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3407 Pollack Ave
C Composite 58.47
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.3/15.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$128,000

3407 Pollack Ave · Evansville, IN 47714
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 970 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 1950 9,583 sqft lot Est $140k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

his is house has been completely renovated and is in move-in condition. The gallery kitchen has 5 year old cabinets, counter tops, tiled backsplash, a large ample gas stove range and side by side stainless steel refrigerator. Easy care vinyl tile flooring throughout the property. Wiring and HVAC is approximately 5 years old. There is a whole house on demand energy efficient tankless water heater installed February 2026. There is a new heater in the attached garage. An extra large pantry closet is just off the dining room. This property has an extra large walk in shower and updated sink/toilet. There is a metal storage shed just behind the house for extra storage.

Key facts

  • Vinyl tile flooring
  • Metal storage shed
  • 9,583 sq ft lot

Tags

LARGE AMPLE GAS STOVE RANGEVINYL TILE FLOORINGEXTRA LARGE PANTRY CLOSETEXTRA LARGE WALK IN SHOWERMETAL STORAGE SHED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family, site-built home; One story
  • Construction: Other construction materials
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; Seven total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Main level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $128k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $207 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (4.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $122k (4.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.6% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #153 of 301 in IN (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Fairlawn Elementary School (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #790 of 994 statewide, top 81%, 422 students, 76% FRL); Mcgary Middle School (math 8% / reading 15%, grade F, #311 of 330 statewide, top 94%, 351 students, 81% FRL); William Henry Harrison High School (math 29% / reading 54%, grade F, #211 of 369 statewide, top 58%, 1,158 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 50% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 25% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 508 units permitted in Vanderburgh County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $885 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.9% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $122,365 (4.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
8.23%
Cash-on-cash
6.92%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$139,680
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3407 Pollack Ave 0.00mi 3/1.0 970 (0%) 0mo $130,000 $134 100
3412 Conlin Ave 0.22mi 3/1.0 988 (+2%) 4mo $155,000 $157 83
1913 Jeanette Ave 0.33mi 3/1.0 999 (+3%) 3mo $108,000 $108 77
2625 Hawthorne Ave 0.50mi 3/1.0 988 (+2%) 3mo $140,000 $142 71
2607 Hawthorne Ave 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,014 (+4%) 2mo $153,000 $151 69
2511 S Ruston Ave 0.54mi 3/1.0 925 (-5%) 2mo $90,000 $97 66
2524 E Riverside Dr 0.54mi 3/1.0 923 (-5%) 2mo $139,000 $151 65
2714 Vann Ave 0.42mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,038 (+7%) 0mo $149,900 $144 64
2917 Culverson Ave 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,037 (+7%) 2mo $108,250 $104 60
2505 Ravenswood Dr 0.75mi 3/1.0 932 (-4%) 5mo $127,000 $136 55
4300 E Riverside Dr 0.63mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,084 (+12%) 0mo $158,500 $146 46
2328 Frisse Ave 0.71mi 2/1.0 (-1) 868 (-10%) 4mo $139,000 $160 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.86% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.0%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-1,365
Equity at exit
$19,085
10-year hold
IRR
12.9%
Equity multiple
2.23×
Total profit
$44,003
Equity at exit
$11,067

Cash invested: $35,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47714

Rents YoY
7.9%
Active inventory
188
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,224 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$671
Tax from tax record
$36 /mo · $426/yr
Insurance
$53
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$257
Net cashflow
$207

Break-even live

Break-even rent $962
Max offer price $128,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,000
Closing costs
$3,840
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2501 Pollack Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 648 $1,080 $1.67 21d 1 0.51mi
2818 S Villa Dr Evansville, IN 3.0 1.0 1061 $1,295 $1.22 21d 1 0.61mi
3700 Justus Ct Evansville, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 790 $975 $1.23 21d 1 0.63mi
1621 Burdette Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 720 $1,050 $1.46 21d 1 0.70mi
1320 Lee Ct Evansville, IN 1.0–4.0 1.0–1.5 1007 $1,266 $1.26 13d 36 0.71mi
2232 E Riverside Dr Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 810 $1,200 $1.48 13d 1 0.83mi
4689 Covert Ave Unit 4629 Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 725 $775 $1.07 13d 1 0.92mi
1165 Shiloh Sq Evansville, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 907 $1,145 $1.26 13d 15 1.01mi
1762 Spring Ct Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 975 $1,450 $1.49 21d 1 1.02mi
1952 Colts Ln Evansville, IN 1.0–3.0 1.0 1146 $1,275 $1.11 21d 8 1.16mi
1909 Plantation Ct Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 780 $700 $0.90 21d 2 1.20mi
900 S Saint James Blvd Evansville, IN 3.0 2.0 1118 $1,450 $1.30 21d 1 1.20mi
1900 Pueblo Pass Evansville, IN 2.0–3.0 1.5 1081 $1,379 $1.28 13d 5 1.28mi
3951 Bellemeade Ave Unit D Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 825 $1,100 $1.33 21d 1 1.34mi
1909 Taylor Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 700 $1,200 $1.71 13d 1 1.36mi
5301 Stonehedge Dr Evansville, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 914 $1,170 $1.28 13d 19 1.38mi
950 S Hebron Ave Apt 301 Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 1088 $1,900 $1.75 21d 1 1.39mi
1100 Erie Ave Evansville, IN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 962 $1,500 $1.56 21d 2 1.45mi
2340 Sunburst Blvd Unit 2200-202 Evansville, IN 3.0 1.0 973 $1,050 $1.08 21d 1 1.49mi
2340 Sunburst Blvd Unit 2270-318 Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 815 $900 $1.10 21d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-23
    listed $128,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$426 · $36/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$757 · $63/mo
Expected delta
+$331/yr (+$28/mo · 77.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,684
− Mortgage interest
−$7,170
− Property taxes
−$426
− Insurance
−$640
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,175
− Management
−$1,175
− Depreciation
−$3,724
Taxable income
$375
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$90
After-tax cash flow
$2,389/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803450
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,270
Composite
33.41/100
National rank
#5471
State rank
#153 of 301 in IN

Livability — Evansville

Score
63/100
State rank
#416
US rank
#15047

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Evansville, IN
County
Vanderburgh County · 146,793 people
City population
146,793
Metro
Evansville, IN-KY
Population (ZIP)
32,132
Household income
$55,910
Rent vs Own
39.8% rent · 60.2% own
Severe rent burden
1394.0

Population outlook (Vanderburgh County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
187,038 people
By 2030
188,907 · +1.0%
By 2040
190,272 · +1.7%
By 2050
188,871 · +1.0%
By 2075
180,751 · -3.4%
By 2100
163,015 · -12.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 17% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Vanderburgh

2024 margin
R (+12.7) · D 43.0% · R 55.6% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-15.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -12.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.7 2020: R+9.6 2016: R+16.9 2012: R+10.8 2008: D+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -124.80%
Current HPI
211.1755
Rent YoY
▲ 7.86%
Metro
Evansville, IN-KY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending IRMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $128,000 IRMLS

Property tax history

-11.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $426 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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