902 E Sheridan Ave · Des Moines, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Built 1914
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $653 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Cap rate 22.0% vs local median 3.1% in Des Moines — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#63 in IA, #1,432 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Des Moines Independent Community School District (urban): math 43% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #289 of 289 in IA (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,953 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (540 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 55.94%
- DSCR
- 3.49
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $187,824
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3007 E 8th St | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,065 (-2%) | 1mo | $181,000 | $170 | 78 |
| 2327 E 9th St | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,034 (-5%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $213 | 76 |
| 2701 Cornell St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (-3%) | 4mo | $163,000 | $154 | 71 |
| 3109 E 9th St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,214 (+11%) | 1mo | $237,500 | $196 | 65 |
| 2415 E 13th St | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (-12%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $172 | 64 |
| 1448 Thompson Ave | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,138 (+4%) | 2mo | $161,900 | $142 | 61 |
| 2919 1st St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,153 (+6%) | 0mo | $135,000 | $117 | 60 |
| 1617 Guthrie Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+6%) | 3mo | $269,000 | $234 | 54 |
| 1305 E Oak Park Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,223 (+12%) | 0mo | $175,000 | $143 | 52 |
| 3421 Amherst St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,197 (+10%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $171 | 51 |
| 1400 Mattern Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 988 (-10%) | 3mo | $187,500 | $190 | 50 |
| 3507 Bowdoin St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 940 (-14%) | 2mo | $168,000 | $179 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 54.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.39×
- Total profit
- $33,486
- Equity at exit
- $7,455
- IRR
- 59.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.91×
- Total profit
- $82,762
- Equity at exit
- $4,323
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50316
- Home prices YoY
- -29.5%
- Active inventory
- 105
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,264 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $750/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $653
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3103 E 7th St Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 915 E Washington Ave Des Moines, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1457 | $1,450 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3623 Cambridge St Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 732 | $1,145 | $1.56 | 19d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1530 E 14th St Des Moines, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $1,900 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1354 E 12th St Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $925 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1364 Idaho St Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 804 | $1,195 | $1.49 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3410 5th Ave Des Moines, IA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,550 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1301 E 12th St Unit 2 Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 995 | $795 | $0.80 | 23d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1914 10th St Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,050 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1914 10th St Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,050 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 4124 3rd St Des Moines, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 996 | $1,595 | $1.60 | 14d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-06-13$50,000 Pending
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,163
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$750
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,213
- − Management
- −$1,213
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $7,481
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,796
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,036/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Des Moines Independent Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1908970
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,905
- Composite
- 37.83/100
- National rank
- #4331
- State rank
- #289 of 289 in IA
Livability — Des Moines
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #63
- US rank
- #1432
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Des Moines, IA
- City population
- 203,612
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,188
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 548,042 people
- By 2030
- 588,557 · +7.4%
- By 2040
- 670,629 · +22.4%
- By 2050
- 752,830 · +37.4%
- By 2075
- 955,069 · +74.3%
- By 2100
- 1,115,436 · +103.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Hispanic / Latino 27% Black 12% Two or more races 12% Asian 7% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 20% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.9) · D 54.8% · R 43.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.7pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 10.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.9 2020: D+15.2 2016: D+11.5 2012: D+14.2 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -121.34%
- Current HPI
- 290.3838
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listing Removed — DMMLS
- 2026-06-10 Listed $50,000 DMMLS
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,642 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…