10204 Pinnacle Crest Loop · Austin, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +6.1/30.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Appreciation +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- DSCR +0.4/10.0
$309,995
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this remarkable one-story home in South Austin offering just over 1,700 square feet of comfortable living space. This well-designed floor plan features 3 bedrooms plus a dedicated study, 2 full bathrooms, and a separate laundry room for added convenience. New carpet adds a fresh touch, and the 2-car garage provides ample parking and storage. The backyard offers evening shade, creating an inviting setting for outdoor gatherings, BBQs, or simply relaxing after a long day. With a clean canvas layout, the outdoor space provides flexibility for gardening, entertaining, or exploring future improvement possibilities (buyer to verify any intended use). Conveniently located near Onion Creek Golf Course, as well as major restaurants and shopping options, this home provides easy access to everyday amenities while maintaining a comfortable neighborhood feel.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Easy access
- Conveniently located
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $310k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-580 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $207k (33.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $226k (27.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $207k (33.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.0% vs local median 1.8% in Austin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#16 in TX, #1,208 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living D, crime F.
- Austin ISD (urban): math 33% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #431 of 826 in TX (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 394 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 17,121 units permitted in Travis County in 2024 (11,963 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Travis County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 255 days — a 12% lower offer ($273k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $38k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 255 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.02%
- DSCR
- 0.64
- GRM
- 11.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $393,270
- List price
- $309,995
- Delta
- -21.18%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5705 Kleberg Trl | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 | 1,801 (+6%) | 4mo | $324,990 | $180 | 72 |
| 5624 Kleberg Trl | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 | 1,801 (+6%) | 6mo | $335,000 | $186 | 70 |
| 5900 Bell Tower Ln | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,645 (-4%) | 0mo | $304,900 | $185 | 69 |
| 5824 Southerner Way | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,645 (-4%) | 6mo | $325,000 | $198 | 63 |
| 5812 Bell Tower Ln | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,586 (-7%) | 1mo | $314,000 | $198 | 62 |
| 10024 Deer Chase Trl | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,535 (-10%) | 3mo | $330,000 | $215 | 62 |
| 10317 Laurie Ln | 0.23mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,914 (+12%) | 1mo | $337,555 | $176 | 61 |
| 10304 Lone Pine Ln | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,565 (-8%) | 1mo | $335,000 | $214 | 58 |
| 5621 Little Theater Bnd | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,516 (-11%) | 4mo | $299,999 | $198 | 56 |
| 5812 Kennedy St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,463 (-14%) | 5mo | $315,000 | $215 | 49 |
| 10807 Sentinel Dr | 0.53mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,900 (+11%) | 2mo | $344,999 | $182 | 48 |
| 10825 Players Path | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 | 1,932 (+13%) | 2mo | $375,000 | $194 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -34.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.08×
- Total profit
- $-93,645
- Equity at exit
- $46,221
- IRR
- -69.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.77×
- Total profit
- $-154,043
- Equity at exit
- $26,803
Cash invested: $86,799 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78747
- Home prices YoY
- -1.9%
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 394
- Price-to-rent
- 11.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,261 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,626
- Tax from tax record
- −$565 /mo · $6,775/yr
- Insurance
- −$129
- HOA
- −$47
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$475
- Net cashflow
- $-580
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-405 | -5% $-493 | +0% $-580 | +5% $-668 | +10% $-756 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-759 | -5% $-670 | +0% $-580 | +5% $-491 | +10% $-402 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-424 | -0.5pp $-501 | base $-580 | +0.5pp $-661 | +1.0pp $-742 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $77,499
- Closing costs
- $9,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10001 Pinnacle Crest Loop Austin, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,395 | $1.41 | 18d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 10305 Forest Grove Dr Austin, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2013 | $2,350 | $1.17 | 3d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 5825 Silver Screen Dr Austin, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1820 | $2,280 | $1.25 | 5d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 10116 Deer Chase Trl Austin, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2240 | $2,300 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 10104 Deer Chase Trl Austin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $2,050 | $1.68 | 18d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 5900 Zachary Scott St Austin, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2200 | $2,200 | $1.00 | 5d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 10317 Laurie Ln Austin, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1914 | $2,350 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 5916 Kennedy St Austin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1255 | $1,900 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 10504 Alemoor Dr Austin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 6309 Arbor Crest Ln