634 Ridge Ave · Ford City, PA
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.4/30.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this spacious, nearly 1800 square foot, three-bedroom, two-full-bath home with THREE additional lots included. This beauty is situated on a dead-end street for quietness and serenity. Walk in through the beautiful front door from one of the two covered porches to find stunning wood floors, high ceilings, and a wonderful staircase full of charm. From there, you'll find a very beautiful, updated, large kitchen, flooded with natural light! Continue to find the large first-floor laundry room, with tons of storage and a newer full bathroom. Upstairs, you'll find the three large rooms, a full bath, and access to the huge walk-up attic, which could be converted easily to more usable space. Outside, along with the porches and other usable areas, there are THREE additional vacant lots, currently used for the extra off-street parking area, but boast tons of options! All of these amenities are within a short distance to stores, restaurants, parks, and major roadways. NOT a drive-by, but a MUST SEE to appreciate.
Key facts
- Dead-end street
- Huge walk-up attic
- 2,482 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $281 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $119k).
- Recommended offer: $112k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#378 in PA, #3,385 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, commute F.
- Armstrong SD (rural): math 38% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #233 of 539 in PA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Armstrong County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($823 loan paydown + $755 appreciation (0.6% local appreciation)).
- Armstrong County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $119k implies a 495% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.50%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $94,655
- List price
- $119,000
- Delta
- 25.72%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1014 5th Ave | 0.38mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,800 (+3%) | 8mo | $216,495 | $120 | 65 |
| 608 8th St | 0.11mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,548 (-11%) | 6mo | $139,900 | $90 | 64 |
| 720 6th Ave | 0.07mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,636 (-6%) | 23mo | $85,000 | $52 | 62 |
| 702 5th Ave | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 1,520 (-13%) | 16mo | $144,900 | $95 | 59 |
| 2224 Park Ave | 0.53mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,598 (-8%) | 8mo | $235,000 | $147 | 50 |
| 1302 5th Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 | 1,500 (-14%) | 1mo | $141,500 | $94 | 45 |
| 1224 4th Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 1,892 (+9%) | 20mo | $160,000 | $85 | 40 |
| 759 Main St | 0.73mi | 3/3.0 | 1,516 (-13%) | 2mo | $350,000 | $231 | 37 |
| 1303 4th Ave | 0.68mi | 3/3.0 | 1,536 (-12%) | 9mo | $170,000 | $111 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.63% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.54×
- Total profit
- $18,021
- Equity at exit
- $38,379
- IRR
- 15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.76×
- Total profit
- $58,630
- Equity at exit
- $49,308
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16226
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 12
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,421 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax from tax record
- −$102 /mo · $1,225/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$298
- Net cashflow
- $281
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $119,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $119,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $119,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31price $119,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-04-09$124,000 Active 1028-char remark
Show marketing remark (1028 chars)
Welcome to this spacious, nearly 1800 square foot, three-bedroom, two-full-bath home with THREE additional lots included. This beauty is situated on a dead-end street for quietness and serenity. Walk in through the beautiful front door from one of the two covered porches to find stunning wood floors, high ceilings, and a wonderful staircase full of charm. From there, you'll find a very beautiful, updated, large kitchen, flooded with natural light! Continue to find the large first-floor laundry room, with tons of storage and a newer full bathroom. Upstairs, you'll find the three large rooms, a full bath, and access to the huge walk-up attic, which could be converted easily to more usable space. Outside, along with the porches and other usable areas, there are THREE additional vacant lots, currently used for the extra off-street parking area, but boast tons of options! All of these amenities are within a short distance to stores, restaurants, parks, and major roadways. NOT a drive-by, but a MUST SEE to appreciate.
-
2026-03-15price $124,000 918-char remark
Show marketing remark (918 chars)
Don't miss this spacious three-bedroom, two-full-bath home with three lots included. Walk in through the beautiful front door from one of the two covered porches to find stunning wood floors, high ceilings, and a wonderful staircase full of charm. From there, you'll find a very beutiful, updated, large kitchen, flooded with natural light! Continue to find the large first-floor laundry room, with tons of storage and a newer full bathroom. Upstairs, you'll find the three large rooms, a full bath, and access to the huge walk-up attic, which could be converted easily to more usable space. Outside, along with the porches and other usable areas, there are THREE additional vacant lots, currently used for the extra off-street parking area, but boast tons of options! All of these amenities are within a short distance to stores, restaurants, parks, and major roadways. NOT a drive-by, but a MUST SEE to appreciate.
