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1310 Northbrook Dr
D+ Composite 48.28
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$194,000

1310 Northbrook Dr · Angleton, TX 77515
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,281 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 29 Days on market
Built 1977 9,600 sqft lot $151/sqft · 13% below area Est $223k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Handyman Specials. New exterior paint. This is an amazing deal in the heart of City of Angleton.

Key facts

  • Large backyard
  • Oversized lot
  • 9,600 sq ft lot

Tags

LARGE BACKYARDDETACHED TWO-CAR GARAGEOVERSIZED LOTEASY ACCESS TO MAJOR HIGHWAYS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Single-story entry (all bedrooms listed on first floor)
  • Construction: Brick construction; Built in 1977; Slab foundation; Shingle and wood roof
  • Exterior features: Lot described as 'Other'

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (approx. 14 x 12); Bedroom on the first floor (approx. 12 x 12); Bedroom on the first floor (approx. 12 x 12)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: 3 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $194k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $26 ($316/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (6.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $182k (6.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.0% in Angleton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#171 in TX, #4,520 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Angleton ISD (suburban): math 36% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #375 of 826 in TX (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Northside El (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #865 of 4,322 statewide, top 21%, 497 students, 67% FRL); Angleton J H School (math 26% / reading 41%, grade F, #911 of 1,662 statewide, top 56%, 1,561 students, 68% FRL); Angleton H S (math 22% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,011 of 1,632 statewide, top 63%, 2,066 students, 67% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 932 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,960 units permitted in Brazoria County in 2024 (593 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Brazoria County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($191k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $181,675 (6.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
6.46%
Cash-on-cash
0.58%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$223,365
List price
$194,000
Delta
-13.15%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1226 Valley Dr 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,281 (0%) 2mo $149,900 $117 91
224 Amy St 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,302 (+2%) 3mo $255,990 $197 82
1405 Northview Dr 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,172 (-8%) 3mo $125,400 $107 78
213 Bastrop St 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,281 (0%) 1mo $189,000 $148 76
205 Bastrop St 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,281 (0%) 2mo $185,000 $144 75
11 Robin Ct 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,409 (+10%) 5mo $255,630 $181 73
229 Austin St 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,250 (-2%) 2mo $195,000 $156 67
142 Kelly St 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,388 (+8%) 2mo $224,900 $162 65
1305 Sagebrush St 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,322 (+3%) 2mo $209,000 $158 64
249 Austin St 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,250 (-2%) 4mo $150,000 $120 64
1321 Sagebrush St 0.61mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,362 (+6%) 3mo $129,000 $95 54
1021 Wimberly St 0.54mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,172 (-8%) 4mo $179,000 $153 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.3%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-29,691
Equity at exit
$28,926
10-year hold
IRR
-6.7%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-23,414
Equity at exit
$16,774

Cash invested: $54,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77515

Home prices YoY
-5.1%
Active inventory
932
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,817 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,017
Tax from tax record
$311 /mo · $3,729/yr
Insurance
$81
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$382
Net cashflow
$26

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,783
Max offer price $194,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $136 -5% $81 +0% $26 +5% $-29 +10% $-84
Rent -10% $-117 -5% $-45 +0% $26 +5% $98 +10% $170
Rate -1.0pp $124 -0.5pp $76 base $26 +0.5pp $-24 +1.0pp $-75

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,500
Closing costs
$5,820
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1405 Northview Dr Angleton, TX 3.0 2.0 1172 $2,225 $1.90 4d 1 0.13mi
1300 Buchta Rd Angleton, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 773 $1,113 $1.44 0d 13 0.29mi
1300 Buchta Rd Angleton, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 773 $1,085 $1.40 26d 8 0.29mi
128 Dallas St Angleton, TX 3.0 2.0 1390 $1,900 $1.37 45d 1 0.31mi
3 Dallas Ct #1 Angleton, TX 3.0 3.0 1550 $1,450 $0.94 45d 1 0.36mi
152 Bastrop St Angleton, TX 3.0 2.0 1639 $1,745 $1.06 45d 1 0.46mi
1400 E Henderson Rd Angleton, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 752 $999 $1.33 0d 1 0.65mi
301 Cannan Dr Angleton, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 801 $1,192 $1.49 0d 10 1.07mi
307 Cannan Dr Angleton, TX 2.0 2.0 936 $1,100 $1.18 45d 1 1.17mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    days on market $194,000 Pending 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $194,000 Pending 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $194,000 Pending 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $194,000 Pending 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $194,000 Pending 25 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $194,000 Pending 24 DOM
  7. 2026-05-07
    listed $194,000 Active 790-char remark
  8. 2024-11-20
    historical
  9. 2024-11-14
    price $180,000
  10. 2024-11-14
    status Active
  11. 2024-11-08
    status Option Pending
  12. 2024-10-31
    price $199,000
  13. 2024-10-17
    status Active
  14. 2024-08-27
    status Pending
  15. 2024-08-21
    status Option Pending
  16. 2024-08-07
    price $205,000
  17. 2024-07-22
    price $210,000
  18. 2024-07-15
    price $225,000
  19. 2024-06-22
    listed $230,000 Active
  20. 2023-05-01
    soldstatus
  21. 2023-04-28
    soldstatus Sold
    Show marketing remark (96 chars)

    Handyman Specials. New exterior paint. This is an amazing deal in the heart of City of Angleton.

  22. 2023-04-07
    listed $124,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (96 chars)

    Handyman Specials. New exterior paint. This is an amazing deal in the heart of City of Angleton.

  23. 2021-10-06
    soldstatus
  24. 2004-01-23
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,729 · $311/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,729 · $311/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,801
− Mortgage interest
−$10,867
− Property taxes
−$3,729
− Insurance
−$970
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,744
− Management
−$1,744
− Depreciation
−$5,644
Taxable loss
−$2,896
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$695
After-tax cash flow
$1,011/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Angleton ISD
NCES district ID
4808310
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$55,670
Composite
35.01/100
National rank
#5046
State rank
#375 of 826 in TX

Livability — Angleton

Score
74/100
State rank
#171
US rank
#4520

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Angleton, TX
County
Brazoria County · 374,982 people
City population
34,088
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
34,088
Household income
$88,787
Rent vs Own
25.4% rent · 74.6% own
Severe rent burden
785.0

Population outlook (Brazoria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,414 people
By 2030
457,585 · +8.8%
By 2040
532,232 · +26.6%
By 2050
605,399 · +44.0%
By 2075
779,358 · +85.4%
By 2100
883,759 · +110.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 18% Black 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 28%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 20% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Brazoria

2024 margin
R (+19.7) · D 39.5% · R 59.2% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
+9.9pp toward D · 2008: -29.6pp · 2024: -19.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.7 2020: R+18.2 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+29.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -15.59%
Current HPI
288.7286
Rent YoY
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+55.3% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-05-29 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $194,000 HARMLS
  • 2024-11-20 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2024-11-14 Price Changed $180,000 HARMLS
  • 2024-11-14 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2024-11-08 Pending HARMLS
  • 2024-10-31 Price Changed $199,000 HARMLS
  • 2024-10-17 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2024-08-27 Pending HARMLS
  • 2024-08-21 Pending HARMLS
  • 2024-08-07 Price Changed $205,000 HARMLS
  • 2024-07-22 Price Changed $210,000 HARMLS
  • 2024-07-15 Price Changed $225,000 HARMLS
  • 2024-06-22 Listed $230,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-05-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-04-28 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2023-04-07 Listed $124,900 HARMLS
  • 2021-10-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2004-01-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,729 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…