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4824 Rhea Rd
D Composite 42.15
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.7/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • DSCR +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$260,000

4824 Rhea Rd · Wichita Falls, TX 76308
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,322 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 143 Days on market
Built 1979 $112/sqft · 16% below area Est $310k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home with a 2-car garage offering over 2,300 sq ft of living space. The functional floor plan includes two living areas with new carpet, perfect for entertaining, a home office, or flexible use. Recent updates feature a brand-new roof and two HVAC units, ensuring comfort during the summer months. Conveniently located approximately 20 minutes from Sheppard Air Force Base and 15 minutes from shopping and grocery options.

Key facts

  • Recent updates
  • Brand new roof
  • Two hvac units

Tags

FUNCTIONAL FLOOR PLANTWO LIVING AREASHOME OFFICERECENT UPDATESBRAND NEW ROOFTWO HVAC UNITS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-203 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $224k (13.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $228k (12.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $224k (13.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#437 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools D.
  • Wichita Falls ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #585 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 131 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 231 units permitted in Wichita County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wichita County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($229k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $224,147 (13.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
5.36%
Cash-on-cash
-3.35%
DSCR
0.85
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$309,839
List price
$260,000
Delta
-16.09%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4805 Saddleback Ln 0.43mi 4/3.0 2,264 (-2%) 9mo $445,000 $197 65
4811 Saddleback Ln 0.41mi 4/3.0 2,229 (-4%) 12mo $455,000 $204 60
4804 Dickens St 0.55mi 4/2.0 2,062 (-11%) 22mo $274,600 $133 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.77% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.9%
Equity multiple
0.27×
Total profit
$-53,118
Equity at exit
$38,767
10-year hold
IRR
-12.2%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-54,830
Equity at exit
$22,480

Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76308

Rents YoY
3.8%
Active inventory
131
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,279 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,363
Tax from tax record
$531 /mo · $6,375/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$479
Net cashflow
$-203

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,535
Max offer price $224,147
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-56 -5% $-129 +0% $-203 +5% $-277 +10% $-350
Rent -10% $-383 -5% $-293 +0% $-203 +5% $-113 +10% $-23
Rate -1.0pp $-72 -0.5pp $-137 base $-203 +0.5pp $-270 +1.0pp $-339

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$65,000
Closing costs
$7,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
304 Mariners Way Wichita Falls, TX 4.0 3.0 3087 $4,300 $1.39 45d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    days on market $260,000 Active 143 DOM
  2. 2026-06-05
    days on market $260,000 Active 140 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $260,000 Active 138 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $260,000 Active 137 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $260,000 Active 136 DOM
  6. 2026-05-30
    days on market $260,000 Active 135 DOM
  7. 2026-04-21
    price $260,000 449-char remark
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    Spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home with a 2-car garage offering over 2,300 sq ft of living space. The functional floor plan includes two living areas with new carpet, perfect for entertaining, a home office, or flexible use. Recent updates feature a brand-new roof and two HVAC units, ensuring comfort during the summer months. Conveniently located approximately 20 minutes from Sheppard Air Force Base and 15 minutes from shopping and grocery options.

  8. 2026-04-21
    price $260,900 449-char remark
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    Spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home with a 2-car garage offering over 2,300 sq ft of living space. The functional floor plan includes two living areas with new carpet, perfect for entertaining, a home office, or flexible use. Recent updates feature a brand-new roof and two HVAC units, ensuring comfort during the summer months. Conveniently located approximately 20 minutes from Sheppard Air Force Base and 15 minutes from shopping and grocery options.

  9. 2026-03-16
    price $269,900 449-char remark
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    Spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home with a 2-car garage offering over 2,300 sq ft of living space. The functional floor plan includes two living areas with new carpet, perfect for entertaining, a home office, or flexible use. Recent updates feature a brand-new roof and two HVAC units, ensuring comfort during the summer months. Conveniently located approximately 20 minutes from Sheppard Air Force Base and 15 minutes from shopping and grocery options.

  10. 2026-01-15
    listed $275,000 Active 449-char remark
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    Spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home with a 2-car garage offering over 2,300 sq ft of living space. The functional floor plan includes two living areas with new carpet, perfect for entertaining, a home office, or flexible use. Recent updates feature a brand-new roof and two HVAC units, ensuring comfort during the summer months. Conveniently located approximately 20 minutes from Sheppard Air Force Base and 15 minutes from shopping and grocery options.

