313 S Nolan Ave · Cameron, TX 76520

$117,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 258 Days on market

Built 1970 0.32 ac lot $90/sqft · 26% below area Est $159k · 26% under ↓ 8% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +26.6/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +9.1/10.0
• 1% rule +7.4/10.0
• Schools +3.7/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offer 1,300 sq ft of living space and is priced to sell! Situated on a spacious corner lot with mature shad trees, it provides plenty of outdoor space in a quiet, established neighborhood. Home is being sold as is, giving you the perfect opportunity to add your own personal touch.

Key facts

• Outdoor space
• Mature shade trees
• Corner lot

Tags

• CORNER LOT
• MATURE SHADE TREES
• OUTDOOR SPACE
• QUIET ESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOOD

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $117k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $313 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $117k).
• Recommended offer: $103k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 2.9% in Cameron — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#812 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• Cameron ISD (rural): math 44% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #312 of 826 in TX (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 132 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 77 units permitted in Milam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $809 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Milam County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 258 days — a 12% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $102,960 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 258 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.24% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.50%
• Cash-on-cash: 11.45%
• DSCR: 1.51
• GRM: 6.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $158,811
• List price: $117,000
• Delta: -26.33%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 14 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
201 N Bowie Ave	0.25mi	2/1.5 (-1)	1,176 (-9%)	12mo	$140,000	$119	56
1506 W 4th St	0.46mi	3/1.0	1,460 (+13%)	8mo	$153,000	$105	51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 0.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.03×
• Total profit: $990
• Equity at exit: $17,445

10-year hold

• IRR: 10.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.81×
• Total profit: $26,651
• Equity at exit: $10,116

Cash invested: $32,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 76520

• Home prices YoY: -31.4%
• Active inventory: 132
• Price-to-rent: 6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,450 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$614
• Tax from tax record: −$171 /mo · $2,047/yr
• Insurance: −$49
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$304
• Net cashflow: $313

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,054

Max offer price $117,000

Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $29,250
• Closing costs: $3,510
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
100 E 7th St Cameron, TX	3.0	2.0	1200	$1,450	$1.21	7d	1	0.77mi

Listing history 20 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $117,000 Active 258 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $117,000 Active 257 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $117,000 Active 256 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $117,000 Active 255 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $117,000 Active 253 DOM
6. 2026-06-12
   days on market $117,000 Active 252 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $117,000 Active 249 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $117,000 Active 248 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $117,000 Active 247 DOM
10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $117,000 Active 245 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $117,000 Active 243 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $117,000 Active 242 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $117,000 Active 241 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $117,000 Active 240 DOM
15. 2026-02-05
    price $117,000 313-char remark

    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offer 1,300 sq ft of living space and is priced to sell! Situated on a spacious corner lot with mature shad trees, it provides plenty of outdoor space in a quiet, established neighborhood. Home is being sold as is, giving you the perfect opportunity to add your own personal touch.

16. 2026-02-05
    price $117,000 313-char remark

    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offer 1,300 sq ft of living space and is priced to sell! Situated on a spacious corner lot with mature shad trees, it provides plenty of outdoor space in a quiet, established neighborhood. Home is being sold as is, giving you the perfect opportunity to add your own personal touch.

17. 2025-10-06
    listed $127,000 Active 313-char remark

    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offer 1,300 sq ft of living space and is priced to sell! Situated on a spacious corner lot with mature shad trees, it provides plenty of outdoor space in a quiet, established neighborhood. Home is being sold as is, giving you the perfect opportunity to add your own personal touch.

18. 2025-10-03
    listed $127,000 Active 313-char remark

    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offer 1,300 sq ft of living space and is priced to sell! Situated on a spacious corner lot with mature shad trees, it provides plenty of outdoor space in a quiet, established neighborhood. Home is being sold as is, giving you the perfect opportunity to add your own personal touch.

19. 2006-05-30
    soldstatus
20. 2005-04-18
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,047 · $171/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,141 · $178/mo
• Expected delta: +$94/yr (+$8/mo · 4.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,400
• − Mortgage interest: −$6,554
• − Property taxes: −$2,047
• − Insurance: −$585
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,392
• − Management: −$1,392
• − Depreciation: −$3,404
• Taxable income: $2,027
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$486
• After-tax cash flow: $3,265/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Cameron ISD
• NCES district ID: 4812640
• Math proficiency: 44% ▼ -2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 44% ▲ 5.00%
• Median HH income: $37,973
• Composite: 36.67/100
• National rank: #4611
• State rank: #312 of 826 in TX

Livability — Cameron

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #812
• US rank: #14747

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Cameron, TX
• Population (ZIP): 8,098

Population outlook (Milam County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 24,051 people
• By 2030: 23,613 · -1.8%
• By 2040: 22,693 · -5.6%
• By 2050: 21,879 · -9.0%
• By 2075: 20,974 · -12.8%
• By 2100: 19,414 · -19.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
• Race & ethnicity: White 47% Hispanic / Latino 32% Black 18% Two or more races 11%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 31%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada
• Languages at home: 79% English-only · Spanish 20%

Political lean MEDSL · Milam

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+57.3) · D 21.0% · R 78.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -31.3pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -57.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+57.3 2020: R+51.9 2016: R+49.9 2012: R+34.6 2008: R+26.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -76.27%
• Current HPI: 167.0164
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-7.9% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-02-05 Price Changed $117,000 CTXMLS
• 2026-02-05 Price Changed $117,000 Unlock MLS
• 2025-10-06 Listed $127,000 CTXMLS
• 2025-10-03 Listed $127,000 Unlock MLS
• 2006-05-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2005-04-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+7.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,047 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.