Austin, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2080 | $2,300 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 10200 Lone Pine Ln Austin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $1,975 | $1.62 | 21d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 10200 Lone Pine Ln Austin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $1,975 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 6404 Gunflint Dr Austin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,195 | $1.46 | 17d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 5716 Southerner Way Austin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1586 | $2,100 | $1.32 | 22d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 10605 Sentinel Dr Austin, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1667 | $2,200 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 10917 Hammonds St Austin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $2,100 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 10724 Steinbeck Dr Austin, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1641 | $2,190 | $1.33 | 5d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 10258 Old Lockhart Rd Austin, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1023 | $1,848 | $1.81 | 2d | 12 | 0.68mi |
| 5804 Rotunda Vw Austin, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1668 | $3,100 | $1.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 5806 Rangeland Rd Austin, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2151 | $3,199 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 5806 Rangeland Rd Austin, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2151 | $3,350 | $1.56 | 5d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 6414 Cowman Way Austin, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2100 | $2,999 | $1.43 | 5d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 9005 Alderman Dr Unit 9038 Austin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1383 | $2,377 | $1.72 | 4d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2022 E Slaughter Ln Austin, TX | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1215 | $1,711 | $1.41 | 5d | 17 | 0.96mi |
| 9336 Cattle Baron Path Austin, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1703 | $1,535 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 5309a Baythorne Dr Austin, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1831 | $2,400 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 5308 Baythorne Dr Austin, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1896 | $2,500 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 9015 Cattle Baron Path Austin, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1416 | $2,500 | $1.76 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 9015 Cattle Baron Path Austin, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1416 | $2,500 | $1.76 | 5d | 3 | 1.03mi |
| 9015 Cattle Baron Path #605 Austin, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1493 | $2,500 | $1.67 | 18d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 5705 Respinto Dr Austin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1533 | $2,150 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 8721 Whitter Dr Austin, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,200 | $1.22 | 22d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 5604 Respinto Dr Austin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1441 | $1,920 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 8721 Whitter Dr Unit B Austin, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1835 | $2,300 | $1.25 | 22d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 8816 Blaze Dr Austin, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1533 | $2,295 | $1.50 | 22d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 11416 Milano Dr Austin, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1698 | $2,050 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 9015 Cattle Baron Path #705 Austin, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1493 | $2,190 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 9015 Cattle Baron Path #1801 Austin, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1493 | $2,000 | $1.34 | 5d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 5805 Charles Merle Dr Unit B Austin, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1792 | $2,249 | $1.26 | 3d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 5813 Charles Merle Dr Unit B Austin, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1840 | $2,400 | $1.30 | 5d | 1 | 1.27mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $47 · $564/yr
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $309,995 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $309,995 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $309,995 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $309,995 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $309,995 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $309,995 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $309,995 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $309,995 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $309,995 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $309,995 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $309,995 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $309,995 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $309,995 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $309,995 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-04-22status Active 869-char remark
Show marketing remark (869 chars)
Welcome to this remarkable one-story home in South Austin offering just over 1,700 square feet of comfortable living space. This well-designed floor plan features 3 bedrooms plus a dedicated study, 2 full bathrooms, and a separate laundry room for added convenience. New carpet adds a fresh touch, and the 2-car garage provides ample parking and storage. The backyard offers evening shade, creating an inviting setting for outdoor gatherings, BBQs, or simply relaxing after a long day. With a clean canvas layout, the outdoor space provides flexibility for gardening, entertaining, or exploring future improvement possibilities (buyer to verify any intended use). Conveniently located near Onion Creek Golf Course, as well as major restaurants and shopping options, this home provides easy access to everyday amenities while maintaining a comfortable neighborhood feel.
