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8484 Talc Dr
D- Composite 38.02
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +10.1/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.0/10.0

$479,999

8484 Talc Dr · Colorado Springs, CO 80938
5 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,266 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 84 Days on market
Built 2023 5,003 sqft lot $212/sqft · 6% below area Est $509k · 6% under ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Skip the wait for new construction and step into this meticulously maintained, 2-year-old home in the heart of Colorado Springs’ growing East side. Offering a spacious 2,266 square feet across two light-filled levels, this 3-bedroom, 3-bathroom home provides the perfect blend of modern finishes and thoughtful upgrades. The main level is designed for effortless flow, anchored by a spacious kitchen. You’ll find upgraded, professional-grade appliances that are a rare luxury at this price point, making every meal a gourmet experience. Ascend to the second floor to discover the home’s "hidden gem"—a massive upper-level loft. This expansive second living room offers the ultimate flex space, whether you need a high-tech media room, or a secondary lounge for relaxation. The upgrades continue with high-quality custom blackout blinds installed throughout—an essential feature for shift workers, military members, or anyone seeking a peaceful sanctuary. The three generous bedrooms provide a quiet retreat, while the fully fenced backyard offers a secure and private space for pets, play, or weekend BBQs. Location is everything, and this home delivers. Enjoy a short, stress-free commute to Peterson and Schriever Space Force Bases, as well as quick access to the premier shopping, dining, and entertainment of the Powers and Marksheffel corridors. With a 2-car garage and the peace of mind that comes with newer, energy-efficient systems, this home is as practical as it is beautiful. Come experience the versatility and upgrades for yourself—schedule your private showing today!

Key facts

  • 5,003 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2023

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $480k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-541 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $384k (19.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $288k (40.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $288k (40.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.3% in Colorado Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#23 in CO, #2,639 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
  • El Paso County Colorado School District 49 (urban): math 27% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #27 of 86 in CO (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,906 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (872 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $18k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • El Paso County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$44k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($451k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $287,717 (40.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 40% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.60%
Cap rate
4.94%
Cash-on-cash
-4.83%
DSCR
0.79
GRM
13.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$509,047
List price
$479,999
Delta
-5.71%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8109 Phyllite Dr 0.17mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,266 (0%) 8mo $475,000 $210 74
4342 Kaolin Ct 0.28mi 5/4.0 2,319 (+2%) 10mo $460,000 $198 74
5071 Amazonite Dr 0.18mi 5/3.5 2,342 (+3%) 13mo $539,760 $230 73
8251 Graphite Dr 0.27mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,266 (0%) 5mo $464,000 $205 73
8340 Graphite Dr 0.18mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,288 (+1%) 10mo $480,000 $210 73
4374 Kaolin Ct 0.31mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,342 (+3%) 3mo $460,000 $196 66
4438 Kaolin Ct 0.32mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,342 (+3%) 4mo $453,000 $193 65
5051 Amazonite Dr 0.16mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,342 (+3%) 13mo $528,910 $226 65
4972 Amazonite Dr 0.12mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,342 (+3%) 17mo $529,210 $226 64
4942 Amazonite Dr 0.11mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,342 (+3%) 18mo $516,200 $220 64
5061 Amazonite Dr 0.18mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,066 (-9%) 14mo $518,285 $251 54
4902 Amazonite Dr 0.09mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,066 (-9%) 19mo $518,485 $251 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.0%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$23,118
Equity at exit
$215,828
10-year hold
IRR
6.4%
Equity multiple
1.97×
Total profit
$130,272
Equity at exit
$332,617

Cash invested: $134,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 80938

Active inventory
17
Price-to-rent
13.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,877 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,517
Tax from tax record
$97 /mo · $1,158/yr
Insurance
$200
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$604
Net cashflow
$-541

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,562
Max offer price $384,477
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-269 -5% $-405 +0% $-541 +5% $-677 +10% $-812
Rent -10% $-768 -5% $-654 +0% $-541 +5% $-427 +10% $-313
Rate -1.0pp $-299 -0.5pp $-419 base $-541 +0.5pp $-665 +1.0pp $-792

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$120,000
Closing costs
$14,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8207 Basaltic Dr Colorado Springs, CO 4.0 3.0 2723 $3,000 $1.10 11d 1 0.20mi
7665 Firehawk Ln Colorado Springs, CO 4.0 2.5 1712 $2,295 $1.34 11d 1 1.20mi
9377 Mayflower Gulch Way Colorado Springs, CO 5.0 4.0 3260 $3,850 $1.18 3d 1 1.31mi
7153 Arrowroot Ave Colorado Springs, CO 5.0 4.0 2450 $3,000 $1.22 11d 1 1.31mi
4413 Centerville Dr Colorado Springs, CO 4.0 4.0 2508 $2,745 $1.09 3d 1 1.32mi
5415 Arroyo St Colorado Springs, CO 4.0 3.0 2317 $2,375 $1.03 3d 1 1.33mi
3622 Reindeer Cir Colorado Springs, CO 4.0 4.0 2585 $2,695 $1.04 3d 1 1.36mi
6031 Jorie Rd Colorado Springs, CO 4.0 2.5 1700 $2,650 $1.56 3d 1 1.40mi
7012 Hillock Dr Colorado Springs, CO 5.0 3.5 3008 $2,800 $0.93 3d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $479,999 Active 84 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $479,999 Active 83 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $479,999 Active 82 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $479,999 Active 81 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $479,999 Active 79 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $479,999 Active 78 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $479,999 Active 76 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $479,999 Active 75 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $479,999 Active 74 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $479,999 Active 73 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $479,999 Active 70 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $479,999 Active 69 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $479,999 Active 68 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $479,999 Active 67 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $479,999 Active 66 DOM
  16. 2026-04-16
    price $489,999 1628-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1628 chars)

