3193 Myrton St · Burton, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$25,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Home is being sold as is. Home needs to be gutted and completely remodeled. It is on a large lot and has a ton of potential.
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1942
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $796 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
- Recommended offer: $23k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 44.5% vs local median 3.8% in Burton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#555 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
- Atherton Community Schools (suburban): math 13% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #481 of 540 in MI (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($23k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $20k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.91% ✓
- Cap rate
- 44.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 136.54%
- DSCR
- 7.08
- GRM
- 1.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $99,323
- List price
- $25,000
- Delta
- -74.83%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3208 Ludwig St | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,185 (+2%) | 5mo | $25,000 | $21 | 79 |
| 723 Mckeighan Ave | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 1,160 (0%) | 4mo | $29,900 | $26 | 74 |
| 4424 Cheyenne Ave | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,212 (+4%) | 1mo | $76,000 | $63 | 74 |
| 1030 Mckeighan Ave | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,049 (-10%) | 2mo | $50,000 | $48 | 65 |
| 802 McKeighan Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,056 (-9%) | 3mo | $95,900 | $91 | 56 |
| 1005 Macdonald Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,321 (+14%) | 0mo | $140,000 | $106 | 54 |
| 3705 Cherokee Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,092 (-6%) | 10mo | $72,500 | $66 | 49 |
| 3491 Laurel Ave | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+3%) | 10mo | $160,000 | $133 | 47 |
| 3110 Menominee Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,092 (-6%) | 2mo | $35,000 | $32 | 45 |
| 3336 Leta Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (-14%) | 0mo | $130,000 | $130 | 40 |
| 3210 Cherokee Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,092 (-6%) | 11mo | $85,000 | $78 | 37 |
| 526 Mckeighan Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,326 (+14%) | 7mo | $70,000 | $53 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 7.67×
- Total profit
- $46,695
- Equity at exit
- $3,728
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 16.15×
- Total profit
- $106,057
- Equity at exit
- $2,162
Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48529
- Home prices YoY
- -26.5%
- Active inventory
- 53
- Price-to-rent
- 1.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,227 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$31 /mo · $375/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$258
- Net cashflow
- $796
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,250
- Closing costs
- $750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4509 Cheyenne Ave Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 1034 McKeighan Ave Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,250 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 805 E Hemphill Rd Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,000 | $0.83 | 14d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 3291 Glengary St Burton, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 972 | $1,075 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 4411 Red Arrow Rd Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2266 Donovan St Burton, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 132 Pine Blf Flint, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $953 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3440 Creekside Blvd Burton, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1512 | $1,424 | $0.94 | 14d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $25,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $25,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $25,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $25,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $25,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $25,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $25,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $25,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $25,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $25,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $25,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $25,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $25,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $25,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $25,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-03-11$25,000 Active 124-char remark
Show marketing remark (124 chars)
Home is being sold as is. Home needs to be gutted and completely remodeled. It is on a large lot and has a ton of potential.
-
2026-03-11$25,000 Active 124-char remark
Show marketing remark (124 chars)
Home is being sold as is. Home needs to be gutted and completely remodeled. It is on a large lot and has a ton of potential.
-
2024-12-26status Pending
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2024-12-26status Pending
-
2024-12-26soldstatus $20,000 Closed
-
2024-12-26soldstatus $20,000 Closed
-
2024-12-19$20,000 Active
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2024-12-19$20,000 Active
-
2020-06-08soldstatus $17,000 Sold
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2020-06-08soldstatus $17,000 Closed
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2020-05-30status Pending
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2020-05-30status Pending
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2020-04-06$23,500 Active
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2020-04-06$23,500 Active
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2020-03-31historical
-
2020-03-31historical
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2019-09-29$29,500 Active
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2019-09-29$29,500 Active
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1997-11-28historical
-
1997-09-26$39,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,723
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,400
- − Property taxes
- −$375
- − Insurance
- −$125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,178
- − Management
- −$1,178
- − Depreciation
- −$727
- Taxable income
- $9,739
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,337
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,220/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Atherton Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2603540
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,416
- Composite
- 15.21/100
- National rank
- #9341
- State rank
- #481 of 540 in MI
Livability — Burton
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #555
- US rank
- #17380
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Burton, MI
- City population
- 26,014
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,959
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -82.30%
- Current HPI
- 228.5338
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-37.3% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-11 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-11 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-12-26 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-12-26 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2024-12-26 Sold (MLS) $20,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-12-26 Sold (MLS) $20,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-12-19 Listed $20,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-12-19 Listed $20,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-06-08 Sold (MLS) $17,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-06-08 Sold (MLS) $17,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-05-30 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2020-05-30 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-04-06 Listed $23,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-04-06 Listed $23,500 REALCOMP
- 2020-03-31 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2020-03-31 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-09-29 Listed $29,500 REALCOMP
- 2019-09-29 Listed $29,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1997-11-28 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1997-09-26 Listed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+13.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,834 · -14.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…