1926 Pearl St · Covington, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Priced to sell. Bank owned. SOLD AS IS.
Key facts
- 2,250 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1894
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family house; One and one-half stories; Existing structure
- Construction: Built in 1894; Brick and vinyl siding; Stone foundation
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; 25 x 90 lot dimensions
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (15 x 15); Bedroom 2 (8 x 8)
- Bathrooms: Primary bath (full)
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Inoperable fireplace; Partial basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $295 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $117k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 5.3% in Covington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#40 in KY, #376 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+.
- Covington Independent (suburban): math 10% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #162 of 165 in KY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Sixth District Elementary School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #630 of 676 statewide, top 95%, 446 students, 84% FRL); Holmes Middle School (math 8% / reading 26%, grade F, #211 of 217 statewide, top 97%, 656 students, 84% FRL); Holmes High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #227 of 254 statewide, top 89%, 878 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools at 83% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 59 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 699 units permitted in Kenton County in 2024 (287 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kenton County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1894 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1894 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.12%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $199,656
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 331 W 17th St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 1,131 (+0%) | 2mo | $97,000 | $86 | 76 |
| 2011 Howell St | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,104 (-2%) | 2mo | $189,000 | $171 | 70 |
| 417 W 16th St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 1,104 (-2%) | 1mo | $52,500 | $48 | 69 |
| 2427 Herman St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 1,072 (-5%) | 1mo | $190,000 | $177 | 68 |
| 2121 Glenway Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,149 (+2%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $218 | 66 |
| 1821 Jefferson Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,116 (-1%) | 2mo | $242,000 | $217 | 64 |
| 409 E 13th St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 1,083 (-4%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $166 | 59 |
| 1733 Jefferson Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,203 (+7%) | 1mo | $242,000 | $201 | 56 |
| 2307 Herman St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,264 (+12%) | 0mo | $145,000 | $115 | 55 |
| 1735 Woodburn Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,255 (+11%) | 1mo | $259,900 | $207 | 54 |
| 1220 Holman St | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 | 1,204 (+7%) | 1mo | $253,000 | $210 | 49 |
| 9 Madison Ct | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,297 (+15%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $177 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.13% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $1,914
- Equity at exit
- $18,623
- IRR
- 13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $40,308
- Equity at exit
- $10,799
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 41014
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 59
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,520 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$199 /mo · $2,390/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$319
- Net cashflow
- $295
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $366 | -5% $330 | +0% $295 | +5% $259 | +10% $224 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $175 | -5% $235 | +0% $295 | +5% $355 | +10% $415 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $358 | -0.5pp $327 | base $295 | +0.5pp $262 | +1.0pp $230 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1914 Eastern Ave Apt 3 Covington, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 15d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1914 Eastern Ave Apt 1 Covington, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 512 Wallace Ave Unit 512/18 Covington, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,299 | $1.44 | 8d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2307 Center St Covington, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1216 | $1,950 | $1.60 | 8d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 344 E 13th St Unit 1 Covington, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1205 Lee St Unit 2 Covington, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,500 | $1.88 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1025 Scott St Unit 2 Covington, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 3d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 634 Greenup St Covington, KY | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,595 | $1.52 | 8d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1700 Aspen Pines Dr Wilder, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1420 | $1,895 | $1.33 | 2d | 14 | 1.19mi |
| 1431 Dixie Hwy Park Hills, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 920 | $2,553 | $2.77 | 2d | 10 | 1.19mi |
| 521 Garrard St Apt 4 Covington, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,695 | $2.34 | 18d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 521 Garrard St Apt 2 Covington, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,595 | $2.20 | 18d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 521 Garrard St Apt 1 Covington, KY | 1.0 | 1.5 | 825 | $1,895 | $2.30 | 18d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 521 Garrard St Apt 6 Covington, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,995 | $2.57 | 17d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 521 Garrard St Apt 3 Covington, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,996 | $2.28 | 15d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 119 W 33rd St Unit 1 Latonia, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,075 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 508 Greenup St Unit 508-02 Covington, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1220 | $1,800 | $1.48 | 2d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1215 Elberta Cir Park Hills, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,050 | $1.27 | 4d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2220 Cityscape Dr Covington, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 932 | $1,985 | $2.13 | 2d | 9 | 1.31mi |
| 1222 E Henry Clay Ave Fort Wright, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,548 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 218 W 5th St Covington, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,595 | $1.99 | 15d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1114 Columbia St Unit 2 Newport, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,550 | $1.68 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1002 Parkvale Ct Unit 1004 1 Park Hills, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1002 Parkvale Ct Unit 1002 3 Park Hills, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $925 | $1.23 | 8d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1000 Parkvale Ct Park Hills, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,495 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 120 Vista Point Dr Wilder, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 854 | $1,184 | $1.39 | 3d | 2 | 1.37mi |
| 515 Main St Covington, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 934 | $2,215 | $2.37 | 2d | 8 | 1.37mi |
| 128 W 9th St Newport, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1012 | $1,650 | $1.63 | 2d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 203 W 8th St Newport, KY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1456 | $2,300 | $1.58 | 22d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 103 E 3rd St Covington, KY | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1291 | $3,250 | $2.52 | 2d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 911 Putnam St #2 Newport, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 22d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $124,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $124,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $124,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $124,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $124,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $124,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $124,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $124,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $124,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $124,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $134,900
-
2026-04-16$139,900 Active
-
2024-09-05soldstatus $240,000
-
2012-02-17soldstatus $17,000
-
2012-02-15soldstatus $12,000 39-char remark
Show marketing remark (39 chars)
Priced to sell. Bank owned. SOLD AS IS.