-
2026-04-15historical Active Under Contract 869-char remark
Show marketing remark (869 chars)
Welcome to this remarkable one-story home in South Austin offering just over 1,700 square feet of comfortable living space. This well-designed floor plan features 3 bedrooms plus a dedicated study, 2 full bathrooms, and a separate laundry room for added convenience. New carpet adds a fresh touch, and the 2-car garage provides ample parking and storage. The backyard offers evening shade, creating an inviting setting for outdoor gatherings, BBQs, or simply relaxing after a long day. With a clean canvas layout, the outdoor space provides flexibility for gardening, entertaining, or exploring future improvement possibilities (buyer to verify any intended use). Conveniently located near Onion Creek Golf Course, as well as major restaurants and shopping options, this home provides easy access to everyday amenities while maintaining a comfortable neighborhood feel.
-
2026-04-08price $309,995 869-char remark
Show marketing remark (869 chars)
Welcome to this remarkable one-story home in South Austin offering just over 1,700 square feet of comfortable living space. This well-designed floor plan features 3 bedrooms plus a dedicated study, 2 full bathrooms, and a separate laundry room for added convenience. New carpet adds a fresh touch, and the 2-car garage provides ample parking and storage. The backyard offers evening shade, creating an inviting setting for outdoor gatherings, BBQs, or simply relaxing after a long day. With a clean canvas layout, the outdoor space provides flexibility for gardening, entertaining, or exploring future improvement possibilities (buyer to verify any intended use). Conveniently located near Onion Creek Golf Course, as well as major restaurants and shopping options, this home provides easy access to everyday amenities while maintaining a comfortable neighborhood feel.
-
2026-03-05price $324,998 869-char remark
Show marketing remark (869 chars)
Welcome to this remarkable one-story home in South Austin offering just over 1,700 square feet of comfortable living space. This well-designed floor plan features 3 bedrooms plus a dedicated study, 2 full bathrooms, and a separate laundry room for added convenience. New carpet adds a fresh touch, and the 2-car garage provides ample parking and storage. The backyard offers evening shade, creating an inviting setting for outdoor gatherings, BBQs, or simply relaxing after a long day. With a clean canvas layout, the outdoor space provides flexibility for gardening, entertaining, or exploring future improvement possibilities (buyer to verify any intended use). Conveniently located near Onion Creek Golf Course, as well as major restaurants and shopping options, this home provides easy access to everyday amenities while maintaining a comfortable neighborhood feel.
-
2026-01-27price $325,000 869-char remark
Show marketing remark (869 chars)
Welcome to this remarkable one-story home in South Austin offering just over 1,700 square feet of comfortable living space. This well-designed floor plan features 3 bedrooms plus a dedicated study, 2 full bathrooms, and a separate laundry room for added convenience. New carpet adds a fresh touch, and the 2-car garage provides ample parking and storage. The backyard offers evening shade, creating an inviting setting for outdoor gatherings, BBQs, or simply relaxing after a long day. With a clean canvas layout, the outdoor space provides flexibility for gardening, entertaining, or exploring future improvement possibilities (buyer to verify any intended use). Conveniently located near Onion Creek Golf Course, as well as major restaurants and shopping options, this home provides easy access to everyday amenities while maintaining a comfortable neighborhood feel.
-
2025-12-03price $334,995 869-char remark
Show marketing remark (869 chars)
Welcome to this remarkable one-story home in South Austin offering just over 1,700 square feet of comfortable living space. This well-designed floor plan features 3 bedrooms plus a dedicated study, 2 full bathrooms, and a separate laundry room for added convenience. New carpet adds a fresh touch, and the 2-car garage provides ample parking and storage. The backyard offers evening shade, creating an inviting setting for outdoor gatherings, BBQs, or simply relaxing after a long day. With a clean canvas layout, the outdoor space provides flexibility for gardening, entertaining, or exploring future improvement possibilities (buyer to verify any intended use). Conveniently located near Onion Creek Golf Course, as well as major restaurants and shopping options, this home provides easy access to everyday amenities while maintaining a comfortable neighborhood feel.