    Skip the wait for new construction and step into this meticulously maintained, 2-year-old home in the heart of Colorado Springs’ growing East side. Offering a spacious 2,266 square feet across two light-filled levels, this 3-bedroom, 3-bathroom home provides the perfect blend of modern finishes and thoughtful upgrades. The main level is designed for effortless flow, anchored by a spacious kitchen. You’ll find upgraded, professional-grade appliances that are a rare luxury at this price point, making every meal a gourmet experience. Ascend to the second floor to discover the home’s "hidden gem"—a massive upper-level loft. This expansive second living room offers the ultimate flex space, whether you need a high-tech media room, or a secondary lounge for relaxation. The upgrades continue with high-quality custom blackout blinds installed throughout—an essential feature for shift workers, military members, or anyone seeking a peaceful sanctuary. The three generous bedrooms provide a quiet retreat, while the fully fenced backyard offers a secure and private space for pets, play, or weekend BBQs. Location is everything, and this home delivers. Enjoy a short, stress-free commute to Peterson and Schriever Space Force Bases, as well as quick access to the premier shopping, dining, and entertainment of the Powers and Marksheffel corridors. With a 2-car garage and the peace of mind that comes with newer, energy-efficient systems, this home is as practical as it is beautiful. Come experience the versatility and upgrades for yourself—schedule your private showing today!

  17. 2026-03-26
    listed $499,900 Active 1628-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1628 chars)

    Skip the wait for new construction and step into this meticulously maintained, 2-year-old home in the heart of Colorado Springs’ growing East side. Offering a spacious 2,266 square feet across two light-filled levels, this 3-bedroom, 3-bathroom home provides the perfect blend of modern finishes and thoughtful upgrades. The main level is designed for effortless flow, anchored by a spacious kitchen. You’ll find upgraded, professional-grade appliances that are a rare luxury at this price point, making every meal a gourmet experience. Ascend to the second floor to discover the home’s "hidden gem"—a massive upper-level loft. This expansive second living room offers the ultimate flex space, whether you need a high-tech media room, or a secondary lounge for relaxation. The upgrades continue with high-quality custom blackout blinds installed throughout—an essential feature for shift workers, military members, or anyone seeking a peaceful sanctuary. The three generous bedrooms provide a quiet retreat, while the fully fenced backyard offers a secure and private space for pets, play, or weekend BBQs. Location is everything, and this home delivers. Enjoy a short, stress-free commute to Peterson and Schriever Space Force Bases, as well as quick access to the premier shopping, dining, and entertainment of the Powers and Marksheffel corridors. With a 2-car garage and the peace of mind that comes with newer, energy-efficient systems, this home is as practical as it is beautiful. Come experience the versatility and upgrades for yourself—schedule your private showing today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,158 · $97/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,640 · $220/mo
Expected delta
+$1,482/yr (+$123/mo · 127.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,526
− Mortgage interest
−$26,887
− Property taxes
−$1,158
− Insurance
−$2,400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,762
− Management
−$2,762
− Depreciation
−$13,964
Taxable loss
−$15,407
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,698
After-tax cash flow
$-2,791/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
El Paso County Colorado School District 49
NCES district ID
0803870
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$75,604
Composite
34.38/100
National rank
#5210
State rank
#27 of 86 in CO

Livability — Colorado Springs

Score
78/100
State rank
#23
US rank
#2639

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living C- Crime F Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Colorado Springs, CO
City population
555,783
Population (ZIP)
1,345

Population outlook (El Paso County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
768,926 people
By 2030
815,739 · +6.1%
By 2040
903,489 · +17.5%
By 2050
981,204 · +27.6%
By 2075
1,155,542 · +50.3%
By 2100
1,202,070 · +56.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 52% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 24% Black 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 28% Cuban 8%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 18% Lithuanian 7% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · El Paso

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.8) · D 43.8% · R 53.5% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+9.0pp toward D · 2008: -18.8pp · 2024: -9.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.8 2020: R+10.8 2016: R+22.6 2012: R+21.4 2008: R+18.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $489,999 elevateMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $499,900 elevateMLS

Property tax history

+238.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,158 · +43.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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