-
2012-01-20$17,500 39-char remark
Show marketing remark (39 chars)
Priced to sell. Bank owned. SOLD AS IS.
-
2008-05-23soldstatus $45,000
-
2005-09-30soldstatus $45,000 239-char remark
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
Motivated Seller - Owner Says Bring Offer! HUD approved $695/mo. New carpet in LR. Vinyl floor cov in Kit/Bath. Replcmnt windows. Neutral throughout. W/D hook up in kit. 52' long concrete drive. Brick paver patio. Fenced rear yard. Dec FP.
-
2005-07-01$52,000 239-char remark
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
Motivated Seller - Owner Says Bring Offer! HUD approved $695/mo. New carpet in LR. Vinyl floor cov in Kit/Bath. Replcmnt windows. Neutral throughout. W/D hook up in kit. 52' long concrete drive. Brick paver patio. Fenced rear yard. Dec FP.
-
2002-12-16soldstatus $26,650
-
2002-05-10$26,950
-
1999-04-16soldstatus $44,900
-
1999-04-12soldstatus $44,900
-
1998-10-22$44,900
-
1996-06-14soldstatus $18,000
-
1992-01-29soldstatus $18,000
-
1988-10-03soldstatus $22,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,390 · $199/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,390 · $199/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,244
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$2,390
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,459
- − Management
- −$1,459
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable income
- $1,680
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$403
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,135/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Covington Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2101350
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,681
- Composite
- 15.04/100
- National rank
- #9353
- State rank
- #162 of 165 in KY
Livability — Covington
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #40
- US rank
- #376
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Covington, KY
- County
- Kenton County · 142,881 people
- City population
- 34,373
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,392
- Household income
- $61,382
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 511.0
Population outlook (Kenton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 174,205 people
- By 2030
- 177,897 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 182,671 · +4.9%
- By 2050
- 183,543 · +5.4%
- By 2075
- 178,977 · +2.7%
- By 2100
- 159,920 · -8.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Kenton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.7) · D 38.2% · R 59.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.9pp no change · 2008: -20.9pp · 2024: -21.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.7 2020: R+19.3 2016: R+26.1 2012: R+24.3 2008: R+20.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -172.77%
- Current HPI
- 233.8216
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.13%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+499.6% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $134,900 NKMLS
- 2026-04-16 Listed $139,900 NKMLS
- 2024-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $240,000 Public Records
- 2012-02-17 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records
- 2012-02-15 Sold (MLS) $12,000 NKMLS
- 2012-01-20 Listed $17,500 NKMLS
- 2008-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2005-09-30 Sold (MLS) $45,000 NKMLS
- 2005-07-01 Listed $52,000 NKMLS
- 2002-12-16 Sold (MLS) $26,650 NKMLS
- 2002-05-10 Listed $26,950 NKMLS
- 1999-04-16 Sold (Public Records) $44,900 Public Records
- 1999-04-12 Sold (MLS) $44,900 NKMLS
- 1998-10-22 Listed $44,900 NKMLS
- 1996-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
- 1992-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
- 1988-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $22,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+22.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,390 · +228.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…