56254 29 Palms Hwy #100 · Yucca Valley, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.6/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$32,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming single wide mobile home located in Apache Mobile Home Park! This cozy home features 2 bedrooms and 1 bath, situated on a desirable corner lot. Enjoy the fresh feel of new flooring throughout and a comfortable layout perfect for easy living. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and local amenities — a great place to call home!
Key facts
- New flooring
- Corner lot
- Conveniently located
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $32k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $877 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $32k).
- Recommended offer: $29k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 38.7% vs local median 3.6% in Yucca Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#566 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, schools F, crime D-.
- Morongo Unified (town): math 15% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #395 of 517 in CA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 563 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $225 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $975 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 234 days — a 12% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 234 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 38.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 115.67%
- DSCR
- 6.15
- GRM
- 1.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $35,728
- List price
- $32,500
- Delta
- -9.03%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56254 29 Palms Hwy #120 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 720 (0%) | 1mo | $32,000 | $44 | 94 |
| 56254 29 Palms Hwy #38 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 780 (+8%) | 0mo | $50,000 | $64 | 81 |
| 56254-29 Palms #59 | 0.07mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 672 (-7%) | 11mo | $30,000 | $45 | 72 |
| 56254 29 Palms Hwy #66 | 0.27mi | 2/2.0 | 720 (0%) | 16mo | $47,500 | $66 | 70 |
| 56254 29 Palms Hwy #41 | 0.27mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 672 (-7%) | 13mo | $37,000 | $55 | 60 |
| 7425 Church St #59 | 0.56mi | 2/1.5 | 780 (+8%) | 4mo | $25,000 | $32 | 55 |
| 7425 Church St #43 | 0.52mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 728 (+1%) | 18mo | $24,500 | $34 | 54 |
| 7425 Church St #58 | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (-3%) | 20mo | $33,000 | $47 | 52 |
| 7425 Church St #97 | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 | 800 (+11%) | 12mo | $41,500 | $52 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.74×
- Total profit
- $52,210
- Equity at exit
- $4,846
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 14.64×
- Total profit
- $124,157
- Equity at exit
- $2,810
Cash invested: $9,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92284
- Home prices YoY
- -33.1%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 563
- Price-to-rent
- 1.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,395 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$170
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$41 /mo · $488/yr
- Insurance
- −$14
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$293
- Net cashflow
- $877
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,125
- Closing costs
- $975
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7389 Cibola Trl Unit B Yucca Valley, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 15d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 7239 Cherokee Trl Yucca Valley, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,429 | $2.60 | 2d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 7434 Cherokee Trl Unit D Yucca Valley, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 608 | $1,100 | $1.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 7330 Dumosa Ave Unit 7330 Yucca Valley, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,195 | $1.59 | 3d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $32,500 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $32,500 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $32,500 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $32,500 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $32,500 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $32,500 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $32,500 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $32,500 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $32,500 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $32,500 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $32,500 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $32,500 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $32,500 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $32,500 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-04-02price $32,500 349-char remark
Show marketing remark (349 chars)
Charming single wide mobile home located in Apache Mobile Home Park! This cozy home features 2 bedrooms and 1 bath, situated on a desirable corner lot. Enjoy the fresh feel of new flooring throughout and a comfortable layout perfect for easy living. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and local amenities — a great place to call home!
-
2026-03-06price $42,500 349-char remark
Show marketing remark (349 chars)
Charming single wide mobile home located in Apache Mobile Home Park! This cozy home features 2 bedrooms and 1 bath, situated on a desirable corner lot. Enjoy the fresh feel of new flooring throughout and a comfortable layout perfect for easy living. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and local amenities — a great place to call home!
-
2025-10-27$55,000 Active 349-char remark
Show marketing remark (349 chars)
Charming single wide mobile home located in Apache Mobile Home Park! This cozy home features 2 bedrooms and 1 bath, situated on a desirable corner lot. Enjoy the fresh feel of new flooring throughout and a comfortable layout perfect for easy living. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and local amenities — a great place to call home!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 17 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,735
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,821
- − Property taxes
- −$488
- − Insurance
- −$162
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,339
- − Management
- −$1,339
- − Depreciation
- −$945
- Taxable income
- $10,642
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,554
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,972/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This single-wide mobile home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its value. Key areas for improvement include the kitchen, bathroom, and exterior siding.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of replacement
- Moderate bathroom vanity — dated and in need of replacement
- Moderate exterior siding — moderate wear
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal
- Resale replace kitchen cabinets — new cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics
- Resale replace bathroom vanity — new vanity enhances functionality and aesthetics
- Resale repair exterior siding — new siding improves curb appeal and durability
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom vanity · dated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| exterior siding · moderate wear | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $9,000–45,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale replace kitchen cabinets — new cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Resale replace bathroom vanity — new vanity enhances functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Resale repair exterior siding — new siding improves curb appeal and durability ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Morongo Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0625860
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,399
- Composite
- 22.19/100
- National rank
- #8156
- State rank
- #395 of 517 in CA
Livability — Yucca Valley
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #566
- US rank
- #18584
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Yucca Valley, CA
- County
- San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
- City population
- 25,415
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,415
- Household income
- $58,373
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1132.0
Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,300,329 people
- By 2030
- 2,378,907 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 2,523,137 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 2,642,388 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 2,880,769 · +25.2%
- By 2100
- 2,909,436 · +26.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 18% Black 2% Native American 2% Asian 2% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -241.13%
- Current HPI
- 486.7185
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.12%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-40.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $32,500 CRMLS
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $42,500 CRMLS
- 2025-10-27 Listed $55,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…