2799 Siskiyou Blvd Unit 7 · Ashland, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 33 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 34 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$29,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cute and Quaint 2 bedroom, 1 full bath mobile in an all age park. Home has a gas furnace forced air, window A/C unit, laminate flooring, carpet in bedrooms. Bathroom offers a tub/shower combo. Fridge and range/oven included. Nice covered front Porch for outside living with small yard area. Park has onsite laundry facilities and check with park for pet policy. Mobile is being sold as-is. ___________________________________________
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Laminate flooring
- Window a/c unit
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath land listed at $29k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $347 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $29k).
- Recommended offer: $26k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.6% vs local median 2.1% in Ashland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#42 in OR, #1,019 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Ashland SD 5 (suburban): math 59% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #5 of 183 in OR (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 365 active listings in the ZIP; 904 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (212 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $200 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $870 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 345 days — a 12% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (42%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $19k; list at $29k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 47% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 345 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 51.26%
- DSCR
- 3.28
- GRM
- 1.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $23,894
- List price
- $29,000
- Delta
- 21.37%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.69% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 46.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.94×
- Total profit
- $15,740
- Equity at exit
- $4,324
- IRR
- 51.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.38×
- Total profit
- $35,579
- Equity at exit
- $2,507
Cash invested: $8,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97520
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 365
- Price-to-rent
- 1.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,644 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$152
- Tax from tax record
- −$8 /mo · $95/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$780
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$345
- Net cashflow
- $347
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,250
- Closing costs
- $870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $780 · $9,360/yr
- Likely covers
- gas
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $29,000 Active 345 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $29,000 Active 344 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $29,000 Active 343 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $29,000 Active 342 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $29,000 Active 341 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $29,000 Active 339 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $29,000 Active 338 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $29,000 Active 336 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $29,000 Active 335 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $29,000 Active 334 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $29,000 Active 333 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $29,000 Active 330 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $29,000 Active 329 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $29,000 Active 328 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $29,000 Active 327 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $29,000 Active 326 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $29,000 Active 325 DOM
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2026-05-10price $29,000 433-char remark
Show marketing remark (433 chars)
Cute and Quaint 2 bedroom, 1 full bath mobile in an all age park. Home has a gas furnace forced air, window A/C unit, laminate flooring, carpet in bedrooms. Bathroom offers a tub/shower combo. Fridge and range/oven included. Nice covered front Porch for outside living with small yard area. Park has onsite laundry facilities and check with park for pet policy. Mobile is being sold as-is. ___________________________________________
-
2026-02-18price $33,000 433-char remark
Show marketing remark (433 chars)
Cute and Quaint 2 bedroom, 1 full bath mobile in an all age park. Home has a gas furnace forced air, window A/C unit, laminate flooring, carpet in bedrooms. Bathroom offers a tub/shower combo. Fridge and range/oven included. Nice covered front Porch for outside living with small yard area. Park has onsite laundry facilities and check with park for pet policy. Mobile is being sold as-is. ___________________________________________
-
2025-09-30price $36,000 433-char remark
Show marketing remark (433 chars)
Cute and Quaint 2 bedroom, 1 full bath mobile in an all age park. Home has a gas furnace forced air, window A/C unit, laminate flooring, carpet in bedrooms. Bathroom offers a tub/shower combo. Fridge and range/oven included. Nice covered front Porch for outside living with small yard area. Park has onsite laundry facilities and check with park for pet policy. Mobile is being sold as-is. ___________________________________________
-
2025-08-23price $40,000 433-char remark
Show marketing remark (433 chars)
Cute and Quaint 2 bedroom, 1 full bath mobile in an all age park. Home has a gas furnace forced air, window A/C unit, laminate flooring, carpet in bedrooms. Bathroom offers a tub/shower combo. Fridge and range/oven included. Nice covered front Porch for outside living with small yard area. Park has onsite laundry facilities and check with park for pet policy. Mobile is being sold as-is. ___________________________________________
-
2025-08-01price $46,000 433-char remark
Show marketing remark (433 chars)
Cute and Quaint 2 bedroom, 1 full bath mobile in an all age park. Home has a gas furnace forced air, window A/C unit, laminate flooring, carpet in bedrooms. Bathroom offers a tub/shower combo. Fridge and range/oven included. Nice covered front Porch for outside living with small yard area. Park has onsite laundry facilities and check with park for pet policy. Mobile is being sold as-is. ___________________________________________
-
2025-07-09$50,000 Active 433-char remark
Show marketing remark (433 chars)
Cute and Quaint 2 bedroom, 1 full bath mobile in an all age park. Home has a gas furnace forced air, window A/C unit, laminate flooring, carpet in bedrooms. Bathroom offers a tub/shower combo. Fridge and range/oven included. Nice covered front Porch for outside living with small yard area. Park has onsite laundry facilities and check with park for pet policy. Mobile is being sold as-is. ___________________________________________
-
2023-01-17soldstatus $19,000 Closed 991-char remark
Show marketing remark (991 chars)
Clean 2 bedroom. 1 bath with tub/shower combo, s/w mobile home located in Siskiyou Village an ''ALL-AGE'' Park. The home is cozy and ready for a new owner to add their own personal touches. Home includes a gas f/a furnace and a wall/window A/C unit. Nice laminate flooring, new carpet in bedrooms and a freshly painted interior. Gas range/oven and refrigerator included in home. Covered front porch entry with an area at back steps to plant grass. The Park has built a new fence at back of home. Park Space Rent is $670./month which includes water, sewer and trash. Home is on its' own electric meter and monthly electric bill is in addition to Park space rent. The Park features a clean on-site Laundry facility for washing and drying your clothes at a reasonable cost. Pet Policy is a Maximum of 2 small pets-MUST be approved by Park Management/Owner. Great ''on-leash'' pet walking area. Buyer MUST be approved by Park Owner. SOLD in ''AS-IS'' condition with Seller performing NO Repairs.
