CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
141 Pr 6252
B- Composite 69.35
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,500

141 Pr 6252 · Mineola, TX 75773
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,371 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 49 Days on market
Built 1980 0.86 ac lot $48/sqft · 61% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Check out this 3 bed 2 bath home located in Mineola. Open floorplan with spacious bedrooms. Located on almost an acre of land with an enclosed patio and a storage shed, workshop and storm cellar.

Key facts

  • Carport
  • Tornado shelter
  • 0.86 acre lot

Tags

FULLY FENCED PROPERTYTORNADO SHELTERCARPORTCLOSE TO LAKE HOLBROOK

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Manufactured (mobile) home; Residential property
  • Construction: Manufactured construction
  • Exterior features: Located in the Hill Estates subdivision; Access via Private Road 6252 (directions available)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Two full bathrooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $66k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $920 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $66k).
  • Recommended offer: $64k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 23.2% vs local median 2.6% in Mineola — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#392 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Alba-Golden ISD (rural): math 38% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #415 of 826 in TX (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 261 active listings in the ZIP; 72 units permitted in Wood County in 2024 (29 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $453 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wood County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $63,535 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.60%
Cap rate
23.16%
Cash-on-cash
60.23%
DSCR
3.68
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$149,500
List price
$65,500
Delta
-56.19%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
156 County Road 2247 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,406 (+3%) 4mo $229,900 $164 62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
59.0%
Equity multiple
3.62×
Total profit
$48,021
Equity at exit
$9,766
10-year hold
IRR
63.7%
Equity multiple
7.40×
Total profit
$117,339
Equity at exit
$5,663

Cash invested: $18,340 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75773

Home prices YoY
-8.9%
Active inventory
261
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,701 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$343
Tax from tax record
$53 /mo · $633/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$357
Net cashflow
$920

Break-even live

Break-even rent $536
Max offer price $65,500
Occupancy floor 41%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,375
Closing costs
$1,965
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $65,500 Pending 49 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,500 Active 49 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    price $65,500 Active 48 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 47 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,900 Active 45 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $69,900 Active 44 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,900 Active 41 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 40 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 39 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Active 38 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,900 Active 35 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,900 Active 34 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,900 Active 33 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 32 DOM
  16. 2026-04-29
    listed $69,900 Active 304-char remark
  17. 2019-10-25
    soldstatus 195-char remark
    Show marketing remark (195 chars)

    Check out this 3 bed 2 bath home located in Mineola. Open floorplan with spacious bedrooms. Located on almost an acre of land with an enclosed patio and a storage shed, workshop and storm cellar.

  18. 2019-09-27
    listed $29,000 195-char remark
    Show marketing remark (195 chars)

    Check out this 3 bed 2 bath home located in Mineola. Open floorplan with spacious bedrooms. Located on almost an acre of land with an enclosed patio and a storage shed, workshop and storm cellar.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$633 · $53/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,199 · $100/mo
Expected delta
+$566/yr (+$47/mo · 89.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,415
− Mortgage interest
−$3,669
− Property taxes
−$633
− Insurance
−$328
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,633
− Management
−$1,633
− Depreciation
−$1,905
Taxable income
$10,614
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,547
After-tax cash flow
$8,499/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alba-Golden ISD
NCES district ID
4807650
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$45,181
Composite
34.03/100
National rank
#5310
State rank
#415 of 826 in TX

Livability — Mineola

Score
69/100
State rank
#392
US rank
#8222

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
14,311

Population outlook (Wood County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
46,480 people
By 2030
47,796 · +2.8%
By 2040
50,142 · +7.9%
By 2050
52,122 · +12.1%
By 2075
57,033 · +22.7%
By 2100
56,418 · +21.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wood

2024 margin
Solid R (+69.7) · D 14.8% · R 84.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.5pp toward R · 2008: -54.2pp · 2024: -69.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+69.7 2020: R+68.2 2016: R+70.0 2012: R+64.2 2008: R+54.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -22.31%
Current HPI
227.0529
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+125.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Pending GTAR
  • 2026-06-16 Price Changed $65,500 GTAR
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $69,900 GTAR
  • 2019-10-25 Sold (MLS) GTAR
  • 2019-09-27 Listed $29,000 GTAR

Property tax history

+12.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $633 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…