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3720 County Road 40 NW #17
B+ Composite 75.53
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$71,900

3720 County Road 40 NW #17 · Garfield, MN 56332
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 552 sqft · Other · 86 Days on market
Built 2023 ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Like-New 2023 Park Model – Affordable Living with High-End Finishes! Experience the perfect blend of comfort and efficiency in this 2023 Highland Manufacturing park model, lightly occupied and loaded with upgrades. Offering 552 sq ft of thoughtfully designed living space, this tiny home features one main-floor bedroom, plus two versatile lofted sleeping areas—ideal for guests or additional storage. Step inside and be greeted by quality craftsmanship, including hardwood Hickory kitchen cabinets with brushed nickel hardware, stainless steel appliances (some never used!), and an inviting electric fireplace that adds warmth and charm. Main-floor laundry hook-ups, along with lots of storage areas and modern finishes throughout, elevate the space beyond the typical mobile home. Located in a well-maintained mobile home park, the monthly lot rent of just $450 includes city water, city sewer, and garbage service, making your monthly expenses more straightforward. Pet lovers are welcome! Dogs weighing under 40 pounds are permitted with approval (please inquire for details regarding our pet policy). All prospective residents must complete an application with Central Minnesota Property Management, which includes a $30 fee per adult applicant. Don't miss out on this move-in-ready, budget-friendly gem—schedule your showing today and discover tiny home living at its best! This home was purchased on 5/1/2023 for $101,655. The seller's mom lived in it for a little more than a year and transitioned to assisted care living. The MSRP was $147,203.

Key facts

  • Modern finishes
  • Electric fireplace
  • Built 2023

Tags

STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESELECTRIC FIREPLACEMAIN-FLOOR LAUNDRY HOOK-UPSLOTS OF STORAGE AREASMODERN FINISHES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $72k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $290 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($996 rent vs $72k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#513 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
  • Alexandria Public School District (town): math 55% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #64 of 301 in MN (top 21%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 285 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (88 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($497 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.1% local appreciation)).
  • Douglas County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $67,586 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.39%
Cap rate
11.13%
Cash-on-cash
17.29%
DSCR
1.77
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.15% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.9%
Equity multiple
2.19×
Total profit
$23,968
Equity at exit
$28,941
10-year hold
IRR
23.7%
Equity multiple
4.16×
Total profit
$63,566
Equity at exit
$42,128

Cash invested: $20,132 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56332

Home prices YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
6
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$996 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$377
Tax est. 1.5%
$90 /mo · $1,078/yr
Insurance
$30
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$209
Net cashflow
$290

Break-even live

Break-even rent $629
Max offer price $71,900
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,975
Closing costs
$2,157
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $71,900 Active 86 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $71,900 Active 85 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $71,900 Active 84 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $71,900 Active 83 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $71,900 Active 82 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $71,900 Active 80 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $71,900 Active 79 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $71,900 Active 76 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $71,900 Active 75 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $71,900 Active 74 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $71,900 Active 70 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $71,900 Active 69 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $71,900 Active 68 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $71,900 Active 67 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $71,900 Active 66 DOM
  16. 2026-03-25
    listed $71,900 Active 1572-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1572 chars)

    Like-New 2023 Park Model – Affordable Living with High-End Finishes! Experience the perfect blend of comfort and efficiency in this 2023 Highland Manufacturing park model, lightly occupied and loaded with upgrades. Offering 552 sq ft of thoughtfully designed living space, this tiny home features one main-floor bedroom, plus two versatile lofted sleeping areas—ideal for guests or additional storage. Step inside and be greeted by quality craftsmanship, including hardwood Hickory kitchen cabinets with brushed nickel hardware, stainless steel appliances (some never used!), and an inviting electric fireplace that adds warmth and charm. Main-floor laundry hook-ups, along with lots of storage areas and modern finishes throughout, elevate the space beyond the typical mobile home. Located in a well-maintained mobile home park, the monthly lot rent of just $450 includes city water, city sewer, and garbage service, making your monthly expenses more straightforward. Pet lovers are welcome! Dogs weighing under 40 pounds are permitted with approval (please inquire for details regarding our pet policy). All prospective residents must complete an application with Central Minnesota Property Management, which includes a $30 fee per adult applicant. Don't miss out on this move-in-ready, budget-friendly gem—schedule your showing today and discover tiny home living at its best! This home was purchased on 5/1/2023 for $101,655. The seller's mom lived in it for a little more than a year and transitioned to assisted care living. The MSRP was $147,203.

  17. 2025-12-02
    historical
  18. 2025-10-30
    price $72,900
  19. 2025-07-30
    price $74,900
  20. 2025-07-14
    price $81,500
  21. 2025-07-01
    listed $82,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 55% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,954
− Mortgage interest
−$4,028
− Property taxes
−$1,078
− Insurance
−$360
− Repairs & maintenance
−$956
− Management
−$956
− Depreciation
−$2,092
Taxable income
$2,484
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$596
After-tax cash flow
$2,885/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alexandria Public School District
NCES district ID
2703060
Math proficiency
55% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$52,476
Composite
48.0/100
National rank
#2197
State rank
#64 of 301 in MN

Livability — Garfield

Score
66/100
State rank
#513
US rank
#12311

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Garfield, MN
Population (ZIP)
1,658

Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,913 people
By 2030
39,636 · +1.9%
By 2040
40,564 · +4.2%
By 2050
40,819 · +4.9%
By 2075
40,824 · +4.9%
By 2100
38,379 · -1.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 25% Slovak 6% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · South Korea
Languages at home
96% English-only · Korean 2% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Douglas

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.1) · D 31.7% · R 66.8% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-25.6pp toward R · 2008: -9.5pp · 2024: -35.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.1 2020: R+32.8 2016: R+35.8 2012: R+15.5 2008: R+9.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.15%
Current HPI
199.4277
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-25 Listed $71,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-02 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-30 Price Changed $72,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-30 Price Changed $74,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-14 Price Changed $81,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-01 Listed $82,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…