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2022-12-29status Pending 991-char remark
Show marketing remark (991 chars)
Clean 2 bedroom. 1 bath with tub/shower combo, s/w mobile home located in Siskiyou Village an ''ALL-AGE'' Park. The home is cozy and ready for a new owner to add their own personal touches. Home includes a gas f/a furnace and a wall/window A/C unit. Nice laminate flooring, new carpet in bedrooms and a freshly painted interior. Gas range/oven and refrigerator included in home. Covered front porch entry with an area at back steps to plant grass. The Park has built a new fence at back of home. Park Space Rent is $670./month which includes water, sewer and trash. Home is on its' own electric meter and monthly electric bill is in addition to Park space rent. The Park features a clean on-site Laundry facility for washing and drying your clothes at a reasonable cost. Pet Policy is a Maximum of 2 small pets-MUST be approved by Park Management/Owner. Great ''on-leash'' pet walking area. Buyer MUST be approved by Park Owner. SOLD in ''AS-IS'' condition with Seller performing NO Repairs.
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2022-12-02price $19,000 991-char remark
Show marketing remark (991 chars)
Clean 2 bedroom. 1 bath with tub/shower combo, s/w mobile home located in Siskiyou Village an ''ALL-AGE'' Park. The home is cozy and ready for a new owner to add their own personal touches. Home includes a gas f/a furnace and a wall/window A/C unit. Nice laminate flooring, new carpet in bedrooms and a freshly painted interior. Gas range/oven and refrigerator included in home. Covered front porch entry with an area at back steps to plant grass. The Park has built a new fence at back of home. Park Space Rent is $670./month which includes water, sewer and trash. Home is on its' own electric meter and monthly electric bill is in addition to Park space rent. The Park features a clean on-site Laundry facility for washing and drying your clothes at a reasonable cost. Pet Policy is a Maximum of 2 small pets-MUST be approved by Park Management/Owner. Great ''on-leash'' pet walking area. Buyer MUST be approved by Park Owner. SOLD in ''AS-IS'' condition with Seller performing NO Repairs.
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2022-11-10$21,500 Active 991-char remark
Show marketing remark (991 chars)
Clean 2 bedroom. 1 bath with tub/shower combo, s/w mobile home located in Siskiyou Village an ''ALL-AGE'' Park. The home is cozy and ready for a new owner to add their own personal touches. Home includes a gas f/a furnace and a wall/window A/C unit. Nice laminate flooring, new carpet in bedrooms and a freshly painted interior. Gas range/oven and refrigerator included in home. Covered front porch entry with an area at back steps to plant grass. The Park has built a new fence at back of home. Park Space Rent is $670./month which includes water, sewer and trash. Home is on its' own electric meter and monthly electric bill is in addition to Park space rent. The Park features a clean on-site Laundry facility for washing and drying your clothes at a reasonable cost. Pet Policy is a Maximum of 2 small pets-MUST be approved by Park Management/Owner. Great ''on-leash'' pet walking area. Buyer MUST be approved by Park Owner. SOLD in ''AS-IS'' condition with Seller performing NO Repairs.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $95 · $8/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $281 · $23/mo
- Expected delta
- +$187/yr (+$16/mo · 197.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 33 unhealthy d/yr today · 34 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,730
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,624
- − Property taxes
- −$95
- − Insurance
- −$145
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,578
- − Management
- −$1,578
- − HOA
- −$9,360
- − Depreciation
- −$844
- Taxable income
- $4,506
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,081
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,081/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ashland SD 5
- NCES district ID
- 4101560
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,917
- Composite
- 57.0/100
- National rank
- #2358
- State rank
- #5 of 183 in OR
Livability — Ashland
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #42
- US rank
- #1019
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Jackson County · 159,661 people
- City population
- 26,512
- Metro
- Medford, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,512
- Household income
- $67,948
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1727.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 234,433 people
- By 2030
- 243,834 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 259,717 · +10.8%
- By 2050
- 273,269 · +16.6%
- By 2075
- 300,624 · +28.2%
- By 2100
- 305,256 · +30.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Lithuanian 5% Portuguese 4%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.4) · D 45.5% · R 51.9% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.5pp toward R · 2008: 0.1pp · 2024: -6.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.4 2020: R+3.5 2016: R+9.2 2012: R+5.0 2008: D+0.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -555.69%
- Current HPI
- 231.9587
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.69%
- Metro
- Medford, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+34.9% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Price Changed $29,000 MLSCO
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $33,000 MLSCO
- 2025-09-30 Price Changed $36,000 MLSCO
- 2025-08-23 Price Changed $40,000 MLSCO
- 2025-08-01 Price Changed $46,000 MLSCO
- 2025-07-09 Listed $50,000 MLSCO
- 2023-01-17 Sold (MLS) $19,000 MLSCO
- 2022-12-29 Pending — MLSCO
- 2022-12-02 Price Changed $19,000 MLSCO
- 2022-11-10 Listed $21,500 MLSCO
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2022): $95 · +13.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…