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135 Manchineel Ct
C+ Composite 61.06
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$199,000

135 Manchineel Ct · Royal Palm Beach, FL 33411
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,298 sqft · Townhouse public records · 85 Days on market
Built 1980 2,879 sqft lot $478/mo HOA · 18% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

TRUE 3 BED VILLA * FRESHLY PAINTED * CORNER UNIT * SERVICE CONTRACT ON APPLIANCES * NEW CARPET *

Key facts

  • Fitness center
  • Clubhouse
  • Largest model

Tags

LARGEST MODELENCLOSED PATIOCLUBHOUSEFITNESS CENTERWALKING PATHS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Community association: Strathmore Gate; Monthly HOA fee (paid monthly); Association amenities include clubhouse and fitness center; HOA covers cable TV, insurance, pest control, trash, common areas, and reserve funds; Pets allowed (pet restrictions possible); Senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned parking; Guest parking; 2 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Three-phase electric; Cable available; Sewer available; Water available
  • Home design: Townhouse; One story; Entry-level living area; Faces west; City street frontage; Not waterfront
  • Construction: Frame and stucco construction; Composition shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as resale property
  • Exterior features: Screened porch; Porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Tile flooring throughout
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Walk-in closets; Unfurnished
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry closet on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $199k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $126 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $199k).
  • Recommended offer: $187k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#135 in FL, #2,039 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Cypress Trails Elementary School (math 52% / reading 62%, grade C+, #781 of 2,144 statewide, top 38%, 492 students, 53% FRL); Crestwood Community Middle (math 49% / reading 52%, grade C, #246 of 571 statewide, top 44%, 724 students, 50% FRL); Royal Palm Beach High School (math 22% / reading 38%, grade F, #441 of 667 statewide, top 67%, 2,343 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 574 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $199k implies a 232% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $187,060 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
7.05%
Cash-on-cash
2.71%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.85% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.2%
Equity multiple
3.00×
Total profit
$111,241
Equity at exit
$179,275
10-year hold
IRR
21.5%
Equity multiple
6.60×
Total profit
$311,759
Equity at exit
$386,613

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33411

Home prices YoY
1.9%
Rents YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
574
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,619 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,044
Tax from tax record
$339 /mo · $4,063/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$478
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$550
Net cashflow
$126

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,460
Max offer price $199,000
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,750
Closing costs
$5,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
73 Macadamia Ct Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1112 $2,000 $1.80 11d 1 0.16mi
110 Weybridge Cir Unit A Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.5 1470 $2,350 $1.60 21d 1 0.20mi
139 Sparrow Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0–3.0 1.5–2.5 1100 $2,390 $2.17 14d 3 0.25mi
111 Weybridge Cir Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1710 $3,100 $1.81 4d 1 0.28mi
132 Weybridge Cir Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.5 1470 $3,000 $2.04 24d 1 0.28mi
100 Sparrow Dr #2 Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1824 $2,725 $1.49 18d 1 0.33mi
202 Lakeside Landing Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1532 $3,200 $2.09 3d 1 0.33mi
100 Sparrow Dr #14 Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1737 $2,725 $1.57 24d 1 0.36mi
263 Deerfield Ct Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1120 $1,800 $1.61 24d 1 0.40mi
7 Greenway Vlg N Royal Palm Beach, FL 1.0–2.0 1.5–2.0 930 $1,700 $1.83 16d 2 0.45mi
4 Greenway Vlg N #203 Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1080 $2,000 $1.85 24d 1 0.46mi
2 Greenway Vlg N #210 Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1080 $2,000 $1.85 24d 1 0.47mi
1601 Lakeview Dr W Unit 1601 Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1296 $2,375 $1.83 21d 1 0.51mi
1407 Lakeview Dr E Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1165 $2,300 $1.97 7d 1 0.56mi
182 Sparrow Dr Unit A Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1485 $3,000 $2.02 24d 1 0.61mi
12002 Poinciana Blvd #204 Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1048 $1,750 $1.67 24d 1 0.62mi
12007 Poinciana Blvd #205 Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1088 $1,590 $1.46 14d 1 0.63mi
180 Heatherwood Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1462 $2,710 $1.85 5d 1 0.69mi
296 Sandpiper Ave Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1569 $3,100 $1.98 24d 1 0.70mi
1803 Palm Beach Trace Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1201 $2,000 $1.67 18d 1 0.74mi
1605 Palm Beach Trace Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1201 $2,100 $1.75 12d 1 0.75mi
113 Sandpiper Ave Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1798 $3,500 $1.95 11d 1 0.76mi
202 Sparrow Dr #1 Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1020 $2,400 $2.35 24d 1 0.77mi
145 Prestige Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1464 $2,900 $1.98 16d 1 0.79mi
43 Essex Ct Unit A Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.5 1398 $2,500 $1.79 24d 1 0.80mi
101 Fairway Ln Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1684 $3,300 $1.96 21d 1 0.80mi
210 Sparrow Dr #4 Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 930 $1,900 $2.04 20d 1 0.81mi
36 Danbury Ct Unit B Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.5 1398 $2,300 $1.65 10d 1 0.84mi
876 Gardenia Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1502 $3,500 $2.33 24d 1 0.87mi
830 Royal Palm Beach Blvd Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1369 $2,766 $2.02 7d 1 1.00mi
133 Black Olive Cres Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1752 $4,500 $2.57 24d 1 1.02mi
849 Camellia Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1599 $3,400 $2.13 24d 1 1.06mi
213 River Bluff Ln Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1579 $2,800 $1.77 24d 1 1.06mi
118 Bobwhite Rd Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1444 $3,200 $2.22 17d 1 1.07mi
180 Seminole Lakes Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1856 $3,500 $1.89 24d 1 1.07mi
10863 Dalmany Way Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1232 $3,500 $2.84 24d 1 1.08mi
212 Trace Ct Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1740 $3,050 $1.75 5d 1 1.08mi
274 River Bluff Ln Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1579 $3,000 $1.90 24d 1 1.11mi
220 Crestwood Cir #106 Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1520 $2,650 $1.74 24d 1 1.14mi
179 Dove Cir Royal Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1642 $3,500 $2.13 24d 1 1.15mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$478 · $5,736/yr

