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634 Ridge Ave
C+ Composite 62.04
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.4/30.0
  • DSCR +9.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$119,000

634 Ridge Ave · Ford City, PA 16226
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,742 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 70 Days on market
Built 1920 2,482 sqft lot $68/sqft · 26% above area Est $95k · 26% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this spacious, nearly 1800 square foot, three-bedroom, two-full-bath home with THREE additional lots included. This beauty is situated on a dead-end street for quietness and serenity. Walk in through the beautiful front door from one of the two covered porches to find stunning wood floors, high ceilings, and a wonderful staircase full of charm. From there, you'll find a very beautiful, updated, large kitchen, flooded with natural light! Continue to find the large first-floor laundry room, with tons of storage and a newer full bathroom. Upstairs, you'll find the three large rooms, a full bath, and access to the huge walk-up attic, which could be converted easily to more usable space. Outside, along with the porches and other usable areas, there are THREE additional vacant lots, currently used for the extra off-street parking area, but boast tons of options! All of these amenities are within a short distance to stores, restaurants, parks, and major roadways. NOT a drive-by, but a MUST SEE to appreciate.

Key facts

  • Dead-end street
  • Huge walk-up attic
  • 2,482 sq ft lot

Tags

THREE ADDITIONAL LOTSDEAD-END STREETUPDATED LARGE KITCHENFIRST-FLOOR LAUNDRY ROOMHUGE WALK-UP ATTICEXTRA OFF-STREET PARKING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $119k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $281 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $119k).
  • Recommended offer: $112k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#378 in PA, #3,385 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, commute F.
  • Armstrong SD (rural): math 38% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #233 of 539 in PA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Armstrong County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($823 loan paydown + $755 appreciation (0.6% local appreciation)).
  • Armstrong County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $20k; list at $119k implies a 495% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $111,860 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
9.79%
Cash-on-cash
12.50%
DSCR
1.56
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$94,655
List price
$119,000
Delta
25.72%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1014 5th Ave 0.38mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,800 (+3%) 8mo $216,495 $120 65
608 8th St 0.11mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,548 (-11%) 6mo $139,900 $90 64
720 6th Ave 0.07mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,636 (-6%) 23mo $85,000 $52 62
702 5th Ave 0.10mi 3/1.0 1,520 (-13%) 16mo $144,900 $95 59
2224 Park Ave 0.53mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,598 (-8%) 8mo $235,000 $147 50
1302 5th Ave 0.66mi 3/1.5 1,500 (-14%) 1mo $141,500 $94 45
1224 4th Ave 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,892 (+9%) 20mo $160,000 $85 40
759 Main St 0.73mi 3/3.0 1,516 (-13%) 2mo $350,000 $231 37
1303 4th Ave 0.68mi 3/3.0 1,536 (-12%) 9mo $170,000 $111 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.63% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.9%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$18,021
Equity at exit
$38,379
10-year hold
IRR
15.0%
Equity multiple
2.76×
Total profit
$58,630
Equity at exit
$49,308

Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16226

Home prices YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
12
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,421 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$624
Tax from tax record
$102 /mo · $1,225/yr
Insurance
$50
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$298
Net cashflow
$281

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,066
Max offer price $119,000
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,750
Closing costs
$3,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,000 Active 70 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,000 Active 69 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,000 Active 68 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,000 Active 67 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,000 Active 65 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $119,000 Active 64 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,000 Active 61 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,000 Active 60 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,000 Active 59 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,000 Active 58 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $119,000 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,000 Active 54 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,000 Active 53 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    price $119,000 Active 52 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $124,000 Active 52 DOM
  16. 2026-04-09
    listed $124,000 Active 1028-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1028 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious, nearly 1800 square foot, three-bedroom, two-full-bath home with THREE additional lots included. This beauty is situated on a dead-end street for quietness and serenity. Walk in through the beautiful front door from one of the two covered porches to find stunning wood floors, high ceilings, and a wonderful staircase full of charm. From there, you'll find a very beautiful, updated, large kitchen, flooded with natural light! Continue to find the large first-floor laundry room, with tons of storage and a newer full bathroom. Upstairs, you'll find the three large rooms, a full bath, and access to the huge walk-up attic, which could be converted easily to more usable space. Outside, along with the porches and other usable areas, there are THREE additional vacant lots, currently used for the extra off-street parking area, but boast tons of options! All of these amenities are within a short distance to stores, restaurants, parks, and major roadways. NOT a drive-by, but a MUST SEE to appreciate.

  17. 2026-03-15
    price $124,000 918-char remark
    Show marketing remark (918 chars)

    Don't miss this spacious three-bedroom, two-full-bath home with three lots included. Walk in through the beautiful front door from one of the two covered porches to find stunning wood floors, high ceilings, and a wonderful staircase full of charm. From there, you'll find a very beutiful, updated, large kitchen, flooded with natural light! Continue to find the large first-floor laundry room, with tons of storage and a newer full bathroom. Upstairs, you'll find the three large rooms, a full bath, and access to the huge walk-up attic, which could be converted easily to more usable space. Outside, along with the porches and other usable areas, there are THREE additional vacant lots, currently used for the extra off-street parking area, but boast tons of options! All of these amenities are within a short distance to stores, restaurants, parks, and major roadways. NOT a drive-by, but a MUST SEE to appreciate.

