141 Pr 6252 · Mineola, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Check out this 3 bed 2 bath home located in Mineola. Open floorplan with spacious bedrooms. Located on almost an acre of land with an enclosed patio and a storage shed, workshop and storm cellar.
Key facts
- Carport
- Tornado shelter
- 0.86 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Manufactured (mobile) home; Residential property
- Construction: Manufactured construction
- Exterior features: Located in the Hill Estates subdivision; Access via Private Road 6252 (directions available)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Two full bathrooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $66k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $920 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $66k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.2% vs local median 2.6% in Mineola — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#392 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Alba-Golden ISD (rural): math 38% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #415 of 826 in TX (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 261 active listings in the ZIP; 72 units permitted in Wood County in 2024 (29 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $453 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wood County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 60.23%
- DSCR
- 3.68
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $149,500
- List price
- $65,500
- Delta
- -56.19%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 156 County Road 2247 | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,406 (+3%) | 4mo | $229,900 | $164 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 59.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.62×
- Total profit
- $48,021
- Equity at exit
- $9,766
- IRR
- 63.7%
- Equity multiple
- 7.40×
- Total profit
- $117,339
- Equity at exit
- $5,663
Cash invested: $18,340 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75773
- Home prices YoY
- -8.9%
- Active inventory
- 261
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,701 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$343
- Tax from tax record
- −$53 /mo · $633/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$357
- Net cashflow
- $920
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,375
- Closing costs
- $1,965
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18status $65,500 Pending 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,500 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $65,500 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $69,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $69,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-04-29$69,900 Active 304-char remark
-
2019-10-25soldstatus 195-char remark
Show marketing remark (195 chars)
Check out this 3 bed 2 bath home located in Mineola. Open floorplan with spacious bedrooms. Located on almost an acre of land with an enclosed patio and a storage shed, workshop and storm cellar.
-
2019-09-27$29,000 195-char remark
Show marketing remark (195 chars)
Check out this 3 bed 2 bath home located in Mineola. Open floorplan with spacious bedrooms. Located on almost an acre of land with an enclosed patio and a storage shed, workshop and storm cellar.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $633 · $53/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,199 · $100/mo
- Expected delta
- +$566/yr (+$47/mo · 89.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,415
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,669
- − Property taxes
- −$633
- − Insurance
- −$328
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,633
- − Management
- −$1,633
- − Depreciation
- −$1,905
- Taxable income
- $10,614
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,547
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,499/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alba-Golden ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4807650
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,181
- Composite
- 34.03/100
- National rank
- #5310
- State rank
- #415 of 826 in TX
Livability — Mineola
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #392
- US rank
- #8222
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,311
Population outlook (Wood County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 46,480 people
- By 2030
- 47,796 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 50,142 · +7.9%
- By 2050
- 52,122 · +12.1%
- By 2075
- 57,033 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 56,418 · +21.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wood
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+69.7) · D 14.8% · R 84.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: -54.2pp · 2024: -69.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+69.7 2020: R+68.2 2016: R+70.0 2012: R+64.2 2008: R+54.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -22.31%
- Current HPI
- 227.0529
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+125.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Pending — GTAR
- 2026-06-16 Price Changed $65,500 GTAR
- 2026-04-29 Listed $69,900 GTAR
- 2019-10-25 Sold (MLS) — GTAR
- 2019-09-27 Listed $29,000 GTAR
Property tax history
+12.6%/yrLatest (2025): $633 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…