CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1707 258th Pl
D Composite 43.92
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.7/30.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.4/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$314,700

1707 258th Pl · Ocean Park, WA 98640
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 768 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 90 Days on market
Built 1920 10,019 sqft lot $410/sqft · 14% above area Est $277k · 14% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

I am an adorable two bedroom beach cottage in Ocean Park. I sit on a 100 x 100 lot and have a newer septic system. I need some TLC because of deferred maintenance, so roll up your sleeves and make me shine! I am within walking distance to Jack's, Sentry Market, the post office and restaurants. Call your broker today to take a look at me!

Key facts

  • Two decks
  • Beach access
  • Seaside community

Tags

BEACH ACCESSQUARTER-ACRE LOTTWO DECKSDETACHED GARAGESEASIDE COMMUNITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $315k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $371 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $290k (7.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $290k (7.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.2% in Ocean Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#216 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: commute D+, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Ocean Beach School District (rural): math 34% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #212 of 291 in WA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Ocean Park Elementary (196 students, 76% FRL); Hilltop Elementary School (236 students, 70% FRL); Ilwaco High School (296 students, 64% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 320 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 90 units permitted in Pacific County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pacific County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $170k; list at $315k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $290,000 (7.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.71%
Cash-on-cash
5.06%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$276,953
List price
$314,700
Delta
13.63%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1702 Bay Ave 0.12mi 2/1.0 736 (-4%) 4mo $378,610 $514 84
26206 R St 0.21mi 1/1.0 (-1) 730 (-5%) 5mo $131,000 $179 73
1310 260TH Pl 0.18mi 2/1.0 830 (+8%) 14mo $348,000 $419 67
1307 262nd Pl 0.27mi 2/1.0 840 (+9%) 7mo $208,000 $248 66
24402 P St 0.73mi 2/1.0 806 (+5%) 2mo $230,000 $285 56
1412 253rd Pl 0.29mi 2/1.0 832 (+8%) 22mo $90,000 $108 54
1512 270th Pl 0.58mi 2/1.0 864 (+12%) 5mo $215,000 $249 48
27005 Park Ave 0.65mi 2/1.0 792 (+3%) 23mo $50,000 $63 45
24402 U St 0.75mi 2/1.0 864 (+12%) 8mo $150,000 $174 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.5%
Equity multiple
0.69×
Total profit
$-27,455
Equity at exit
$46,923
10-year hold
IRR
1.0%
Equity multiple
1.07×
Total profit
$6,090
Equity at exit
$27,210

Cash invested: $88,116 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98640

Home prices YoY
-26.7%
Active inventory
320
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,900 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,650
Tax from tax record
$138 /mo · $1,658/yr
Insurance
$131
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$609
Net cashflow
$371

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,430
Max offer price $314,700
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $550 -5% $460 +0% $371 +5% $282 +10% $193
Rent -10% $142 -5% $257 +0% $371 +5% $486 +10% $600
Rate -1.0pp $530 -0.5pp $451 base $371 +0.5pp $290 +1.0pp $207

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$78,675
Closing costs
$9,441
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
24904 J Pl Ocean Park, WA 2.0 1.0 900 $2,900 $3.22 45d 1 0.52mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $314,700 Active 90 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $314,700 Active 89 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $314,700 Active 87 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $314,700 Active 86 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $314,700 Active 85 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $314,700 Active 84 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $314,700 Active 83 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $314,700 Active 82 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $314,700 Active 81 DOM
  10. 2026-06-10
    price $314,700 Active 78 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $315,000 Active 78 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $315,000 Active 77 DOM
  13. 2026-06-08
    days on market $315,000 Active 76 DOM
  14. 2026-06-07
    days on market $315,000 Active 75 DOM
  15. 2026-06-03
    days on market $315,000 Active 72 DOM
  16. 2026-06-02
    days on market $315,000 Active 71 DOM
  17. 2026-06-01
    days on market $315,000 Active 70 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $315,000 Active 69 DOM
  19. 2026-04-14
    price $315,000
  20. 2026-03-23
    listed $320,000 Active
  21. 2021-10-27
    soldstatus $170,000 Sold 339-char remark
    Show marketing remark (339 chars)

    I am an adorable two bedroom beach cottage in Ocean Park. I sit on a 100 x 100 lot and have a newer septic system. I need some TLC because of deferred maintenance, so roll up your sleeves and make me shine! I am within walking distance to Jack's, Sentry Market, the post office and restaurants. Call your broker today to take a look at me!