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,000 Active 85 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,000 Active 84 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,000 Active 83 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,000 Active 82 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,000 Active 80 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,000 Active 76 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,000 Active 75 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,000 Active 74 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $199,000 Active 71 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $199,000 Active 70 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,000 Active 69 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,000 Active 68 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,000 Active 67 DOM
  14. 2026-03-25
    historical
  15. 2026-03-25
    listed $199,000 Active
  16. 2025-04-24
    listed $240,000 Active
  17. 2000-08-31
    soldstatus $60,000 97-char remark
    Show marketing remark (97 chars)

    TRUE 3 BED VILLA * FRESHLY PAINTED * CORNER UNIT * SERVICE CONTRACT ON APPLIANCES * NEW CARPET *

  18. 2000-08-30
    historical 97-char remark
    Show marketing remark (97 chars)

    TRUE 3 BED VILLA * FRESHLY PAINTED * CORNER UNIT * SERVICE CONTRACT ON APPLIANCES * NEW CARPET *

  19. 2000-03-05
    listed $64,900 97-char remark
    Show marketing remark (97 chars)

    TRUE 3 BED VILLA * FRESHLY PAINTED * CORNER UNIT * SERVICE CONTRACT ON APPLIANCES * NEW CARPET *

  20. 1993-08-03
    soldstatus $65,000
  21. 1992-08-03
    soldstatus $55,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,063 · $339/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,063 · $339/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,428
− Mortgage interest
−$11,147
− Property taxes
−$4,063
− Insurance
−$995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,514
− Management
−$2,514
− HOA
−$5,736
− Depreciation
−$5,789
Taxable loss
−$1,331
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$319
After-tax cash flow
$1,830/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palm Beach
NCES district ID
1201500
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$53,943
Composite
42.72/100
National rank
#3160
State rank
#34 of 73 in FL

Livability — Royal Palm Beach

Score
79/100
State rank
#135
US rank
#2039

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C- Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Royal Palm Beach, FL
County
Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
City population
75,299
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
76,863
Household income
$92,591
Rent vs Own
20.5% rent · 79.5% own
Severe rent burden
1870.0

Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,637,487 people
By 2030
1,743,255 · +6.5%
By 2040
1,948,712 · +19.0%
By 2050
2,132,979 · +30.3%
By 2075
2,530,027 · +54.5%
By 2100
2,706,979 · +65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 23% Two or more races 16% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 4% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 6% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
26% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
2008→2024 swing
-22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 17.04%
Current HPI
903.78
Rent YoY
▲ 0.85%
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+261.8% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-25 Listed $199,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2026-03-25 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2025-04-24 Listed $240,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2000-08-31 Sold (MLS) $60,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2000-08-30 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2000-03-05 Listed $64,900 Beaches MLS
  • 1993-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 1992-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+13.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,063 · +908.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…