61308 25th St · Lacombe, LA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.0/30.0
- ARV discount +9.9/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,800
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
<br> Don't DELAY, Schedule your viewing TODAY!
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Built in carport
- Storage shed
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $219 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $164k (8.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.2% in Lacombe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#188 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- St. Tammany Parish (suburban): math 43% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #11 of 98 in LA (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 219 active listings in the ZIP; 1,064 units permitted in St. Tammany Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Tammany County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 225 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 29y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $180k implies a 140% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 225 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.23%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $190,023
- List price
- $179,800
- Delta
- -5.38%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27052 Cloverland Rd | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,190 (+2%) | 4mo | $42,000 | $35 | 82 |
| 27155 Tag A Long Rd | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,150 (-2%) | 12mo | $207,000 | $180 | 82 |
| 27214 Tag A Long Rd | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,058 (-10%) | 9mo | $155,000 | $147 | 60 |
| 61553 Fish Hatchery Rd | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,218 (+4%) | 10mo | $225,000 | $185 | 57 |
| 26080 E Beech St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,212 (+4%) | 2mo | $154,000 | $127 | 56 |
| 26377 Heltemes Ln | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,331 (+14%) | 22mo | $190,000 | $143 | 47 |
| 26214 E Sycamore St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (+9%) | 12mo | $100,000 | $78 | 46 |
| 27245 Heltemes Ln | 0.39mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,250 (+7%) | 24mo | $175,000 | $140 | 45 |
| 27060 Pichon Rd | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,088 (-7%) | 10mo | $50,000 | $46 | 40 |
| 27289 Cloverland Rd | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,322 (+13%) | 19mo | $176,000 | $133 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-15,233
- Equity at exit
- $26,809
- IRR
- 1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $4,419
- Equity at exit
- $15,546
Cash invested: $50,344 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70445
- Home prices YoY
- -24.4%
- Active inventory
- 219
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,639 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $687/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$344
- Net cashflow
- $219
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,950
- Closing costs
- $5,394
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,800 Active 225 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $179,800 Active 224 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $179,800 Active 223 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $179,800 Active 222 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $179,800 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $179,800 Active 217 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $179,800 Active 216 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $179,800 Active 215 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $179,800 Active 214 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $179,800 Active 210 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $179,800 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,800 Active 208 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $179,800 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-04-29price $179,800 46-char remark
Show marketing remark (46 chars)
<br> Don't DELAY, Schedule your viewing TODAY!
-
2026-04-28price $179,800 271-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
This could be your SPOT on a corner LOT! The home features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, a covered porch, built in carport, a detached garage that could be used as workshop, storage shed, and best of all it located in Flood Zone C. Don't DELAY, Schedule your viewing TODAY!
-
2026-03-24price $182,000 46-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
This could be your SPOT on a corner LOT! The home features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, a covered porch, built in carport, a detached garage that could be used as workshop, storage shed, and best of all it located in Flood Zone C. Don't DELAY, Schedule your viewing TODAY!
-
2026-03-24price $182,000 271-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
This could be your SPOT on a corner LOT! The home features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, a covered porch, built in carport, a detached garage that could be used as workshop, storage shed, and best of all it located in Flood Zone C. Don't DELAY, Schedule your viewing TODAY!
-
2026-02-05price $184,000 46-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
This could be your SPOT on a corner LOT! The home features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, a covered porch, built in carport, a detached garage that could be used as workshop, storage shed, and best of all it located in Flood Zone C. Don't DELAY, Schedule your viewing TODAY!
-
2026-02-05price $184,000 271-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
This could be your SPOT on a corner LOT! The home features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, a covered porch, built in carport, a detached garage that could be used as workshop, storage shed, and best of all it located in Flood Zone C. Don't DELAY, Schedule your viewing TODAY!
-
2026-01-19price $189,000 46-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
This could be your SPOT on a corner LOT! The home features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, a covered porch, built in carport, a detached garage that could be used as workshop, storage shed, and best of all it located in Flood Zone C. Don't DELAY, Schedule your viewing TODAY!
-
2026-01-19price $189,000 271-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
This could be your SPOT on a corner LOT! The home features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, a covered porch, built in carport, a detached garage that could be used as workshop, storage shed, and best of all it located in Flood Zone C. Don't DELAY, Schedule your viewing TODAY!
-
2025-11-05$199,000 Active 46-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
This could be your SPOT on a corner LOT! The home features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, a covered porch, built in carport, a detached garage that could be used as workshop, storage shed, and best of all it located in Flood Zone C. Don't DELAY, Schedule your viewing TODAY!
-
2025-11-05$199,000 Active 271-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
This could be your SPOT on a corner LOT! The home features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, a covered porch, built in carport, a detached garage that could be used as workshop, storage shed, and best of all it located in Flood Zone C. Don't DELAY, Schedule your viewing TODAY!
-
2004-08-19soldstatus $75,000
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2004-08-16soldstatus $75,000
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2004-06-14$76,000
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2004-06-14$76,000
-
1997-02-21soldstatus $62,800
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1997-01-14$65,000
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1997-01-14$65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $687 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $989 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- +$301/yr (+$25/mo · 43.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,665
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,072
- − Property taxes
- −$687
- − Insurance
- −$899
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,573
- − Management
- −$1,573
- − Depreciation
- −$5,231
- Taxable loss
- −$370
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$89
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,723/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Tammany Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201650
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -26.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,752
- Composite
- 43.04/100
- National rank
- #3098
- State rank
- #11 of 98 in LA
Livability — Lacombe
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #188
- US rank
- #15034
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lacombe, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,421
Population outlook (St. Tammany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 286,725 people
- By 2030
- 304,175 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 336,203 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 364,590 · +27.2%
- By 2075
- 433,362 · +51.1%
- By 2100
- 470,333 · +64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Black 25% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 12% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 13% Italian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Tammany
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.8) · D 27.3% · R 71.1% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -43.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.8 2020: R+44.2 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+52.2 2008: R+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.75%
- Current HPI
- 178.5418
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+176.6% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $179,800 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $179,800 GSREIN
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $182,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $182,000 GSREIN
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $184,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $184,000 GSREIN
- 2026-01-19 Price Changed $189,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-01-19 Price Changed $189,000 GSREIN
- 2025-11-05 Listed $199,000 GSREIN
- 2025-11-05 Listed $199,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2004-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2004-08-16 Sold (MLS) $75,000 GSREIN
- 2004-06-14 Listed $76,000 GSREIN
- 2004-06-14 Listed $76,000 AcadianaMLS
- 1997-02-21 Sold (MLS) $62,800 GSREIN
- 1997-01-14 Listed $65,000 AcadianaMLS
- 1997-01-14 Listed $65,000 GSREIN
Property tax history
-6.8%/yrLatest (2025): $687 · -15.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…