-
2025-10-19price $339,995 869-char remark
Show marketing remark (869 chars)
Welcome to this remarkable one-story home in South Austin offering just over 1,700 square feet of comfortable living space. This well-designed floor plan features 3 bedrooms plus a dedicated study, 2 full bathrooms, and a separate laundry room for added convenience. New carpet adds a fresh touch, and the 2-car garage provides ample parking and storage. The backyard offers evening shade, creating an inviting setting for outdoor gatherings, BBQs, or simply relaxing after a long day. With a clean canvas layout, the outdoor space provides flexibility for gardening, entertaining, or exploring future improvement possibilities (buyer to verify any intended use). Conveniently located near Onion Creek Golf Course, as well as major restaurants and shopping options, this home provides easy access to everyday amenities while maintaining a comfortable neighborhood feel.
-
2025-10-09$348,000 Active 869-char remark
Show marketing remark (869 chars)
Welcome to this remarkable one-story home in South Austin offering just over 1,700 square feet of comfortable living space. This well-designed floor plan features 3 bedrooms plus a dedicated study, 2 full bathrooms, and a separate laundry room for added convenience. New carpet adds a fresh touch, and the 2-car garage provides ample parking and storage. The backyard offers evening shade, creating an inviting setting for outdoor gatherings, BBQs, or simply relaxing after a long day. With a clean canvas layout, the outdoor space provides flexibility for gardening, entertaining, or exploring future improvement possibilities (buyer to verify any intended use). Conveniently located near Onion Creek Golf Course, as well as major restaurants and shopping options, this home provides easy access to everyday amenities while maintaining a comfortable neighborhood feel.
-
2023-11-03status Active
-
2023-10-28historical Active Under Contract
-
2023-10-10price
-
2023-09-28Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,775 · $565/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,775 · $565/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,131
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,365
- − Property taxes
- −$6,775
- − Insurance
- −$1,550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,170
- − Management
- −$2,170
- − HOA
- −$564
- − Depreciation
- −$9,018
- Taxable loss
- −$12,482
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,996
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,968/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Austin ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4808940
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,627
- Composite
- 33.65/100
- National rank
- #5397
- State rank
- #431 of 826 in TX
Livability — Austin
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #1208
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Austin, TX
- County
- Travis County · 1,299,254 people
- City population
- 1,066,854
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,180
- Household income
- $92,748
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 812.0
Population outlook (Travis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,545,133 people
- By 2030
- 1,729,269 · +11.9%
- By 2040
- 2,097,596 · +35.8%
- By 2050
- 2,463,890 · +59.5%
- By 2075
- 3,249,374 · +110.3%
- By 2100
- 3,801,868 · +146.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 51% White 34% Two or more races 20% Black 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 40% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 31% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Travis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+39.3) · D 68.8% · R 29.4% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.9pp toward D · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 39.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+39.3 2020: D+45.0 2016: D+38.9 2012: D+23.9 2008: D+29.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -3.69%
- Current HPI
- 192.9499
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.01%
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-10.9% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Relisted — Unlock MLS
- 2026-04-15 Contingent — Unlock MLS
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $309,995 Unlock MLS
- 2026-03-05 Price Changed $324,998 Unlock MLS
- 2026-01-27 Price Changed $325,000 Unlock MLS
- 2025-12-03 Price Changed $334,995 Unlock MLS
- 2025-10-19 Price Changed $339,995 Unlock MLS
- 2025-10-09 Listed $348,000 Unlock MLS
- 2023-11-03 Relisted — Unlock MLS
- 2023-10-28 Contingent — Unlock MLS
- 2023-10-10 Price Changed — Unlock MLS
- 2023-09-28 Listed — Unlock MLS
Property tax history
+31.9%/yrLatest (2026): $6,775 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…