-
2025-11-25price $129,000 918-char remark
Show marketing remark (918 chars)
Don't miss this spacious three-bedroom, two-full-bath home with three lots included. Walk in through the beautiful front door from one of the two covered porches to find stunning wood floors, high ceilings, and a wonderful staircase full of charm. From there, you'll find a very beutiful, updated, large kitchen, flooded with natural light! Continue to find the large first-floor laundry room, with tons of storage and a newer full bathroom. Upstairs, you'll find the three large rooms, a full bath, and access to the huge walk-up attic, which could be converted easily to more usable space. Outside, along with the porches and other usable areas, there are THREE additional vacant lots, currently used for the extra off-street parking area, but boast tons of options! All of these amenities are within a short distance to stores, restaurants, parks, and major roadways. NOT a drive-by, but a MUST SEE to appreciate.
-
2025-09-16price $134,900 918-char remark
Show marketing remark (918 chars)
Don't miss this spacious three-bedroom, two-full-bath home with three lots included. Walk in through the beautiful front door from one of the two covered porches to find stunning wood floors, high ceilings, and a wonderful staircase full of charm. From there, you'll find a very beutiful, updated, large kitchen, flooded with natural light! Continue to find the large first-floor laundry room, with tons of storage and a newer full bathroom. Upstairs, you'll find the three large rooms, a full bath, and access to the huge walk-up attic, which could be converted easily to more usable space. Outside, along with the porches and other usable areas, there are THREE additional vacant lots, currently used for the extra off-street parking area, but boast tons of options! All of these amenities are within a short distance to stores, restaurants, parks, and major roadways. NOT a drive-by, but a MUST SEE to appreciate.
-
2025-08-27price $139,900 918-char remark
Show marketing remark (918 chars)
Don't miss this spacious three-bedroom, two-full-bath home with three lots included. Walk in through the beautiful front door from one of the two covered porches to find stunning wood floors, high ceilings, and a wonderful staircase full of charm. From there, you'll find a very beutiful, updated, large kitchen, flooded with natural light! Continue to find the large first-floor laundry room, with tons of storage and a newer full bathroom. Upstairs, you'll find the three large rooms, a full bath, and access to the huge walk-up attic, which could be converted easily to more usable space. Outside, along with the porches and other usable areas, there are THREE additional vacant lots, currently used for the extra off-street parking area, but boast tons of options! All of these amenities are within a short distance to stores, restaurants, parks, and major roadways. NOT a drive-by, but a MUST SEE to appreciate.
-
2025-07-26$149,900 Active 918-char remark
Show marketing remark (918 chars)
Don't miss this spacious three-bedroom, two-full-bath home with three lots included. Walk in through the beautiful front door from one of the two covered porches to find stunning wood floors, high ceilings, and a wonderful staircase full of charm. From there, you'll find a very beutiful, updated, large kitchen, flooded with natural light! Continue to find the large first-floor laundry room, with tons of storage and a newer full bathroom. Upstairs, you'll find the three large rooms, a full bath, and access to the huge walk-up attic, which could be converted easily to more usable space. Outside, along with the porches and other usable areas, there are THREE additional vacant lots, currently used for the extra off-street parking area, but boast tons of options! All of these amenities are within a short distance to stores, restaurants, parks, and major roadways. NOT a drive-by, but a MUST SEE to appreciate.
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2002-10-04soldstatus $20,000
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2002-10-02soldstatus $20,000
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2001-12-20$29,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,225 · $102/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,552 · $129/mo
- Expected delta
- +$328/yr (+$27/mo · 26.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,055
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$1,225
- − Insurance
- −$1,392
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,364
- − Management
- −$1,364
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable income
- $1,581
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$379
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,988/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Armstrong SD
- NCES district ID
- 4202590
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,333
- Composite
- 40.41/100
- National rank
- #3729
- State rank
- #233 of 539 in PA
Livability — Ford City
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #378
- US rank
- #3385
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ford City, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,994
Population outlook (Armstrong County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,513 people
- By 2030
- 59,579 · -4.7%
- By 2040
- 52,890 · -15.4%
- By 2050
- 45,904 · -26.6%
- By 2075
- 32,023 · -48.8%
- By 2100
- 20,415 · -67.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Serbian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · China
Political lean MEDSL · Armstrong
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.2) · D 23.0% · R 76.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -53.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.2 2020: R+52.3 2016: R+52.0 2012: R+37.2 2008: R+24.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.63%
- Current HPI
- 252.2714
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+314.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Listed $124,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-03-15 Price Changed $124,000 West Penn MLS
- 2025-11-25 Price Changed $129,000 West Penn MLS
- 2025-09-16 Price Changed $134,900 West Penn MLS
- 2025-08-27 Price Changed $139,900 West Penn MLS
- 2025-07-26 Listed $149,900 West Penn MLS
- 2002-10-04 Sold (MLS) $20,000 West Penn MLS
- 2002-10-02 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 2001-12-20 Listed $29,900 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2026): $1,225 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…