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400 Poplar Ave Ave
B Composite 70.84
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

400 Poplar Ave Ave · Waterloo, IA 50703
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 956 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1937 3,200 sqft lot Est $90k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Whether you’re looking for your first home or a smart investment property, this well-maintained 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom home is full of potential. This charming home offers the perfect blend of comfort, simplicity, and value. Don’t miss your chance to own an affordable property with plenty of possibilities!

Key facts

  • 3,200 sq ft lot
  • Built 1937
  • Listed 7 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No designated parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Below-grade finished area (~300)
  • Exterior features: Concrete road access; 40 x 80 lot dimensions; Zoned R-1

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric heating
  • Interior features: Masonry fireplace; Block basement (finished area below grade)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $156 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($860 rent vs $70k).
  • Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 4.2% in Waterloo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#74 in IA, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Waterloo Community School District (urban): math 50% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #276 of 289 in IA (top 96%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Lincoln Elementary School (math 38% / reading 42%, grade F, #576 of 616 statewide, top 94%, 471 students, 86% FRL); George Washington Carver Academy (math 36% / reading 43%, grade F, #240 of 246 statewide, top 98%, 442 students, 91% FRL); East High School (math 39% / reading 58%, grade D, #317 of 336 statewide, top 94%, 1,022 students, 73% FRL) — zoned schools average 83% FRL vs 58% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 98 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 287 units permitted in Black Hawk County in 2024 (67 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Black Hawk County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $46k; list at $70k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $69,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
8.98%
Cash-on-cash
9.58%
DSCR
1.43
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$89,864
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1162 Kern Street St 0.09mi 2/1.0 (+1) 941 (-2%) 4mo $97,900 $104 85
1035 Newton St 0.26mi 2/1.5 (+1) 963 (+1%) 8mo $95,000 $99 73
1128 Newton St 0.18mi 2/1.0 (+1) 906 (-5%) 7mo $85,000 $94 72
748 Conger St 0.58mi 2/1.0 (+1) 864 (-10%) 5mo $60,000 $69 48
929 Kern St 0.37mi 2/1.0 (+1) 886 (-7%) 22mo $58,000 $65 47
714 Conger St 0.66mi 2/1.0 (+1) 918 (-4%) 19mo $100,000 $109 42
1111 Burton Ave 0.33mi 2/1.0 (+1) 812 (-15%) 19mo $73,500 $91 39
713 Riehl St 0.65mi 2/2.0 (+1) 836 (-13%) 1mo $78,500 $94 39
725 Riehl St St 0.63mi 2/1.0 (+1) 868 (-9%) 15mo $99,900 $115 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.5%
Equity multiple
1.10×
Total profit
$1,955
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
15.5%
Equity multiple
2.49×
Total profit
$29,243
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50703

Rents YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
98
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$860 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$128 /mo · $1,530/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$181
Net cashflow
$156

Break-even live

Break-even rent $662
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1124 Kern St Waterloo, IA 2.0 1.0 740 $950 $1.28 44d 1 0.13mi
661 Dawson St Waterloo, IA 2.0 1.0 704 $895 $1.27 21d 1 0.66mi
657 Dawson St Waterloo, IA 2.0 1.0 692 $810 $1.17 44d 1 0.67mi
1132 Ackermant St Waterloo, IA 2.0 1.0 685 $825 $1.20 44d 1 1.02mi
1137 Columbia St Waterloo, IA 1.0 1.0 588 $725 $1.23 21d 1 1.06mi
314 Conger St Waterloo, IA 2.0 1.0 840 $875 $1.04 44d 1 1.08mi
1148 Columbia St Waterloo, IA 2.0 1.0 816 $850 $1.04 44d 1 1.08mi
307 Riehl St Waterloo, IA 2.0 1.0 640 $825 $1.29 21d 1 1.09mi
136 Janney Ave Waterloo, IA 2.0 2.0 901 $1,325 $1.47 44d 1 1.12mi
405 W Donald St Waterloo, IA 2.0–3.0 1.0 880 $900 $1.02 21d 4 1.30mi
118 Harrison St Waterloo, IA 2.0 1.0 600 $500 $0.83 44d 1 1.33mi
45 W Jefferson St Waterloo, IA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1062 $1,102 $1.04 21d 9 1.34mi
21 W Jefferson St Waterloo, IA 1.0 1.0 711 $1,410 $1.98 21d 6 1.39mi
1254 W Mullan Ave Unit 1254 Waterloo, IA 2.0 1.0 864 $775 $0.90 21d 1 1.44mi
W Mullan Ave Waterloo, IA 2.0 1.0 918 $710 $0.77 44d 2 1.45mi
1653 Carriage Hill Dr #1 Waterloo, IA 2.0 1.0 721 $795 $1.10 21d 1 1.46mi
1272 W Mullan Ave Unit 1272 Waterloo, IA 2.0 1.0 864 $825 $0.95 21d 1 1.46mi
102 1/2 South St Waterloo, IA 1.0 1.0 668 $550 $0.82 21d 1 1.48mi
211 W Wellington St Unit 211 1/2 Wellington Waterloo, IA 1.0 1.0 600 $600 $1.00 44d 1 1.49mi
401 Argyle St Waterloo, IA 2.0 1.0 800 $800 $1.00 44d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $69,900 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $69,900 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    remarks 306-char remark
  8. 2026-06-13
    listed $69,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,530 · $128/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,530 · $128/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,321
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$1,530
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$826
− Management
−$826
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$841
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$202
After-tax cash flow
$1,673/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Waterloo Community School District
NCES district ID
1930480
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$42,545
Composite
43.72/100
National rank
#2950
State rank
#276 of 289 in IA

Livability — Waterloo

Score
81/100
State rank
#74
US rank
#1589

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Waterloo, IA
County
Black Hawk County · 112,933 people
City population
69,066
Metro
Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA
Population (ZIP)
17,952
Household income
$50,060
Rent vs Own
42.2% rent · 57.8% own
Severe rent burden
871.0

Population outlook (Black Hawk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
139,716 people
By 2030
142,853 · +2.2%
By 2040
147,843 · +5.8%
By 2050
153,247 · +9.7%
By 2075
167,977 · +20.2%
By 2100
177,320 · +26.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Philippines, China
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Black Hawk

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-21.3pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 1.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.2 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.3 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -117.18%
Current HPI
132.9478
Rent YoY
▲ 6.67%
Metro
Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+52.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $69,900 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2013-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,530 · +8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…