communities many features are COMMUNITY CLUBHOUSE WITH POOL & SPA PLUS A SECOND HEATED POOL, KIDDIE POOL, FITNESS ROOM, FUN GAMES, MEETING SPACE IN CLUBHOUSE, BASKETBALL & TENNIS COURTS, PICNIC AREA, PRIVATE DOCK, FISHING AND PET FRIENDLY!! HOA FEE INCLUDES; CABLE TV, INTERNET, COMMUNITY POOL, MAINTENANCE EXTERIOR, EXTERIOR PAINTED EVERY 8 YEARS, MAINTENANCE GROUNDS, MANAGER, PRIVATE ROAD, RECREATIONAL FACILITIES! This home is ready for you! Schedule your appointment to see for yourself!!

  27. 2022-02-03
    listed $145,000 1403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1403 chars)

    LIVE WALK THROUGH VIDEO WITH LISTING!! You will enjoy resort style living year-round with this beautiful, FULLY-FURNISHED, 2 bedroom, 2 bath SINGLE FAMILY HOME in the gorgeous GATED resort community of Lake Marion Golf Resort with 24 hour virtually secured gates. Whether you are looking for a vacation rental or primary residence, this single floor unit is perfectly located within 100 feet of the clubhouse and amenities and also includes 3 driveways, one shared with a second unit. The kitchen is fully equipped with major appliances, solid surface countertops, breakfast bar, everything necessary to complete your stay, along with a separate dining room and living area. Home features a large master suite and bathroom with double door closet and on the other side a guest bedroom & bath featuring twin beds and double door stocked closet with many items such as tools and much more! The communities many features are COMMUNITY CLUBHOUSE WITH POOL & SPA PLUS A SECOND HEATED POOL, KIDDIE POOL, FITNESS ROOM, FUN GAMES, MEETING SPACE IN CLUBHOUSE, BASKETBALL & TENNIS COURTS, PICNIC AREA, PRIVATE DOCK, FISHING AND PET FRIENDLY!! HOA FEE INCLUDES; CABLE TV, INTERNET, COMMUNITY POOL, MAINTENANCE EXTERIOR, EXTERIOR PAINTED EVERY 8 YEARS, MAINTENANCE GROUNDS, MANAGER, PRIVATE ROAD, RECREATIONAL FACILITIES! This home is ready for you! Schedule your appointment to see for yourself!!

  28. 2011-02-24
    soldstatus $29,900
  29. 2011-01-04
    listed $29,500
  30. 2007-06-29
    soldstatus $123,000
  31. 2007-06-18
    soldstatus $123,000
  32. 2006-08-04
    listed $125,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,865 · $155/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,865 · $155/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,737
− Mortgage interest
−$7,786
− Property taxes
−$1,865
− Insurance
−$695
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,419
− Management
−$1,419
− HOA
−$4,224
− Depreciation
−$4,044
Taxable loss
−$3,715
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$892
After-tax cash flow
$-627/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Polk
NCES district ID
1201590
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,979
Composite
34.74/100
National rank
#5132
State rank
#62 of 73 in FL

Livability — Poinciana

Score
57/100
State rank
#859
US rank
#21760

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Poinciana, FL
County
Polk County · 740,051 people
City population
91,336
Metro
Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
Population (ZIP)
44,568
Household income
$69,373
Rent vs Own
20.4% rent · 79.6% own
Severe rent burden
1186.0

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
752,975 people
By 2030
804,621 · +6.9%
By 2040
906,117 · +20.3%
By 2050
1,000,476 · +32.9%
By 2075
1,197,520 · +59.0%
By 2100
1,271,518 · +68.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 55% White 21% Two or more races 20% Black 19%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 38% Cuban 6% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 3% Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
49% English-only · Spanish 48% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.48%
Current HPI
276.6861
Rent YoY
▲ 1.14%
Metro
Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+11.2% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $139,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-13 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-13 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-11 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-13 Price Changed $139,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-10 Price Changed $148,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-11 Listed $152,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-22 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
  • 2022-03-11 Sold (MLS) $140,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-02-06 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-02-03 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-02-03 Listed $145,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-02-03 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-02-24 Sold (MLS) $29,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-01-04 Listed $29,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $123,000 Public Records
  • 2007-06-18 Sold (MLS) $123,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-08-04 Listed $125,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+12.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,865 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…