171 Drive · Margaret, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.5/30.0
- ARV discount +12.6/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$174,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Mobile home on +/-3 acres per the tax records. This property is now under auction terms. All Bids must be submitted during the auction via the property's listing page at servicelinkauction.com. This sale is subject to a 5% or $2,500 minimum buyer's premium pursuant to the auction Terms & Conditions. All bids will be subject to seller approval (minimums may apply). * * * PROPERTY IS OCCUPIED. No access will be allowed and do not approach the occupants. * * * This property is being sold occupied with any and all occupants in AS IS/WHERE IS condition.
Key facts
- 3 acre lot
- Built 2004
- Listed 7 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Approximately 3 acres
- Financial info: Quarterly garbage fee ($60)
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking
- Utilities: Public water; Septic system; Internet service availability unknown
- Home design: Existing construction; Siding vinyl exterior
- Construction: Pillars/support foundation
- Exterior features: Covered deck; No pool; No patio; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Laminate countertops; Kitchen on main level
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on main level
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: Carpet flooring; Other ceiling details (see remarks)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $325 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (2.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $171k (2.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.6% in Margaret — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#166 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- St Clair County (rural): math 21% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #33 of 129 in AL (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Odenville Elementary School (436 students, 67% FRL); Saint Clair County High School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #169 of 305 statewide, top 59%, 622 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools average 63% FRL vs 41% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 36% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the St Clair County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 292 active listings in the ZIP; 557 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.97%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $197,120
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 Tree Line DR Dr | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,500 (+12%) | 19mo | $220,000 | $88 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.49% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-11,911
- Equity at exit
- $26,078
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-467
- Equity at exit
- $15,122
Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35120
- Home prices YoY
- -17.9%
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 292
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,709 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$917
- Tax from tax record
- −$35 /mo · $415/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$359
- Net cashflow
- $325
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,725
- Closing costs
- $5,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $174,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $174,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $174,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $174,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 560-char remark
-
2026-06-13$174,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $415 · $35/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $717 · $60/mo
- Expected delta
- +$302/yr (+$25/mo · 72.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,508
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,797
- − Property taxes
- −$415
- − Insurance
- −$874
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,641
- − Management
- −$1,641
- − Depreciation
- −$5,088
- Taxable income
- $1,052
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$252
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,653/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St Clair County
- NCES district ID
- 0103062
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -34.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,324
- Composite
- 31.79/100
- National rank
- #5887
- State rank
- #33 of 129 in AL
Livability — Margaret
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #166
- US rank
- #14543
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Clair County · 54,404 people
- City population
- 71
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,730
- Household income
- $74,352
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 109.0
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 94,158 people
- By 2030
- 97,008 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 101,615 · +7.9%
- By 2050
- 104,537 · +11.0%
- By 2075
- 109,350 · +16.1%
- By 2100
- 106,785 · +13.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Black 8% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.1) · D 17.6% · R 81.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.9pp no change · 2008: -63.2pp · 2024: -64.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.1 2020: R+64.0 2016: R+68.6 2012: R+66.1 2008: R+63.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -38.39%
- Current HPI
- 175.5104
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.49%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+10.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $174,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-19 Price Changed $79,500 VMLS
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $87,800 VMLS
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $101,300 VMLS
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $114,700 VMLS
- 2026-02-12 Price Changed $132,900 VMLS
- 2026-01-27 Listed $159,000 VMLS
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $415 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…