419 Mcknight St · Westwood, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +7.0/10.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$139,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Large home with 5 bedrooms possible option for a 6th and 2 baths. Hardwood floors throughout the living area. The main floor area has one bedroom. The upstairs has four additional bedrooms and a bathroom with an additional family room area upstairs. Large yard and 2 car detached garage.
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1959
- Listed 79 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; 2 stories; Entry level: 1 (above-grade finished area listed); Brick exterior; Facing direction: Not specified
- Construction: Composition roof; Brick construction; Crawl space foundation; Built year: Not specified
- Exterior features: Patio; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 8
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Gas range; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $176 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $139k).
- Recommended offer: $131k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 5.1% in Westwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#267 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Fairview Independent (suburban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #124 of 165 in KY (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Boyd County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($961 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
- Boyd County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.42%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $238,080
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 219 Johnson Ave. Ave | 0.18mi | 5/2.0 | 2,080 (+8%) | 6mo | $219,000 | $105 | 73 |
| 300 New Buckley Road Rd | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,792 (-7%) | 1mo | $223,000 | $124 | 56 |
| 500 Middletown Avenue Ave | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,782 (-7%) | 4mo | $160,000 | $90 | 45 |
| 312 W Woodmont Dr | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,675 (-13%) | 3mo | $220,500 | $132 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.98% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.91×
- Total profit
- $35,328
- Equity at exit
- $70,314
- IRR
- 16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.61×
- Total profit
- $101,421
- Equity at exit
- $114,875
Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 41102
- Home prices YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 69
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,461 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$729
- Tax from tax record
- −$191 /mo · $2,294/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$307
- Net cashflow
- $176
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $255 | -5% $215 | +0% $176 | +5% $137 | +10% $97 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $61 | -5% $118 | +0% $176 | +5% $234 | +10% $291 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $246 | -0.5pp $211 | base $176 | +0.5pp $140 | +1.0pp $103 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,750
- Closing costs
- $4,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $139,000 Pending 79 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $139,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-21price $139,000
Show marketing remark (287 chars)
Large home with 5 bedrooms possible option for a 6th and 2 baths. Hardwood floors throughout the living area. The main floor area has one bedroom. The upstairs has four additional bedrooms and a bathroom with an additional family room area upstairs. Large yard and 2 car detached garage.
-
2026-05-21price $139,000 287-char remark
Show marketing remark (287 chars)
Large home with 5 bedrooms possible option for a 6th and 2 baths. Hardwood floors throughout the living area. The main floor area has one bedroom. The upstairs has four additional bedrooms and a bathroom with an additional family room area upstairs. Large yard and 2 car detached garage.
-
2026-05-08price $149,000 287-char remark
Show marketing remark (287 chars)
Large home with 5 bedrooms possible option for a 6th and 2 baths. Hardwood floors throughout the living area. The main floor area has one bedroom. The upstairs has four additional bedrooms and a bathroom with an additional family room area upstairs. Large yard and 2 car detached garage.
-
2026-05-08price $149,000
Show marketing remark (287 chars)
Large home with 5 bedrooms possible option for a 6th and 2 baths. Hardwood floors throughout the living area. The main floor area has one bedroom. The upstairs has four additional bedrooms and a bathroom with an additional family room area upstairs. Large yard and 2 car detached garage.
-
2026-04-07price $152,000
-
2026-03-25$159,000 Active
Show marketing remark (287 chars)
Large home with 5 bedrooms possible option for a 6th and 2 baths. Hardwood floors throughout the living area. The main floor area has one bedroom. The upstairs has four additional bedrooms and a bathroom with an additional family room area upstairs. Large yard and 2 car detached garage.
-
2026-03-25$159,000 Active 287-char remark
Show marketing remark (287 chars)
Large home with 5 bedrooms possible option for a 6th and 2 baths. Hardwood floors throughout the living area. The main floor area has one bedroom. The upstairs has four additional bedrooms and a bathroom with an additional family room area upstairs. Large yard and 2 car detached garage.
-
2023-08-24soldstatus $133,000
-
2023-08-18soldstatus $133,000 Closed 499-char remark
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
If you are looking for a home with a lot of space, check this one out! It has 5-6 bedrooms and 2 baths. The downstairs has been completely renovated. It has a beautiful hardwood floors in the living room, bedroom and office. It has a large utility and full bath with gorgeous tile. The upstairs has four additional bedrooms and a bathroom. Ther is also an additional family room space upstairs. The yard is a full acre and is great for entertaining. Make an appointment today to check this one out!
-
2023-07-05$139,900 Active 499-char remark
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
If you are looking for a home with a lot of space, check this one out! It has 5-6 bedrooms and 2 baths. The downstairs has been completely renovated. It has a beautiful hardwood floors in the living room, bedroom and office. It has a large utility and full bath with gorgeous tile. The upstairs has four additional bedrooms and a bathroom. Ther is also an additional family room space upstairs. The yard is a full acre and is great for entertaining. Make an appointment today to check this one out!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,294 · $191/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,294 · $191/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,528
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,786
- − Property taxes
- −$2,294
- − Insurance
- −$695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,402
- − Management
- −$1,402
- − Depreciation
- −$4,044
- Taxable loss
- −$95
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$23
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,134/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fairview Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2101800
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,442
- Composite
- 23.3/100
- National rank
- #7922
- State rank
- #124 of 165 in KY
Livability — Westwood
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #267
- US rank
- #13071
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Westwood, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,779
Population outlook (Boyd County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 46,137 people
- By 2030
- 44,585 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 41,442 · -10.2%
- By 2050
- 38,313 · -17.0%
- By 2075
- 31,077 · -32.6%
- By 2100
- 23,432 · -49.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 3% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 4% Italian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Boyd
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+38.5) · D 30.0% · R 68.6% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: -12.3pp · 2024: -38.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+38.5 2020: R+33.2 2016: R+37.0 2012: R+16.3 2008: R+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.98%
- Current HPI
- 299.41
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
-0.6% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $139,000 AABOR
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $139,000 HBRMLS
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $149,000 HBRMLS
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $149,000 AABOR
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $152,000 AABOR
- 2026-03-25 Listed $159,000 HBRMLS
- 2026-03-25 Listed $159,000 AABOR
- 2023-08-24 Sold (Public Records) $133,000 Public Records
- 2023-08-18 Sold (MLS) $133,000 AABOR
- 2023-07-05 Listed $139,900 AABOR
Property tax history
+19.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,294 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…