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120 Barker Dr
D Composite 43.81
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.5/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0

$189,000

120 Barker Dr · Savannah, TN 38372
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,902 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 19 Days on market
Built 1972 0.60 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great opportunity for both investors and retail buyers in Savannah! This spacious home brings strong potential as a primary residence, rental property, or light value-add flip. Major updates have already been completed, including a roof and A/C unit both approximately 3 years old, helping reduce major maintenance concerns. The foundation has been professionally repaired and reinforced by AFS, and the bathrooms feature granite countertops, adding solid value and appeal. Located in an established neighborhood with strong nearby comparable sales, including homes selling from $195,000 up to $300,000, this property brings excellent upside for both resale and long-term hold strategies. Convenient

Key facts

  • Near schools
  • Foundation repaired
  • Near shopping

Tags

A C UNITFOUNDATION REPAIREDGRANITE COUNTERTOPSESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOODNEAR SHOPPINGNEAR SCHOOLS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area reported as 1,902 square feet
  • Financial info: Tax amount listed (not included per instructions)
  • HOA & community: Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: No covered or designated parking spaces listed
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Residential property; Brick construction
  • Construction: Brick exterior; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built (existing)
  • Exterior features: Storage structure; Lot approximately 0.6 acre

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on main level)
  • Flooring: Laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Forced air; Has cooling (other type)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Walk-in closets; Finished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $189k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-97 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $172k (9.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (30.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (30.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#47 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Hardin County (rural): math 27% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #76 of 139 in TN (top 55%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Northside Elementary (math 38% / reading 32%, grade F, #316 of 952 statewide, top 33%, 508 students, 0% FRL); Hardin County Middle School (math 28% / reading 25%, grade F, #135 of 333 statewide, top 43%, 677 students, 0% FRL); Hardin County High School (math 23% / reading 34%, grade F, #96 of 332 statewide, top 30%, 996 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 59% district-wide (59 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 390 active listings in the ZIP; 24 units permitted in Hardin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Hardin County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($186k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $189k implies a 152% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $132,294 (30.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
5.67%
Cash-on-cash
-2.21%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
11.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.7%
Equity multiple
2.83×
Total profit
$96,648
Equity at exit
$170,266
10-year hold
IRR
20.3%
Equity multiple
6.47×
Total profit
$289,333
Equity at exit
$367,185

Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 38372

Home prices YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
390
Price-to-rent
11.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,323 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$991
Tax from tax record
$73 /mo · $872/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$278
Net cashflow
$-97

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,446
Max offer price $171,788
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $10 -5% $-44 +0% $-97 +5% $-151 +10% $-204
Rent -10% $-202 -5% $-150 +0% $-97 +5% $-45 +10% $7
Rate -1.0pp $-2 -0.5pp $-49 base $-97 +0.5pp $-146 +1.0pp $-196

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,250
Closing costs
$5,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $189,000 Active 19 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $189,000 Active 18 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $189,000 Active 16 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $189,000 Active 15 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $189,000 Active 14 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $189,000 Active 13 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $189,000 Active 11 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $189,000 Active 10 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $189,000 Active 7 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,000 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,000 Active 5 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $189,000 Active 4 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    remarks 699-char remark
  14. 2026-06-03
    listed $189,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$872 · $73/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,342 · $112/mo
Expected delta
+$470/yr (+$39/mo · 53.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,875
− Mortgage interest
−$10,587
− Property taxes
−$872
− Insurance
−$945
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,270
− Management
−$1,270
− Depreciation
−$5,498
Taxable loss
−$4,567
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,096
After-tax cash flow
$-73/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hardin County
NCES district ID
4701680
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$34,404
Composite
22.64/100
National rank
#8061
State rank
#76 of 139 in TN

Livability — Savannah

Score
71/100
State rank
#47
US rank
#7090

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Savannah, TN
Population (ZIP)
17,659

Population outlook (Hardin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,740 people
By 2030
23,971 · -3.1%
By 2040
22,284 · -9.9%
By 2050
20,612 · -16.7%
By 2075
17,072 · -31.0%
By 2100
13,723 · -44.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Slovak 2% Danish 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hardin

2024 margin
Solid R (+71.0) · D 14.1% · R 85.1%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: -42.7pp · 2024: -71.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+71.0 2020: R+67.5 2016: R+64.2 2012: R+51.6 2008: R+42.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 15.20%
Current HPI
293.51
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+152.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $189,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1999-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $872 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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