3603 Duberney Blvd · Edinburg, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.8/30.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
4-bedroom, 2-bath home with great bones and endless possibilities. This property needs extensive restoration and is priced accordingly. Features include a large floor plan, an established lot, and the opportunity to customize to your taste. Perfect for rehab investors or buyers seeking a project. Taking offers!
Key facts
- 6,886 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1990
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $247 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 2.4% in Edinburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#784 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, amenities F.
- Edinburg CISD (urban): math 20% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #699 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 515 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.79%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $222,203
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- -59.54%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4010 W Aguilar St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,493 (-3%) | 19mo | $209,000 | $140 | 52 |
| 3508 Belinda St | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,704 (+11%) | 16mo | $219,900 | $129 | 51 |
| 5501 Gardenia St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,348 (-12%) | 23mo | $159,000 | $118 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.01% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $84
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.63×
- Total profit
- $15,923
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78541
- Home prices YoY
- -7.6%
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 515
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,174 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$171 /mo · $2,052/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$246
- Net cashflow
- $247
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4304 W Rogers Rd Edinburg, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,675 | $0.99 | 21d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2805 Larkspur Ave Unit 3 Edinburg, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1052 | $1,000 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2805 Larkspur Ave Unit 2 Edinburg, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1052 | $900 | $0.86 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2811 Primrose Ave Unit C Edinburg, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,050 | $0.97 | 23d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2703 Larkspur Ave Edinburg, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $930 | $0.87 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2703 Larkspur Ave Edinburg, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $930 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2713 Primrose Ave Unit A-1 Edinburg, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1065 | $950 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2606 Primrose Ave Apt 3 Edinburg, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1163 | $1,100 | $0.95 | 23d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 3425 Sahara Dr Unit 2 Edinburg, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1132 | $1,175 | $1.04 | 19d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 4621 N Jackson Rd Edinburg, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3405 Sahara Dr Unit 4 Edinburg, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,200 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2024 Summerland Ln Unit 2 Edinburg, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,200 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3412 Sahara Dr Unit 1 Edinburg, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $1,150 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2022 Summerland Ln Unit 4 Edinburg, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1167 | $1,600 | $1.37 | 21d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3412 Sahara Dr Unit 3 Edinburg, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $1,150 | $1.06 | 14d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3408 Sahara Dr Unit 1 Edinburg, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $1,150 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2018 Summerland Ln Unit 2 Edinburg, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,200 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3421 Golden Nugget Unit 2 Edinburg, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,175 | $1.09 | 19d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3417 Golden Nugget Unit 2 Edinburg, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1059 | $1,200 | $1.13 | 23d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3911 Valeria St Unit 4 Edinburg, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1069 | $1,125 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 4929 Rio Red Cir Edinburg, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,750 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3604 Paola St Apt 1 Edinburg, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2201 | $935 | $0.42 | 23d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3412 Sahara St Unit 3 Edinburg, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $1,150 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 3508 Silver Nugget Dr Edinburg, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1586 | $1,750 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 3408 Sahara St Unit 1 Edinburg, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $1,150 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,900 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 325-char remark
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-05-09price $89,900 312-char remark
Show marketing remark (312 chars)
4-bedroom, 2-bath home with great bones and endless possibilities. This property needs extensive restoration and is priced accordingly. Features include a large floor plan, an established lot, and the opportunity to customize to your taste. Perfect for rehab investors or buyers seeking a project. Taking offers!
-
2026-02-19price $91,500 312-char remark
Show marketing remark (312 chars)
4-bedroom, 2-bath home with great bones and endless possibilities. This property needs extensive restoration and is priced accordingly. Features include a large floor plan, an established lot, and the opportunity to customize to your taste. Perfect for rehab investors or buyers seeking a project. Taking offers!
-
2026-01-14$99,000 Active 312-char remark
Show marketing remark (312 chars)
4-bedroom, 2-bath home with great bones and endless possibilities. This property needs extensive restoration and is priced accordingly. Features include a large floor plan, an established lot, and the opportunity to customize to your taste. Perfect for rehab investors or buyers seeking a project. Taking offers!
-
1993-08-09soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,052 · $171/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,052 · $171/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,085
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$2,052
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,127
- − Management
- −$1,127
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $1,679
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$403
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,566/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Edinburg CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4818180
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -34.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,985
- Composite
- 22.42/100
- National rank
- #8114
- State rank
- #699 of 826 in TX
Livability — Edinburg
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #784
- US rank
- #14319
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Edinburg, TX
- County
- Hidalgo County · 623,128 people
- City population
- 178,279
- Metro
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,710
- Household income
- $52,863
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1963.0
Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 955,232 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,774 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,120,332 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 1,225,036 · +28.2%
- By 2075
- 1,439,189 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 1,533,429 · +60.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 88% Two or more races 49% White 8% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 83%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 24% English-only · Spanish 73% Other Indo-European 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -17.63%
- Current HPI
- 215.1057
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.01%
- Metro
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-9.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $89,900 MCALLENMLS
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $91,500 MCALLENMLS
- 2026-01-14 Listed $99,000 MCALLENMLS
- 1993-08-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,052 · +19.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…