  11. 2023-08-14
    soldstatus Closed 393-char remark
    Show marketing remark (393 chars)

    Fresh and clean! A true 4 bedroom home with two living areas! Updates include brand new carpet, fresh paint throughout, showers/tubs new coating, new ceiling fans, new sealant on kitchen countertops and updated electrical. 2 HVAC units providing continuous comfort. Located in sought after Midwestern Farm subdivision, all you need to do is MOVE IN. Yard is low maintenance for easy enjoyment.

  12. 2023-08-14
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (393 chars)

    Fresh and clean! A true 4 bedroom home with two living areas! Updates include brand new carpet, fresh paint throughout, showers/tubs new coating, new ceiling fans, new sealant on kitchen countertops and updated electrical. 2 HVAC units providing continuous comfort. Located in sought after Midwestern Farm subdivision, all you need to do is MOVE IN. Yard is low maintenance for easy enjoyment.

  13. 2023-08-06
    historical 393-char remark
    Show marketing remark (393 chars)

    Fresh and clean! A true 4 bedroom home with two living areas! Updates include brand new carpet, fresh paint throughout, showers/tubs new coating, new ceiling fans, new sealant on kitchen countertops and updated electrical. 2 HVAC units providing continuous comfort. Located in sought after Midwestern Farm subdivision, all you need to do is MOVE IN. Yard is low maintenance for easy enjoyment.

  14. 2023-07-14
    listed $240,000 Active 393-char remark
    Show marketing remark (393 chars)

    Fresh and clean! A true 4 bedroom home with two living areas! Updates include brand new carpet, fresh paint throughout, showers/tubs new coating, new ceiling fans, new sealant on kitchen countertops and updated electrical. 2 HVAC units providing continuous comfort. Located in sought after Midwestern Farm subdivision, all you need to do is MOVE IN. Yard is low maintenance for easy enjoyment.

  15. 2023-07-11
    price $265,000
  16. 2023-06-21
    price $279,900
  17. 2018-10-16
    soldstatus
  18. 2018-10-15
    soldstatus
  19. 2018-08-22
    listed $167,900
  20. 2015-05-12
    soldstatus
  21. 2015-05-12
    soldstatus
  22. 2014-04-30
    listed $120,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,375 · $531/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,375 · $531/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,343
− Mortgage interest
−$14,564
− Property taxes
−$6,375
− Insurance
−$1,300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,187
− Management
−$2,187
− Depreciation
−$7,564
Taxable loss
−$6,834
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,640
After-tax cash flow
$-795/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wichita Falls ISD
NCES district ID
4845780
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,604
Composite
27.06/100
National rank
#7051
State rank
#585 of 826 in TX

Livability — Wichita Falls

Score
69/100
State rank
#437
US rank
#8940

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wichita Falls, TX
County
Wichita County · 95,694 people
City population
95,694
Metro
Wichita Falls, TX
Population (ZIP)
21,896
Household income
$74,772
Rent vs Own
47.7% rent · 52.3% own
Severe rent burden
708.0

Population outlook (Wichita County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
129,638 people
By 2030
128,366 · -1.0%
By 2040
124,466 · -4.0%
By 2050
120,499 · -7.0%
By 2075
113,884 · -12.2%
By 2100
101,818 · -21.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 16% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 6% Arabic 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wichita

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.5% · R 71.5%
2008→2024 swing
-5.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.9pp · 2024: -44.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+49.7 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+38.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -118.47%
Current HPI
177.1989
Rent YoY
▲ 3.77%
Metro
Wichita Falls, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+116.7% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $260,000 WFAOR
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $260,900 WFAOR
  • 2026-03-16 Price Changed $269,900 WFAOR
  • 2026-01-15 Listed $275,000 WFAOR
  • 2023-08-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-08-14 Sold (MLS) WFAOR
  • 2023-08-06 Delisted WFAOR
  • 2023-07-14 Listed $240,000 WFAOR
  • 2023-07-11 Price Changed $265,000 WFAOR
  • 2023-06-21 Price Changed $279,900 WFAOR
  • 2018-10-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-10-15 Sold (MLS) WFAOR
  • 2018-08-22 Listed $167,900 WFAOR
  • 2015-05-12 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2015-05-12 Sold (MLS) WFAOR
  • 2014-04-30 Listed $120,000 WFAOR

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,375 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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