135 Manchineel Ct · Royal Palm Beach, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.8/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$199,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
TRUE 3 BED VILLA * FRESHLY PAINTED * CORNER UNIT * SERVICE CONTRACT ON APPLIANCES * NEW CARPET *
Key facts
- Fitness center
- Clubhouse
- Largest model
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Community association: Strathmore Gate; Monthly HOA fee (paid monthly); Association amenities include clubhouse and fitness center; HOA covers cable TV, insurance, pest control, trash, common areas, and reserve funds; Pets allowed (pet restrictions possible); Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Guest parking; 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Three-phase electric; Cable available; Sewer available; Water available
- Home design: Townhouse; One story; Entry-level living area; Faces west; City street frontage; Not waterfront
- Construction: Frame and stucco construction; Composition shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as resale property
- Exterior features: Screened porch; Porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Tile flooring throughout
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Laundry closet on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $199k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $126 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $199k).
- Recommended offer: $187k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#135 in FL, #2,039 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Cypress Trails Elementary School (math 52% / reading 62%, grade C+, #781 of 2,144 statewide, top 38%, 492 students, 53% FRL); Crestwood Community Middle (math 49% / reading 52%, grade C, #246 of 571 statewide, top 44%, 724 students, 50% FRL); Royal Palm Beach High School (math 22% / reading 38%, grade F, #441 of 667 statewide, top 67%, 2,343 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 574 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $199k implies a 232% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.71%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.85% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.00×
- Total profit
- $111,241
- Equity at exit
- $179,275
- IRR
- 21.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.60×
- Total profit
- $311,759
- Equity at exit
- $386,613
Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33411
- Home prices YoY
- 1.9%
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 574
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,619 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,044
- Tax from tax record
- −$339 /mo · $4,063/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$478
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$550
- Net cashflow
- $126
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,750
- Closing costs
- $5,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73 Macadamia Ct Royal Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1112 | $2,000 | $1.80 | 11d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 110 Weybridge Cir Unit A Royal Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1470 | $2,350 | $1.60 | 21d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 139 Sparrow Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.5 | 1100 | $2,390 | $2.17 | 14d | 3 | 0.25mi |
| 111 Weybridge Cir Royal Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1710 | $3,100 | $1.81 | 4d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 132 Weybridge Cir Royal Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1470 | $3,000 | $2.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 100 Sparrow Dr #2 Royal Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1824 | $2,725 | $1.49 | 18d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 202 Lakeside Landing Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1532 | $3,200 | $2.09 | 3d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 100 Sparrow Dr #14 Royal Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1737 | $2,725 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 263 Deerfield Ct Royal Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,800 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 7 Greenway Vlg N Royal Palm Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 930 | $1,700 | $1.83 | 16d | 2 | 0.45mi |
| 4 Greenway Vlg N #203 Royal Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $2,000 | $1.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2 Greenway Vlg N #210 Royal Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $2,000 | $1.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1601 Lakeview Dr W Unit 1601 Royal Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1296 | $2,375 | $1.83 | 21d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1407 Lakeview Dr E Royal Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1165 | $2,300 | $1.97 | 7d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 182 Sparrow Dr Unit A Royal Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1485 | $3,000 | $2.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 12002 Poinciana Blvd #204 Royal Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1048 | $1,750 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 12007 Poinciana Blvd #205 Royal Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,590 | $1.46 | 14d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 180 Heatherwood Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1462 | $2,710 | $1.85 | 5d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 296 Sandpiper Ave Royal Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1569 | $3,100 | $1.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1803 Palm Beach Trace Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1201 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 18d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1605 Palm Beach Trace Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1201 | $2,100 | $1.75 | 12d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 113 Sandpiper Ave Royal Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1798 | $3,500 | $1.95 | 11d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 202 Sparrow Dr #1 Royal Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $2,400 | $2.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 145 Prestige Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1464 | $2,900 | $1.98 | 16d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 43 Essex Ct Unit A Royal Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1398 | $2,500 | $1.79 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 101 Fairway Ln Royal Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1684 | $3,300 | $1.96 | 21d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 210 Sparrow Dr #4 Royal Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 930 | $1,900 | $2.04 | 20d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 36 Danbury Ct Unit B Royal Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1398 | $2,300 | $1.65 | 10d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 876 Gardenia Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1502 | $3,500 | $2.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 830 Royal Palm Beach Blvd Royal Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1369 | $2,766 | $2.02 | 7d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 133 Black Olive Cres Royal Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1752 | $4,500 | $2.57 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 849 Camellia Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1599 | $3,400 | $2.13 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 213 River Bluff Ln Royal Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1579 | $2,800 | $1.77 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 118 Bobwhite Rd Royal Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $3,200 | $2.22 | 17d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 180 Seminole Lakes Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1856 | $3,500 | $1.89 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 10863 Dalmany Way Royal Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $3,500 | $2.84 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 212 Trace Ct Royal Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1740 | $3,050 | $1.75 | 5d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 274 River Bluff Ln Royal Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1579 | $3,000 | $1.90 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 220 Crestwood Cir #106 Royal Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1520 | $2,650 | $1.74 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 179 Dove Cir Royal Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1642 | $3,500 | $2.13 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $478 · $5,736/yr
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $199,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-03-25historical
-
2026-03-25$199,000 Active
-
2025-04-24$240,000 Active
-
2000-08-31soldstatus $60,000 97-char remark
Show marketing remark (97 chars)
TRUE 3 BED VILLA * FRESHLY PAINTED * CORNER UNIT * SERVICE CONTRACT ON APPLIANCES * NEW CARPET *
-
2000-08-30historical 97-char remark
Show marketing remark (97 chars)
TRUE 3 BED VILLA * FRESHLY PAINTED * CORNER UNIT * SERVICE CONTRACT ON APPLIANCES * NEW CARPET *
-
2000-03-05$64,900 97-char remark
Show marketing remark (97 chars)
TRUE 3 BED VILLA * FRESHLY PAINTED * CORNER UNIT * SERVICE CONTRACT ON APPLIANCES * NEW CARPET *
-
1993-08-03soldstatus $65,000
-
1992-08-03soldstatus $55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,063 · $339/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,063 · $339/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,428
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,147
- − Property taxes
- −$4,063
- − Insurance
- −$995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,514
- − Management
- −$2,514
- − HOA
- −$5,736
- − Depreciation
- −$5,789
- Taxable loss
- −$1,331
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$319
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,830/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Royal Palm Beach
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #135
- US rank
- #2039
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Royal Palm Beach, FL
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 75,299
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 76,863
- Household income
- $92,591
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1870.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 23% Two or more races 16% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 4% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 6% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 17.04%
- Current HPI
- 903.78
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.85%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+261.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Listed $199,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-03-25 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2025-04-24 Listed $240,000 Beaches MLS
- 2000-08-31 Sold (MLS) $60,000 Beaches MLS
- 2000-08-30 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2000-03-05 Listed $64,900 Beaches MLS
- 1993-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 1992-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,063 · +908.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…