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1051 Site #283
D+ Composite 46.76
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.3/30.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$389,000

1051 Site #283 · Brea, CA 92821
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,700 sqft · Manufactured · 14 Days on market
Built 2008 32 ac lot Est $284k · 37% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Gorgeous Silvercrest for sale at The Crestmont Estates all age manufactured home community in Brea! This beautiful and highly upgraded home offers 3 large bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. There is a great wrap around porch and 1 car garage with a private drive way that can accommodate another 3 cars. The home is highly upgraded including bamboo and tile flooring, real marble countertops, ceiling height backsplash in kitchen, fully tiled walls in showers as well as a walk in jetted tub in master bath!

Key facts

  • 32.47 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Mobile home remains on site; Mobile dimensions approx. 30' x 61'
  • Financial info: Land lease of $1,830 monthly
  • HOA & community: Community pool; Curbs in neighborhood; Park name: Crestmont; Manager approval required for move-in

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage (1 space); Total 1 parking space; Has parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
  • Home design: Craftsman model; Single-story; Entry at main level
  • Construction: Hardboard and fiber cement siding; Cellulose insulation
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Wrap-around porch; Brick accents; Porch; Community pool; Close to clubhouse

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen island; Granite counters; Microwave; Ice maker; Gas range; Gas oven
  • Bedrooms: All bedrooms on main floor; Main floor primary bedroom; Primary bathroom; Walk-in closet
  • Flooring: Tile; Bamboo
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Double sinks; Jetted tub; Bathtub and separate shower
  • Heating & cooling: Central cooling; Central furnace heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan; Cathedral/vaulted ceilings; Granite counters; Double pane windows; Blinds; Main-floor entry (Main); Single-level home
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room; Washer included; Dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $389k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $572 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $360k (7.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $360k (7.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 2.1% in Brea — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#100 in CA, #3,570 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, schools A-; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living F.
  • Brea-Olinda Unified (suburban): math 48% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #84 of 517 in CA (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 63 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($124k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask is 8% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $359,883 (7.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
8.06%
Cash-on-cash
6.30%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$283,900
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1051 Site Dr #227 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,664 (-2%) 8mo $252,000 $151 90
1051 Site Dr #109 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,738 (+2%) 14mo $280,000 $161 85
1051 Site Dr #51 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,620 (-5%) 11mo $270,000 $167 83
1051 Site Dr #15 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,620 (-5%) 15mo $325,000 $201 80
1051 Site Dr #265 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,624 (-4%) 16mo $315,000 $194 80
1051 Site Dr #31 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,680 (-1%) 23mo $230,000 $137 79
1051 Site Dr #288 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,600 (-6%) 24mo $300,000 $188 70
1051 N Site Dr #168 0.00mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,926 (+13%) 14mo $269,000 $140 61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.78% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.9%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-31,168
Equity at exit
$58,001
10-year hold
IRR
0.2%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$1,478
Equity at exit
$33,634

Cash invested: $108,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92821

Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
63
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,599 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,040
Tax from tax record
$69 /mo · $828/yr
Insurance
$162
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$756
Net cashflow
$572

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,875
Max offer price $389,000
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$97,250
Closing costs
$11,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
350 W Central Ave Brea, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1024 $4,210 $4.11 1d 8 0.42mi
730 Brooklyn Dr Brea, CA 2.0 2.5 1210 $3,400 $2.81 24d 1 0.45mi
250 W Central Ave Brea, CA 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,930 $2.66 17d 2 0.52mi
319 W Lambert Rd Brea, CA 2.0 2.0 1120 $3,333 $2.98 4d 9 0.78mi
308 Mountain Ct Brea, CA 3.0 2.0 1730 $3,550 $2.05 43d 1 0.95mi
1511 Kinsler Ct Brea, CA 3.0 2.5 1605 $4,095 $2.55 15d 1 0.98mi
369 Meadow Ct Brea, CA 3.0 2.0 1281 $3,450 $2.69 43d 1 1.11mi
1913 Lotus Pl Brea, CA 4.0 2.0 1627 $4,100 $2.52 1d 1 1.30mi
141 N Fonda St Unit 1 La Habra, CA 3.0 2.5 1300 $3,400 $2.62 10d 1 1.42mi
201 Laurel Ave #7 Brea, CA 2.0 2.5 1218 $3,450 $2.83 43d 1 1.43mi
1500 Eastpark Dr Unit 3 La Habra, CA 2.0 1.5 1286 $2,500 $1.94 1d 1 1.44mi
209 S Fonda St La Habra, CA 2.0 2.0 1200 $3,500 $2.92 1d 1 1.45mi
331 Pomelo Ave Brea, CA 3.0 2.0 1538 $4,200 $2.73 43d 1 1.46mi
242 S Redwood Ave Unit C Brea, CA 3.0 2.5 1590 $3,995 $2.51 7d 1 1.48mi
664 Olive Ave Brea, CA 4.0 2.0 1472 $4,500 $3.06 6d 1 1.49mi
628 E Birch St Unit D Brea, CA 2.0 1.5 1104 $2,850 $2.58 13d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $389,000 Coming Soon 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $389,000 Coming Soon 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $389,000 Coming Soon 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $389,000 Coming Soon 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $389,000 Coming Soon 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $389,000 Coming Soon 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $389,000 Coming Soon 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $389,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    remarks 681-char remark
  10. 2026-06-07
    listed $389,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$828 · $69/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,956 · $246/mo
Expected delta
+$2,129/yr (+$177/mo · 257.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$43,186
− Mortgage interest
−$21,790
− Property taxes
−$828
− Insurance
−$1,945
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,455
− Management
−$3,455
− Depreciation
−$11,316
Taxable income
$397
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$95
After-tax cash flow
$6,769/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brea-Olinda Unified
NCES district ID
0605880
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$83,131
Composite
51.28/100
National rank
#1748
State rank
#84 of 517 in CA

Livability — Brea

Score
76/100
State rank
#100
US rank
#3570

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A- Cost of living F Crime C Employment A+ Housing C Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Brea, CA
County
Orange County · 3,096,323 people
City population
41,623
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
41,623
Household income
$123,629
Rent vs Own
42.5% rent · 57.5% own
Severe rent burden
1655.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,477,456 people
By 2030
3,613,117 · +3.9%
By 2040
3,835,945 · +10.3%
By 2050
3,968,736 · +14.1%
By 2075
4,097,053 · +17.8%
By 2100
3,903,633 · +12.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 38% Hispanic / Latino 32% Asian 24% Two or more races 14% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 27%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
23% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
66% English-only · Spanish 16% Korean 6% Chinese 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -826.78%
Current HPI
374.8663
Rent YoY
▲ 1.78%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+8.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Coming Soon $389,000 CRMLS
  • 2022-05-31 Sold (MLS) $369,000 CRMLS
  • 2022-05-23 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2022-05-01 Pending CRMLS
  • 2022-04-21 Listed $359,000 CRMLS

Property tax history

-3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $828 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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