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165 Bristol St
B Composite 71.48
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

165 Bristol St · Canandaigua, NY 14424
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 989 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1880 6,661 sqft lot Est $222k · 41% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Lovingly maintained by the same family for over 80 years, this charming Canandaigua Cape Cod is full of warmth, character and opportunity! Just steps from historic Main Street with restaurants, shops and only minutes to Canandaigua Lake! Situated on a sidewalk lined street with terrific curb appeal, the welcoming wraparound front porch is the perfect spot for a morning coffee or relaxing summer evening. Step inside to the spacious open concept main living space featuring a large living room with electric fireplace flowing seamlessly into the formal dining room and eat-in kitchen. Tons of original charm and character shine throughout the home! The main floor bedroom with closet and vaulted c

Key facts

  • Newer furnace
  • Newer roof
  • Electric fireplace

Tags

WRAPAROUND FRONT PORCHOPEN CONCEPT MAIN LIVING SPACEELECTRIC FIREPLACELARGE PRIVATE BACKYARDNEWER FURNACENEWER ROOF

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: High-speed internet available; Public water (connected); Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electric
  • Home design: One story; Vinyl siding; Resale property
  • Construction: Stone foundation; Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Deck; Fully fenced yard; Covered porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in range; Built-in oven; Double oven; Microwave; Range hood; Refrigerator; Exhaust fan
  • Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Varies
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Attic; Den; Separate/formal dining room; Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Living/dining room; Natural woodwork; Convertible bedroom; Loft
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $302 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 3.4% in Canandaigua — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#243 in NY, #3,822 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, health & safety D-.
  • Canandaigua City School District (suburban): math 50% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #305 of 590 in NY (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.5%/yr); 223 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 284 units permitted in Ontario County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ontario County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $129,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
9.08%
Cash-on-cash
9.95%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$221,536
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
126 Chapin St 0.22mi 3/1.0 960 (-3%) 6mo $214,900 $224 80
178 Parrish St 0.33mi 2/1.0 (-1) 988 (-0%) 6mo $255,000 $258 75
469 S Pearl St 0.32mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,077 (+9%) 6mo $232,500 $216 54
82 Ellis Pl 0.24mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,062 (+7%) 20mo $150,000 $141 49
31 Highland Ter 0.53mi 3/1.0 945 (-4%) 23mo $255,000 $270 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.3%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$6,450
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
18.1%
Equity multiple
2.87×
Total profit
$68,060
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14424

Home prices YoY
-21.2%
Rents YoY
8.5%
Active inventory
223
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,560 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$196 /mo · $2,348/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$328
Net cashflow
$302

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,178
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
223 Bristol St Canandaigua, NY 2.0 1.0 750 $1,450 $1.93 2d 2 0.18mi
69 Parrish St Unit 5 Canandaigua, NY 2.0 1.0 860 $1,350 $1.57 18d 1 0.45mi
79 Saltonstall St Canandaigua, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,290 $1.29 3d 1 0.60mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    status $129,900 Pending 10 DOM
  2. 2026-05-20
    listed $129,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,348 · $196/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,348 · $196/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,723
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$2,348
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,498
− Management
−$1,498
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable income
$1,675
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$402
After-tax cash flow
$3,217/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Canandaigua City School District
NCES district ID
3606330
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$56,375
Composite
47.09/100
National rank
#2335
State rank
#305 of 590 in NY

Livability — Canandaigua

Score
75/100
State rank
#243
US rank
#3822

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living B Crime B- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Canandaigua, NY
County
Ontario County · 58,989 people
City population
28,786
Metro
Rochester, NY
Population (ZIP)
28,786
Household income
$79,778
Rent vs Own
34.8% rent · 65.2% own
Severe rent burden
737.0

Population outlook (Ontario County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
111,230 people
By 2030
111,401 · +0.2%
By 2040
109,535 · -1.5%
By 2050
104,895 · -5.7%
By 2075
92,999 · -16.4%
By 2100
73,723 · -33.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Iranian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ontario

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.4% · R 50.6%
2008→2024 swing
-1.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -1.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.2 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.6 2012: R+1.6 2008: R+0.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -70.94%
Current HPI
263.755
Rent YoY
▲ 8.46%
Metro
Rochester, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $129,900 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+64.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,348 · -2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…