  22. 2021-10-27
    soldstatus $170,000 Closed
    Show marketing remark (339 chars)

    I am an adorable two bedroom beach cottage in Ocean Park. I sit on a 100 x 100 lot and have a newer septic system. I need some TLC because of deferred maintenance, so roll up your sleeves and make me shine! I am within walking distance to Jack's, Sentry Market, the post office and restaurants. Call your broker today to take a look at me!

  23. 2021-10-08
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (339 chars)

    I am an adorable two bedroom beach cottage in Ocean Park. I sit on a 100 x 100 lot and have a newer septic system. I need some TLC because of deferred maintenance, so roll up your sleeves and make me shine! I am within walking distance to Jack's, Sentry Market, the post office and restaurants. Call your broker today to take a look at me!

  24. 2021-10-08
    status Pending 339-char remark
    Show marketing remark (339 chars)

    I am an adorable two bedroom beach cottage in Ocean Park. I sit on a 100 x 100 lot and have a newer septic system. I need some TLC because of deferred maintenance, so roll up your sleeves and make me shine! I am within walking distance to Jack's, Sentry Market, the post office and restaurants. Call your broker today to take a look at me!

  25. 2021-09-29
    listed $189,000 Active 339-char remark
    Show marketing remark (339 chars)

    I am an adorable two bedroom beach cottage in Ocean Park. I sit on a 100 x 100 lot and have a newer septic system. I need some TLC because of deferred maintenance, so roll up your sleeves and make me shine! I am within walking distance to Jack's, Sentry Market, the post office and restaurants. Call your broker today to take a look at me!

  26. 2021-09-29
    listed $189,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (339 chars)

    I am an adorable two bedroom beach cottage in Ocean Park. I sit on a 100 x 100 lot and have a newer septic system. I need some TLC because of deferred maintenance, so roll up your sleeves and make me shine! I am within walking distance to Jack's, Sentry Market, the post office and restaurants. Call your broker today to take a look at me!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,658 · $138/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,084 · $257/mo
Expected delta
+$1,426/yr (+$119/mo · 86.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥74°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,800
− Mortgage interest
−$17,628
− Property taxes
−$1,658
− Insurance
−$1,574
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,784
− Management
−$2,784
− Depreciation
−$9,155
Taxable loss
−$783
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$188
After-tax cash flow
$4,644/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ocean Beach School District
NCES district ID
5306060
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$38,549
Composite
37.37/100
National rank
#8929
State rank
#212 of 291 in WA

Livability — Ocean Park

Score
72/100
State rank
#216
US rank
#6161

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D+ Cost of living A- Crime A Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ocean Park, WA
Population (ZIP)
5,107

Population outlook (Pacific County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,636 people
By 2030
20,137 · -2.4%
By 2040
19,041 · -7.7%
By 2050
18,504 · -10.3%
By 2075
17,403 · -15.7%
By 2100
16,241 · -21.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 5% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pacific

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 49.4% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-15.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.1pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: R+1.1 2016: R+6.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+14.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -81.15%
Current HPI
222.8758
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+66.7% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $315,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $320,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-10-27 Sold (MLS) $170,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-10-27 Sold (MLS) $170,000 RMLS
  • 2021-10-08 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-10-08 Pending RMLS
  • 2021-09-29 Listed $189,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-09-29 Listed $189,000 RMLS

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,658 · -3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…