  18. 2025-11-25
    price $129,000 918-char remark
    Show marketing remark (918 chars)

    Don't miss this spacious three-bedroom, two-full-bath home with three lots included. Walk in through the beautiful front door from one of the two covered porches to find stunning wood floors, high ceilings, and a wonderful staircase full of charm. From there, you'll find a very beutiful, updated, large kitchen, flooded with natural light! Continue to find the large first-floor laundry room, with tons of storage and a newer full bathroom. Upstairs, you'll find the three large rooms, a full bath, and access to the huge walk-up attic, which could be converted easily to more usable space. Outside, along with the porches and other usable areas, there are THREE additional vacant lots, currently used for the extra off-street parking area, but boast tons of options! All of these amenities are within a short distance to stores, restaurants, parks, and major roadways. NOT a drive-by, but a MUST SEE to appreciate.

  19. 2025-09-16
    price $134,900 918-char remark
    Show marketing remark (918 chars)

    Don't miss this spacious three-bedroom, two-full-bath home with three lots included. Walk in through the beautiful front door from one of the two covered porches to find stunning wood floors, high ceilings, and a wonderful staircase full of charm. From there, you'll find a very beutiful, updated, large kitchen, flooded with natural light! Continue to find the large first-floor laundry room, with tons of storage and a newer full bathroom. Upstairs, you'll find the three large rooms, a full bath, and access to the huge walk-up attic, which could be converted easily to more usable space. Outside, along with the porches and other usable areas, there are THREE additional vacant lots, currently used for the extra off-street parking area, but boast tons of options! All of these amenities are within a short distance to stores, restaurants, parks, and major roadways. NOT a drive-by, but a MUST SEE to appreciate.

  20. 2025-08-27
    price $139,900 918-char remark
    Show marketing remark (918 chars)

    Don't miss this spacious three-bedroom, two-full-bath home with three lots included. Walk in through the beautiful front door from one of the two covered porches to find stunning wood floors, high ceilings, and a wonderful staircase full of charm. From there, you'll find a very beutiful, updated, large kitchen, flooded with natural light! Continue to find the large first-floor laundry room, with tons of storage and a newer full bathroom. Upstairs, you'll find the three large rooms, a full bath, and access to the huge walk-up attic, which could be converted easily to more usable space. Outside, along with the porches and other usable areas, there are THREE additional vacant lots, currently used for the extra off-street parking area, but boast tons of options! All of these amenities are within a short distance to stores, restaurants, parks, and major roadways. NOT a drive-by, but a MUST SEE to appreciate.

  21. 2025-07-26
    listed $149,900 Active 918-char remark
    Show marketing remark (918 chars)

    Don't miss this spacious three-bedroom, two-full-bath home with three lots included. Walk in through the beautiful front door from one of the two covered porches to find stunning wood floors, high ceilings, and a wonderful staircase full of charm. From there, you'll find a very beutiful, updated, large kitchen, flooded with natural light! Continue to find the large first-floor laundry room, with tons of storage and a newer full bathroom. Upstairs, you'll find the three large rooms, a full bath, and access to the huge walk-up attic, which could be converted easily to more usable space. Outside, along with the porches and other usable areas, there are THREE additional vacant lots, currently used for the extra off-street parking area, but boast tons of options! All of these amenities are within a short distance to stores, restaurants, parks, and major roadways. NOT a drive-by, but a MUST SEE to appreciate.

  22. 2002-10-04
    soldstatus $20,000
  23. 2002-10-02
    soldstatus $20,000
  24. 2001-12-20
    listed $29,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,225 · $102/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,552 · $129/mo
Expected delta
+$328/yr (+$27/mo · 26.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,055
− Mortgage interest
−$6,666
− Property taxes
−$1,225
− Insurance
−$1,392
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,364
− Management
−$1,364
− Depreciation
−$3,462
Taxable income
$1,581
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$379
After-tax cash flow
$2,988/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Armstrong SD
NCES district ID
4202590
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$43,333
Composite
40.41/100
National rank
#3729
State rank
#233 of 539 in PA

Livability — Ford City

Score
76/100
State rank
#378
US rank
#3385

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ford City, PA
Population (ZIP)
7,994

Population outlook (Armstrong County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
62,513 people
By 2030
59,579 · -4.7%
By 2040
52,890 · -15.4%
By 2050
45,904 · -26.6%
By 2075
32,023 · -48.8%
By 2100
20,415 · -67.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 1% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Serbian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · China

Political lean MEDSL · Armstrong

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.2) · D 23.0% · R 76.2%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -53.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.2 2020: R+52.3 2016: R+52.0 2012: R+37.2 2008: R+24.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.63%
Current HPI
252.2714
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+314.7% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $124,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-03-15 Price Changed $124,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-11-25 Price Changed $129,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-09-16 Price Changed $134,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-08-27 Price Changed $139,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-07-26 Listed $149,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2002-10-04 Sold (MLS) $20,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2002-10-02 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
  • 2001-12-20 Listed $29,900 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,225 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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