1707 258th Pl · Ocean Park, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 74°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.7/30.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.4/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$314,700
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
I am an adorable two bedroom beach cottage in Ocean Park. I sit on a 100 x 100 lot and have a newer septic system. I need some TLC because of deferred maintenance, so roll up your sleeves and make me shine! I am within walking distance to Jack's, Sentry Market, the post office and restaurants. Call your broker today to take a look at me!
Key facts
- Two decks
- Beach access
- Seaside community
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $315k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $371 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $290k (7.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $290k (7.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.2% in Ocean Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#216 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: commute D+, employment D+, amenities F.
- Ocean Beach School District (rural): math 34% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #212 of 291 in WA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Ocean Park Elementary (196 students, 76% FRL); Hilltop Elementary School (236 students, 70% FRL); Ilwaco High School (296 students, 64% FRL).
- Market conditions: 320 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 90 units permitted in Pacific County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pacific County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $170k; list at $315k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.06%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $276,953
- List price
- $314,700
- Delta
- 13.63%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1702 Bay Ave | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 736 (-4%) | 4mo | $378,610 | $514 | 84 |
| 26206 R St | 0.21mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 730 (-5%) | 5mo | $131,000 | $179 | 73 |
| 1310 260TH Pl | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 | 830 (+8%) | 14mo | $348,000 | $419 | 67 |
| 1307 262nd Pl | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (+9%) | 7mo | $208,000 | $248 | 66 |
| 24402 P St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 806 (+5%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $285 | 56 |
| 1412 253rd Pl | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 | 832 (+8%) | 22mo | $90,000 | $108 | 54 |
| 1512 270th Pl | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (+12%) | 5mo | $215,000 | $249 | 48 |
| 27005 Park Ave | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (+3%) | 23mo | $50,000 | $63 | 45 |
| 24402 U St | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (+12%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $174 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-27,455
- Equity at exit
- $46,923
- IRR
- 1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $6,090
- Equity at exit
- $27,210
Cash invested: $88,116 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98640
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Active inventory
- 320
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,900 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,650
- Tax from tax record
- −$138 /mo · $1,658/yr
- Insurance
- −$131
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$609
- Net cashflow
- $371
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $550 | -5% $460 | +0% $371 | +5% $282 | +10% $193 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $142 | -5% $257 | +0% $371 | +5% $486 | +10% $600 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $530 | -0.5pp $451 | base $371 | +0.5pp $290 | +1.0pp $207 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $78,675
- Closing costs
- $9,441
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24904 J Pl Ocean Park, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,900 | $3.22 | 45d | 1 | 0.52mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $314,700 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $314,700 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $314,700 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $314,700 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $314,700 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $314,700 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $314,700 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $314,700 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $314,700 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-10price $314,700 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $315,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $315,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $315,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $315,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $315,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $315,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $315,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $315,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-04-14price $315,000
-
2026-03-23$320,000 Active
-
2021-10-27soldstatus $170,000 Sold 339-char remark
Show marketing remark (339 chars)
I am an adorable two bedroom beach cottage in Ocean Park. I sit on a 100 x 100 lot and have a newer septic system. I need some TLC because of deferred maintenance, so roll up your sleeves and make me shine! I am within walking distance to Jack's, Sentry Market, the post office and restaurants. Call your broker today to take a look at me!
-
2021-10-27soldstatus $170,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (339 chars)
I am an adorable two bedroom beach cottage in Ocean Park. I sit on a 100 x 100 lot and have a newer septic system. I need some TLC because of deferred maintenance, so roll up your sleeves and make me shine! I am within walking distance to Jack's, Sentry Market, the post office and restaurants. Call your broker today to take a look at me!
-
2021-10-08status Pending
Show marketing remark (339 chars)
I am an adorable two bedroom beach cottage in Ocean Park. I sit on a 100 x 100 lot and have a newer septic system. I need some TLC because of deferred maintenance, so roll up your sleeves and make me shine! I am within walking distance to Jack's, Sentry Market, the post office and restaurants. Call your broker today to take a look at me!
-
2021-10-08status Pending 339-char remark
Show marketing remark (339 chars)
I am an adorable two bedroom beach cottage in Ocean Park. I sit on a 100 x 100 lot and have a newer septic system. I need some TLC because of deferred maintenance, so roll up your sleeves and make me shine! I am within walking distance to Jack's, Sentry Market, the post office and restaurants. Call your broker today to take a look at me!
-
2021-09-29$189,000 Active 339-char remark
Show marketing remark (339 chars)
I am an adorable two bedroom beach cottage in Ocean Park. I sit on a 100 x 100 lot and have a newer septic system. I need some TLC because of deferred maintenance, so roll up your sleeves and make me shine! I am within walking distance to Jack's, Sentry Market, the post office and restaurants. Call your broker today to take a look at me!
-
2021-09-29$189,000 Active
Show marketing remark (339 chars)
I am an adorable two bedroom beach cottage in Ocean Park. I sit on a 100 x 100 lot and have a newer septic system. I need some TLC because of deferred maintenance, so roll up your sleeves and make me shine! I am within walking distance to Jack's, Sentry Market, the post office and restaurants. Call your broker today to take a look at me!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,658 · $138/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,084 · $257/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,426/yr (+$119/mo · 86.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥74°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,628
- − Property taxes
- −$1,658
- − Insurance
- −$1,574
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,784
- − Management
- −$2,784
- − Depreciation
- −$9,155
- Taxable loss
- −$783
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$188
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,644/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ocean Beach School District
- NCES district ID
- 5306060
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,549
- Composite
- 37.37/100
- National rank
- #8929
- State rank
- #212 of 291 in WA
Livability — Ocean Park
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #216
- US rank
- #6161
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ocean Park, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,107
Population outlook (Pacific County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,636 people
- By 2030
- 20,137 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 19,041 · -7.7%
- By 2050
- 18,504 · -10.3%
- By 2075
- 17,403 · -15.7%
- By 2100
- 16,241 · -21.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pacific
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 49.4% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.1pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: R+1.1 2016: R+6.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+14.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.15%
- Current HPI
- 222.8758
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+66.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $315,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-23 Listed $320,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-27 Sold (MLS) $170,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-27 Sold (MLS) $170,000 RMLS
- 2021-10-08 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-08 Pending — RMLS
- 2021-09-29 Listed $189,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-09-29 Listed $189,000 RMLS
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2026): $1,658 · -3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…