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3193 Myrton St
D Composite 42.07
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$25,000

3193 Myrton St · Burton, MI 48529
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,160 sqft · SingleFamily · 99 Days on market
Built 1942 10,019 sqft lot $22/sqft · 75% below area ↓ 37% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Home is being sold as is. Home needs to be gutted and completely remodeled. It is on a large lot and has a ton of potential.

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1942

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $796 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
  • Recommended offer: $23k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 44.5% vs local median 3.8% in Burton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#555 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
  • Atherton Community Schools (suburban): math 13% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #481 of 540 in MI (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($23k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $20k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $22,750 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.91%
Cap rate
44.52%
Cash-on-cash
136.54%
DSCR
7.08
GRM
1.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$99,323
List price
$25,000
Delta
-74.83%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3208 Ludwig St 0.08mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,185 (+2%) 5mo $25,000 $21 79
723 Mckeighan Ave 0.39mi 2/1.0 1,160 (0%) 4mo $29,900 $26 74
4424 Cheyenne Ave 0.20mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,212 (+4%) 1mo $76,000 $63 74
1030 Mckeighan Ave 0.22mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,049 (-10%) 2mo $50,000 $48 65
802 McKeighan Ave 0.38mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,056 (-9%) 3mo $95,900 $91 56
1005 Macdonald Ave 0.29mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,321 (+14%) 0mo $140,000 $106 54
3705 Cherokee Ave 0.51mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,092 (-6%) 10mo $72,500 $66 49
3491 Laurel Ave 0.73mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (+3%) 10mo $160,000 $133 47
3110 Menominee Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,092 (-6%) 2mo $35,000 $32 45
3336 Leta Ave 0.60mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,000 (-14%) 0mo $130,000 $130 40
3210 Cherokee Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,092 (-6%) 11mo $85,000 $78 37
526 Mckeighan Ave 0.61mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,326 (+14%) 7mo $70,000 $53 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.67×
Total profit
$46,695
Equity at exit
$3,728
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
16.15×
Total profit
$106,057
Equity at exit
$2,162

Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48529

Home prices YoY
-26.5%
Active inventory
53
Price-to-rent
1.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,227 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$131
Tax est. 1.5%
$31 /mo · $375/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$258
Net cashflow
$796

Break-even live

Break-even rent $219
Max offer price $25,000
Occupancy floor 30%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,250
Closing costs
$750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4509 Cheyenne Ave Flint, MI 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,400 $1.17 14d 1 0.17mi
1034 McKeighan Ave Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,250 $1.20 21d 1 0.22mi
805 E Hemphill Rd Flint, MI 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,000 $0.83 14d 1 0.39mi
3291 Glengary St Burton, MI 2.0 1.0 972 $1,075 $1.11 44d 1 0.53mi
4411 Red Arrow Rd Flint, MI 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,400 $1.17 14d 1 0.69mi
2266 Donovan St Burton, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 14d 1 0.75mi
132 Pine Blf Flint, MI 3.0 2.0 960 $953 $0.99 44d 1 0.86mi
3440 Creekside Blvd Burton, MI 3.0 2.0 1512 $1,424 $0.94 14d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 35 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $25,000 Active 99 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $25,000 Active 98 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $25,000 Active 97 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $25,000 Active 96 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $25,000 Active 94 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $25,000 Active 93 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $25,000 Active 91 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $25,000 Active 90 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $25,000 Active 89 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $25,000 Active 88 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $25,000 Active 85 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $25,000 Active 83 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $25,000 Active 82 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $25,000 Active 81 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $25,000 Active 80 DOM
  16. 2026-03-11
    listed $25,000 Active 124-char remark
    Show marketing remark (124 chars)

    Home is being sold as is. Home needs to be gutted and completely remodeled. It is on a large lot and has a ton of potential.

  17. 2026-03-11
    listed $25,000 Active 124-char remark
    Show marketing remark (124 chars)

    Home is being sold as is. Home needs to be gutted and completely remodeled. It is on a large lot and has a ton of potential.

  18. 2024-12-26
    status Pending
  19. 2024-12-26
    status Pending
  20. 2024-12-26
    soldstatus $20,000 Closed
  21. 2024-12-26
    soldstatus $20,000 Closed
  22. 2024-12-19
    listed $20,000 Active
  23. 2024-12-19
    listed $20,000 Active
  24. 2020-06-08
    soldstatus $17,000 Sold
  25. 2020-06-08
    soldstatus $17,000 Closed
  26. 2020-05-30
    status Pending
  27. 2020-05-30
    status Pending
  28. 2020-04-06
    listed $23,500 Active
  29. 2020-04-06
    listed $23,500 Active
  30. 2020-03-31
    historical
  31. 2020-03-31
    historical
  32. 2019-09-29
    listed $29,500 Active
  33. 2019-09-29
    listed $29,500 Active
  34. 1997-11-28
    historical
  35. 1997-09-26
    listed $39,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,723
− Mortgage interest
−$1,400
− Property taxes
−$375
− Insurance
−$125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,178
− Management
−$1,178
− Depreciation
−$727
Taxable income
$9,739
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,337
After-tax cash flow
$7,220/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Atherton Community Schools
NCES district ID
2603540
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$39,416
Composite
15.21/100
National rank
#9341
State rank
#481 of 540 in MI

Livability — Burton

Score
61/100
State rank
#555
US rank
#17380

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Burton, MI
City population
26,014
Population (ZIP)
8,959

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -82.30%
Current HPI
228.5338
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-37.3% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-12-26 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-12-26 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2024-12-26 Sold (MLS) $20,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-12-26 Sold (MLS) $20,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-12-19 Listed $20,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-12-19 Listed $20,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-06-08 Sold (MLS) $17,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-06-08 Sold (MLS) $17,000 REALCOMP
  • 2020-05-30 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2020-05-30 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-04-06 Listed $23,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-04-06 Listed $23,500 REALCOMP
  • 2020-03-31 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2020-03-31 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-09-29 Listed $29,500 REALCOMP
  • 2019-09-29 Listed $29,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1997-11-28 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1997-09-26 Listed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+13.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,834 · -14.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…