6 Birchwood Ct Unit 3H · Mineola, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- Schools +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$325,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
RARE FIND!!! -- Parking Garage w/ Storage Deeded with Co-op!!! Owner Motivated. One Bedroom, One Bathroom Co-op Located in Desirable Birchwood Court. Entry Foyer Leads to Large Light & Bright Living Room. Wood Floors Troughout. Plenty of Closets and Storage. New Laundry Room in Building. Nestled in Garden Oasis-Like Courtyard, Surrounded by Walking Paths, Outdoor Patio, and a Gazebo. Conveniently Located. .. Shopping, Parks, Hospitals, County Buildings, and Transportation to NYC all nearby! MUST SEE!!!
Key facts
- Galley kitchen
- Wood floors
- One bathroom
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Property is part of an association
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; One garage space (fee applies)
- Security: Gated community
- Utilities: Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Phone connected; Sewer connected; Private trash collection; Water available
- Home design: Stock cooperative; One level
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Gated community; No waterfront; Outdoor space
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Gas oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: At least one bedroom on the first floor
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Dining area; Basement provides storage space; Bicycle room and outdoor space in building
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $325k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $564 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $325k).
- Recommended offer: $286k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.7% in Mineola — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#58 in NY, #868 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Mineola Union Free School District (suburban): math 71% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #113 of 590 in NY (top 19%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Jackson Avenue School (math 63% / reading 70%, grade B+, #575 of 2,108 statewide, top 27%, 417 students, 27% FRL); Mineola Middle School (math 66% / reading 57%, grade B+, #147 of 729 statewide, top 20%, 636 students, 32% FRL); Mineola High School (math 92% / reading 80%, grade A, #347 of 1,100 statewide, top 32%, 1,078 students, 34% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 95 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($138k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $91k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 289 days — a 12% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $104k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 289 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.43%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.88% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-9,847
- Equity at exit
- $48,459
- IRR
- 8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.74×
- Total profit
- $67,109
- Equity at exit
- $28,100
Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 11501
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 95
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,557 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,704
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$406 /mo · $4,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$747
- Net cashflow
- $564
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,250
- Closing costs
- $9,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 3rd St Unit 921 Mineola, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $3,750 | $5.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1 3rd St Unit 1033 Mineola, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $3,900 | $5.57 | 44d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 78 Roslyn Rd Unit 202 Mineola, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $2,950 | $2.81 | 4d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 140 Old Country Rd Mineola, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 912 | $3,574 | $3.92 | 1d | 13 | 0.28mi |
| 162 2nd St Unit 4 Mineola, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $3,600 | $4.80 | 12d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 101 Searing Ave Unit 301 Mineola, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1093 | $4,600 | $4.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 101 Searing Ave Unit 210 Mineola, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1085 | $4,900 | $4.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 101 Searing Ave Unit 502 Mineola, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 998 | $4,400 | $4.41 | 11d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 119 Searing Ave Mineola, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 946 | $4,028 | $4.26 | 1d | 13 | 0.36mi |
| 116 Searing Ave Unit N322 Mineola, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $4,435 | $4.03 | 2d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 116 Searing Ave Unit PHN418 Mineola, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 831 | $4,215 | $5.07 | 5d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 101 Clinton Ave Unit 1G Mineola, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,500 | $3.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 147 Main St Unit 3B Mineola, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $3,300 | $3.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2 Laurel Dr Mineola, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 641 | $2,848 | $4.44 | 1d | 15 | 0.46mi |
| 160 Garfield Ave Unit 1 Mineola, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,450 | $3.45 | 13d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1 3rd Ave Mineola, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1140 | $4,550 | $3.99 | 1d | 5 | 0.51mi |
| 100 Lincoln Ave Apt 14A Mineola, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,998 | $3.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 203 Willis Ave Apt 3E Mineola, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,200 | $3.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 101 Jackson Ave Unit 2G Mineola, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 969 | $3,250 | $3.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 269 Willis Ave Unit N Mineola, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,500 | $3.33 | 13d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 365 Stewart Ave Garden City, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1034 | $3,220 | $3.11 | 1d | 1 | 0.93mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-04-15status Pending
-
2026-03-25price $325,000
-
2026-03-01status Active
-
2026-03-01historical
-
2026-01-14price $341,000
-
2025-11-03status Active
-
2025-11-03price $359,000
-
2025-11-02historical
-
2025-09-30status Active
-
2025-09-30historical
-
2025-09-10price $375,000
-
2025-08-24price $399,000
-
2025-07-20price $409,000
-
2025-06-29$429,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,681
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,205
- − Property taxes
- −$4,875
- − Insurance
- −$1,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,414
- − Management
- −$3,414
- − Depreciation
- −$9,455
- Taxable income
- $1,692
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$406
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,360/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mineola Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3619500
- Math proficiency
- 71% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▲ 8.00%
- Median HH income
- $84,012
- Composite
- 62.64/100
- National rank
- #676
- State rank
- #113 of 590 in NY
Livability — Mineola
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #58
- US rank
- #868
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mineola, NY
- County
- Nassau County · 653,051 people
- City population
- 21,641
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,641
- Household income
- $137,665
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 489.0
Population outlook (Nassau County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,409,302 people
- By 2030
- 1,431,482 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 1,471,607 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 1,502,845 · +6.6%
- By 2075
- 1,575,403 · +11.8%
- By 2100
- 1,554,356 · +10.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 16% Asian 14% Two or more races 10% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 6% Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 29% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 62% English-only · Other Indo-European 12% Spanish 11% Chinese 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Nassau
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.2 2020: D+9.5 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -600.19%
- Current HPI
- 327.4674
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.88%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
-24.2% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $325,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-01 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-01 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-14 Price Changed $341,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-03 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-03 Price Changed $359,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-02 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-30 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-30 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-10 Price Changed $375,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-24 Price Changed $399,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-20 Price Changed $409,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-29 Listed $429,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…