3407 Pollack Ave · Evansville, IN
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.1/30.0
- ARV discount +11.3/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$128,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
his is house has been completely renovated and is in move-in condition. The gallery kitchen has 5 year old cabinets, counter tops, tiled backsplash, a large ample gas stove range and side by side stainless steel refrigerator. Easy care vinyl tile flooring throughout the property. Wiring and HVAC is approximately 5 years old. There is a whole house on demand energy efficient tankless water heater installed February 2026. There is a new heater in the attached garage. An extra large pantry closet is just off the dining room. This property has an extra large walk in shower and updated sink/toilet. There is a metal storage shed just behind the house for extra storage.
Key facts
- Vinyl tile flooring
- Metal storage shed
- 9,583 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family, site-built home; One story
- Construction: Other construction materials
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Shed(s)
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; Seven total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Main level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $128k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $207 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (4.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $122k (4.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.6% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
- Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #153 of 301 in IN (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Fairlawn Elementary School (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #790 of 994 statewide, top 81%, 422 students, 76% FRL); Mcgary Middle School (math 8% / reading 15%, grade F, #311 of 330 statewide, top 94%, 351 students, 81% FRL); William Henry Harrison High School (math 29% / reading 54%, grade F, #211 of 369 statewide, top 58%, 1,158 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 50% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 25% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 508 units permitted in Vanderburgh County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $885 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.9% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.92%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $139,680
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3407 Pollack Ave | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 970 (0%) | 0mo | $130,000 | $134 | 100 |
| 3412 Conlin Ave | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 988 (+2%) | 4mo | $155,000 | $157 | 83 |
| 1913 Jeanette Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 999 (+3%) | 3mo | $108,000 | $108 | 77 |
| 2625 Hawthorne Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 988 (+2%) | 3mo | $140,000 | $142 | 71 |
| 2607 Hawthorne Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,014 (+4%) | 2mo | $153,000 | $151 | 69 |
| 2511 S Ruston Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (-5%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $97 | 66 |
| 2524 E Riverside Dr | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 923 (-5%) | 2mo | $139,000 | $151 | 65 |
| 2714 Vann Ave | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,038 (+7%) | 0mo | $149,900 | $144 | 64 |
| 2917 Culverson Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,037 (+7%) | 2mo | $108,250 | $104 | 60 |
| 2505 Ravenswood Dr | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 932 (-4%) | 5mo | $127,000 | $136 | 55 |
| 4300 E Riverside Dr | 0.63mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,084 (+12%) | 0mo | $158,500 | $146 | 46 |
| 2328 Frisse Ave | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 868 (-10%) | 4mo | $139,000 | $160 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.86% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,365
- Equity at exit
- $19,085
- IRR
- 12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.23×
- Total profit
- $44,003
- Equity at exit
- $11,067
Cash invested: $35,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47714
- Rents YoY
- 7.9%
- Active inventory
- 188
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,224 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$671
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $426/yr
- Insurance
- −$53
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$257
- Net cashflow
- $207
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,000
- Closing costs
- $3,840
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2501 Pollack Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 648 | $1,080 | $1.67 | 21d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 2818 S Villa Dr Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1061 | $1,295 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3700 Justus Ct Evansville, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 790 | $975 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1621 Burdette Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,050 | $1.46 | 21d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1320 Lee Ct Evansville, IN | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1007 | $1,266 | $1.26 | 13d | 36 | 0.71mi |
| 2232 E Riverside Dr Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,200 | $1.48 | 13d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4689 Covert Ave Unit 4629 Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $775 | $1.07 | 13d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1165 Shiloh Sq Evansville, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 907 | $1,145 | $1.26 | 13d | 15 | 1.01mi |
| 1762 Spring Ct Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,450 | $1.49 | 21d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1952 Colts Ln Evansville, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,275 | $1.11 | 21d | 8 | 1.16mi |
| 1909 Plantation Ct Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $700 | $0.90 | 21d | 2 | 1.20mi |
| 900 S Saint James Blvd Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $1,450 | $1.30 | 21d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1900 Pueblo Pass Evansville, IN | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5 | 1081 | $1,379 | $1.28 | 13d | 5 | 1.28mi |
| 3951 Bellemeade Ave Unit D Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,100 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1909 Taylor Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 13d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 5301 Stonehedge Dr Evansville, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 914 | $1,170 | $1.28 | 13d | 19 | 1.38mi |
| 950 S Hebron Ave Apt 301 Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1088 | $1,900 | $1.75 | 21d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1100 Erie Ave Evansville, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 962 | $1,500 | $1.56 | 21d | 2 | 1.45mi |
| 2340 Sunburst Blvd Unit 2200-202 Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 973 | $1,050 | $1.08 | 21d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 2340 Sunburst Blvd Unit 2270-318 Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 815 | $900 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending
-
2026-04-23$128,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $426 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $757 · $63/mo
- Expected delta
- +$331/yr (+$28/mo · 77.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,684
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,170
- − Property taxes
- −$426
- − Insurance
- −$640
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,175
- − Management
- −$1,175
- − Depreciation
- −$3,724
- Taxable income
- $375
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$90
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,389/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803450
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,270
- Composite
- 33.41/100
- National rank
- #5471
- State rank
- #153 of 301 in IN
Livability — Evansville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #416
- US rank
- #15047
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Evansville, IN
- County
- Vanderburgh County · 146,793 people
- City population
- 146,793
- Metro
- Evansville, IN-KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,132
- Household income
- $55,910
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1394.0
Population outlook (Vanderburgh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 187,038 people
- By 2030
- 188,907 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 190,272 · +1.7%
- By 2050
- 188,871 · +1.0%
- By 2075
- 180,751 · -3.4%
- By 2100
- 163,015 · -12.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 17% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Vanderburgh
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.7) · D 43.0% · R 55.6% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -12.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.7 2020: R+9.6 2016: R+16.9 2012: R+10.8 2008: D+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -124.80%
- Current HPI
- 211.1755
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.86%
- Metro
- Evansville, IN-KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — IRMLS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $128,000 IRMLS
Property tax history
-11.0%/yrLatest (2024): $426 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…