🏗️ New Construction
2141 W Totems St · Benson, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +6.5/30.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
- DSCR +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$234,990
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to your spacious and elegant home in the NEW Kartchner Vistas. The Alamar Plan features a open-concept design, seamlessly connecting the Living, Dining, and Kitchen areas--perfect for relaxation and entertaining. Natural light fills the home through low-E insulated dual-pane windows, highlighting elegant Shaker cabinets, granite countertops, and stainless steel LG appliances. Retreat to the expansive primary suite with a private bath, dual vanity sinks, and a generous walk-in closet. This home also includes two additional well-appointed bedrooms. There also a covered patio. Make this beautiful home yours!
Key facts
- 9,583 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2026
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: Benson - B1
- HOA & community: Has HOA (Kartchner Vistas HOA), $38 monthly; Paved street in community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; 2 covered parking spaces
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; New construction; Accessible entrance; Smoke detectors installed
- Construction: Frame with stucco exterior; Tile roof
- Exterior features: Decorative gravel landscaping; Front sprinklers; Subdivided lot; Paved road access; Covered patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Microwave
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms on one level
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Double pane windows; Covered patio/porch
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room with electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-454 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $206k (12.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (21.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $185k (21.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#34 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: commute D, employment D, amenities F.
- Benson Unified School District (79226) (town): math 28% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #98 of 249 in AZ (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Benson Primary School (math 28% / reading 42%, grade F, #466 of 1,109 statewide, top 42%, 560 students, 54% FRL); Benson Middle School (math 29% / reading 39%, grade F, #67 of 218 statewide, top 31%, 295 students, 52% FRL); Benson High School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #120 of 381 statewide, top 34%, 443 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools at 48% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 263 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 437 units permitted in Cochise County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cochise County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.16%
- DSCR
- 0.68
- GRM
- 12.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $271,678
- List price
- $234,990
- Delta
- -13.50%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2125 W Totems St | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,290 (0%) | 1mo | $229,990 | $178 | 96 |
| 1019 S Stalactites Cir | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,333 (+3%) | 14mo | $264,900 | $199 | 73 |
| 1020 S Limestone St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,425 (+10%) | 16mo | $272,500 | $191 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -28.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.04×
- Total profit
- $-72,888
- Equity at exit
- $40,508
- IRR
- -28.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.32×
- Total profit
- $-100,495
- Equity at exit
- $23,490
Cash invested: $76,070 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85602
- Home prices YoY
- -23.4%
- Active inventory
- 263
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,850 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,425
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$340 /mo · $4,075/yr
- Insurance
- −$113
- HOA
- −$38
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$388
- Net cashflow
- $-454
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,920
- Closing costs
- $8,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1617 W Cottonwood Bluffs Dr Benson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1282 | $1,850 | $1.44 | 12d | 1 | 1.12mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $38 · $456/yr
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-05-07$234,990 Active 620-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥98°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,218
- − Property taxes
- −$4,075
- − Insurance
- −$1,358
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,776
- − Management
- −$1,776
- − HOA
- −$456
- − Depreciation
- −$7,903
- Taxable loss
- −$10,363
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,487
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,961/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Benson Unified School District (79226)
- NCES district ID
- 0400212
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,662
- Composite
- 28.17/100
- National rank
- #6811
- State rank
- #98 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Benson
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #34
- US rank
- #6661
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Benson, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,860
Population outlook (Cochise County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 113,402 people
- By 2030
- 106,197 · -6.4%
- By 2040
- 92,166 · -18.7%
- By 2050
- 79,805 · -29.6%
- By 2075
- 56,831 · -49.9%
- By 2100
- 35,103 · -69.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 13%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cochise
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.1) · D 37.8% · R 61.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: -20.7pp · 2024: -23.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.1 2020: R+19.6 2016: R+22.6 2012: R+24.0 2008: R+20.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.74%
- Current HPI
- 182.9079
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — MLSSAZ
- 2026-05-07 Listed $234,990 MLSSAZ
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…