567 Farmington Rd · Montgomery, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 77.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.6/30.0
- ARV discount +10.9/15.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$205,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 2240 square foot single family home has 4 bedrooms and 3.0 bathrooms. This home is located at 567 Farmington Rd, Montgomery, AL 36109.
Key facts
- Built 1970
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $205k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $48 ($574/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $163k (20.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $163k (20.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities D-.
- Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Dalraida Elementary School (math 5% / reading 34%, grade F, #467 of 627 statewide, top 76%, 627 students, 63% FRL); Goodwyn Middle School (math 0% / reading 16%, grade F, #239 of 257 statewide, top 93%, 808 students, 84% FRL); Lee High School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #276 of 305 statewide, top 95%, 1,374 students, 86% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 209 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $164k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 77% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.00%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $221,777
- List price
- $205,000
- Delta
- -7.56%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 429 Derby Ln | 0.36mi | 4/3.0 | 2,175 (-2%) | 6mo | $269,800 | $124 | 75 |
| 362 Bellehurst Dr | 0.34mi | 4/3.0 | 2,202 (-1%) | 9mo | $254,000 | $115 | 75 |
| 505 Bellehurst Dr | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 | 2,310 (+4%) | 11mo | $242,000 | $105 | 73 |
| 184 Fox Hollow Rd | 0.63mi | 4/2.5 | 2,242 (+1%) | 0mo | $263,000 | $117 | 66 |
| 526 Larkin Ln | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 | 2,005 (-10%) | 10mo | $225,000 | $112 | 64 |
| 571 E Moye Dr | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,900 (-14%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $71 | 61 |
| 655 Pimblico | 0.46mi | 4/3.0 | 2,513 (+13%) | 1mo | $349,000 | $139 | 56 |
| 241 Bellehurst Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,065 (-7%) | 11mo | $227,000 | $110 | 44 |
| 327 County Downs Rd | 0.64mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,362 (+6%) | 11mo | $294,900 | $125 | 44 |
| 651 Joryne Dr | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 | 1,985 (-11%) | 4mo | $189,900 | $96 | 42 |
| 215 Holly Ridge Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,966 (-11%) | 9mo | $171,000 | $87 | 39 |
| 40 Bellehurst Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,037 (-8%) | 8mo | $240,000 | $118 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-30,827
- Equity at exit
- $30,566
- IRR
- -7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-25,589
- Equity at exit
- $17,725
Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36109
- Home prices YoY
- -20.1%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 209
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,634 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,075
- Tax from tax record
- −$83 /mo · $993/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$343
- Net cashflow
- $48
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $164 | -5% $106 | +0% $48 | +5% $-10 | +10% $-68 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-81 | -5% $-17 | +0% $48 | +5% $112 | +10% $177 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $151 | -0.5pp $100 | base $48 | +0.5pp $-5 | +1.0pp $-59 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,250
- Closing costs
- $6,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 560 Farmington Rd Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2161 | $1,695 | $0.78 | 15d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 572 Farmington Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2106 | $1,495 | $0.71 | 46d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 895 Greg Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1489 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 15d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3692 Fairfield Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1524 | $1,400 | $0.92 | 23d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 860 Greg Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,295 | $0.93 | 15d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 908 Greg Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1520 | $1,100 | $0.72 | 23d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 688 Joryne Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 46d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 844 Sir Michael Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1502 | $1,650 | $1.10 | 46d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 817 Dumont Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1635 | $1,800 | $1.10 | 15d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1216 Beechdale Rd Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $1,325 | $0.89 | 46d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4046 Camellia Dr Unit 1 Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 46d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 950 Karen Rd Montgomery, AL | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2400 | $1,650 | $0.69 | 15d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4132 Carmichael Rd Montgomery, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $1,156 | $1.28 | 15d | 10 | 1.00mi |
| 3667 Willow Lane Dr Montgomery, AL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2565 | $1,850 | $0.72 | 46d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 926 Green Ridge Ct Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1665 | $1,381 | $0.83 | 15d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4056 Wares Ferry Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,500 | $0.83 | 15d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 4707 Mitford Cir Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1943 | $1,800 | $0.93 | 46d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1216 Karen Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $1,350 | $0.83 | 15d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3309 Hillcrest Ln Unit 1043908P Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1625 | $2,885 | $1.78 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3359 Bedford Ln Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $1,600 | $0.90 | 15d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1516 Charleton Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1895 | $1,650 | $0.87 | 46d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1738 Fairforest Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2166 | $1,895 | $0.87 | 46d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 239 Forest Hills Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,450 | $0.97 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3944 Johnstown Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1912 | $1,275 | $0.67 | 46d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2000 Central Pkwy Montgomery, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1133 | $2,135 | $1.88 | 15d | 14 | 1.40mi |
| 3329 Vermont Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1465 | $1,395 | $0.95 | 15d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 401 Ridgewood Ln Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1513 | $1,195 | $0.79 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 336 Davors Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1569 | $2,200 | $1.40 | 46d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-03-20$205,000 Active 236-char remark
-
2022-12-28price $187,400
-
2022-12-02price $188,400
-
2022-10-14$190,900 Active
-
2006-01-19soldstatus $300,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $993 · $83/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $993 · $83/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 77% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,611
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,483
- − Property taxes
- −$993
- − Insurance
- −$1,025
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,569
- − Management
- −$1,569
- − Depreciation
- −$5,964
- Taxable loss
- −$2,992
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$718
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,292/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery County
- NCES district ID
- 0102430
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,902
- Composite
- 17.24/100
- National rank
- #9093
- State rank
- #106 of 129 in AL
Livability — Montgomery
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #13416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montgomery, AL
- County
- Montgomery County · 190,016 people
- City population
- 175,913
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,581
- Household income
- $59,193
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1039.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 224,008 people
- By 2030
- 221,460 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 214,179 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 204,912 · -8.5%
- By 2075
- 177,821 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 145,134 · -35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -37.64%
- Current HPI
- 149.3867
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.65%
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
-45.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $163,800 Public Records
- 2022-12-28 Price Changed $187,400 MAAR
- 2022-12-02 Price Changed $188,400 MAAR
- 2022-10-14 Listed $190,900 MAAR
- 2006-01-19 Sold (Public Records) $300,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $993 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…