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313 Tanager Path
D Composite 41.45
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$200,000

313 Tanager Path · Mankato, MN 56001
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,272 sqft · Townhouse public records · 15 Days on market
Built 2003 1,307 sqft lot $155/mo HOA · 9% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Enjoy maintenance free living in this well cared for 3 bedroom, 2 bath, 2 stall tuck-under garage townhome located in the popular Wings Over White Oaks Association on Mankato's Hilltop, close to MNSU and easy access to many local amenities nearby. Association Fee of $103/month covers exterior maintenance, snow removal, lawn care AND building insurance, so keeping costs down continues to be an advantage here when it comes to only needing to worry about carrying a "studs in" home owners policy. Newer water heater and flooring (2018), stainless appliances, turn key ready!

Key facts

  • New carpet
  • Large pantry
  • 1,307 sq ft lot

Tags

MAIN-LEVEL PRIMARY SUITEPRIVATE ENSUITE BATHROOMLARGE PANTRYPROFESSIONAL INTERIOR PAINTINGNEW CARPETSELECT SMART-HOME FEATURES

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $155 monthly fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Garage door opener; Asphalt driveway
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Underground utilities
  • Home design: Single-family residence (townhome); Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Vinyl siding; Private maintained road; 1400 SF lot (0.03 acre)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Cooktop; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fan(s); Natural gas forced air heating
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Window coverings; Smoke detector(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater; Water softener

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-65 ($-776/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $189k (5.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $172k (13.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $172k (13.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.5% in Mankato — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#133 in MN, #2,970 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, commute F.
  • Mankato Public School District (urban): math 48% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #98 of 301 in MN (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Rosa Parks Elementary (math 54% / reading 46%, grade D+, #417 of 857 statewide, top 49%, 434 students, 63% FRL); Prairie Winds Middle School (math 40% / reading 51%, grade D+, #106 of 258 statewide, top 43%, 954 students, 47% FRL); Mankato East Senior High (math 32% / reading 62%, grade D-, #166 of 471 statewide, top 39%, 1,293 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 51% FRL vs 29% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.6%/yr); 359 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 269 units permitted in Blue Earth County in 2024 (154 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Blue Earth County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $172,193 (13.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
5.90%
Cash-on-cash
-1.39%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.9%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-27,375
Equity at exit
$29,821
10-year hold
IRR
2.5%
Equity multiple
1.22×
Total profit
$12,490
Equity at exit
$17,292

Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56001

Rents YoY
8.6%
Active inventory
359
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,722 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,049
Tax from tax record
$138 /mo · $1,654/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$155
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$362
Net cashflow
$-65

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,804
Max offer price $188,577
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $49 -5% $-8 +0% $-65 +5% $-121 +10% $-178
Rent -10% $-201 -5% $-133 +0% $-65 +5% $3 +10% $71
Rate -1.0pp $36 -0.5pp $-14 base $-65 +0.5pp $-116 +1.0pp $-169

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$50,000
Closing costs
$6,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
103 Everglades Trl Mankato, MN 2.0–4.0 2.5 1453 $1,860 $1.28 45d 3 0.25mi
109 Willow Cascades Trl Unit 109 WCT Mankato, MN 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,850 $1.23 45d 1 0.28mi
701 S Victory Dr Unit 8 Mankato, MN 2.0 1.0 925 $1,349 $1.46 45d 1 0.51mi
50 Hilltop Ln Mankato, MN 1.0–2.0 1.0 760 $1,010 $1.33 45d 11 0.87mi
875 Heron Dr Mankato, MN 2.0 1.0 919 $1,098 $1.19 45d 1 0.91mi
200 Briargate Rd Mankato, MN 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 912 $1,799 $1.97 45d 32 1.12mi
140 Homestead Rd Mankato, MN 1.0–3.0 1.0 843 $1,313 $1.56 45d 8 1.12mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$155 · $1,860/yr
Likely covers
waterlandscapingsnow removalexterior maint.insurance

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $200,000 Pending 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $200,000 Active Under Contract 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $200,000 Active Under Contract 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $200,000 Active Under Contract 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $200,000 Active Under Contract 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $200,000 Active Under Contract 10 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $200,000 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $200,000 Active 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $200,000 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $200,000 Active 5 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $200,000 Active 2 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    remarks 699-char remark
  13. 2026-06-03
    listed $200,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,654 · $138/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,947 · $162/mo
Expected delta
+$293/yr (+$24/mo · 17.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,663
− Mortgage interest
−$11,203
− Property taxes
−$1,654
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,653
− Management
−$1,653
− HOA
−$1,860
− Depreciation
−$5,818
Taxable loss
−$4,178
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,003
After-tax cash flow
$227/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mankato Public School District
NCES district ID
2718780
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$49,469
Composite
44.36/100
National rank
#2819
State rank
#98 of 301 in MN

Livability — Mankato

Score
77/100
State rank
#133
US rank
#2970

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A Crime C- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mankato, MN
County
Blue Earth County · 51,585 people
City population
51,585
Metro
Mankato, MN
Population (ZIP)
51,585
Household income
$69,531
Rent vs Own
45.9% rent · 54.1% own
Severe rent burden
2394.0

Population outlook (Blue Earth County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
70,208 people
By 2030
72,708 · +3.6%
By 2040
77,481 · +10.4%
By 2050
82,842 · +18.0%
By 2075
99,990 · +42.4%
By 2100
116,795 · +66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 11% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Blue Earth

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.3% · R 49.5% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-14.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.9pp · 2024: -1.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.2 2020: D+4.4 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+9.5 2008: D+12.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -192.46%
Current HPI
189.8485
Rent YoY
▲ 8.55%
Metro
Mankato, MN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+60.1% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $200,000 RASM
  • 2022-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records
  • 2022-06-10 Sold (MLS) $180,000 RASM
  • 2022-04-22 Listed $180,000 RASM
  • 2020-04-23 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
  • 2020-04-17 Sold (MLS) $145,000 RASM
  • 2020-04-17 Sold (MLS) $145,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-03-16 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-03-13 Listed $144,900 RASM
  • 2020-03-12 Listed $144,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
  • 2017-07-21 Sold (MLS) $125,000 RASM
  • 2017-07-21 Sold (MLS) $125,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-06-12 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-06-09 Listed $124,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-06-08 Listed $124,900 RASM

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,654 · -4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…