496 Forest Cir · Blairsville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cute Ranch Home in a Great Neighborhood. 3/3 Ranch Style home with Additional Living Space in the Basement with a 1 car Garage and an Attached 2 car Carport. Main Level Living with Room for Guests in the Basement or a Great Play Area for the Kiddos. Covered front Porch, Screened in Large Side Porch and an Open Back Porch for all your Grilling Needs. Also has a 10x16 Shed to store your Tools & Toys. This home is Move in Ready!
Key facts
- Front porch
- Spacious living room
- 0.66 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association fee paid annually
Exterior
- Parking: 1 garage space; Carport; Driveway; Concrete surfaces; 1 covered parking space; Open parking available (total 1 parking space)
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Residential property; One and one-half stories; Built in 1983; Frame construction with wood siding; Resale condition
- Construction: Frame and wood siding construction; Shingle roof; Year built: 1983
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Paved road frontage; Level to sloping topography
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range; Microwave; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level; 3 bedrooms on main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Vented fireplace (1); Finished basement (partial/full)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $299k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $821 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $299k).
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 2.6% in Blairsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#73 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing C-, amenities D, commute F.
- Union County (rural): math 37% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #48 of 174 in GA (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 789 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 281 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Union County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $233k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.76%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $415,982
- List price
- $299,000
- Delta
- -28.12%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Hollow Hill Spur | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,680 (0%) | 16mo | $365,000 | $217 | 65 |
| 17 Hollow Hill Spur #1 | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,680 (0%) | 16mo | $365,000 | $217 | 65 |
| 141 Rocky Cir | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,436 (-14%) | 10mo | $320,000 | $223 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $3,699
- Equity at exit
- $44,582
- IRR
- 10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.84×
- Total profit
- $70,033
- Equity at exit
- $25,852
Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30512
- Home prices YoY
- -12.8%
- Active inventory
- 789
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,300 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,568
- Tax from tax record
- −$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$693
- Net cashflow
- $821
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,750
- Closing costs
- $8,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 274 Henson Rd Blairsville, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2212 | $3,300 | $1.49 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2021-04-09soldstatus $233,400
-
2021-04-07soldstatus $233,400 435-char remark
Show marketing remark (435 chars)
Cute Ranch Home in a Great Neighborhood. 3/3 Ranch Style home with Additional Living Space in the Basement with a 1 car Garage and an Attached 2 car Carport. Main Level Living with Room for Guests in the Basement or a Great Play Area for the Kiddos. Covered front Porch, Screened in Large Side Porch and an Open Back Porch for all your Grilling Needs. Also has a 10x16 Shed to store your Tools & Toys. This home is Move in Ready!
-
2020-12-10$229,900 435-char remark
Show marketing remark (435 chars)
Cute Ranch Home in a Great Neighborhood. 3/3 Ranch Style home with Additional Living Space in the Basement with a 1 car Garage and an Attached 2 car Carport. Main Level Living with Room for Guests in the Basement or a Great Play Area for the Kiddos. Covered front Porch, Screened in Large Side Porch and an Open Back Porch for all your Grilling Needs. Also has a 10x16 Shed to store your Tools & Toys. This home is Move in Ready!
-
2006-08-30soldstatus $160,000
-
2006-06-05soldstatus $114,300
-
2004-02-11soldstatus $120,000
-
2000-07-13soldstatus $87,500
-
1995-01-06soldstatus $78,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,125 · $94/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,751 · $229/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,626/yr (+$136/mo · 144.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,749
- − Property taxes
- −$1,125
- − Insurance
- −$1,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,168
- − Management
- −$3,168
- − Depreciation
- −$8,698
- Taxable income
- $5,198
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,247
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,601/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Union County
- NCES district ID
- 1305250
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,487
- Composite
- 33.25/100
- National rank
- #5514
- State rank
- #48 of 174 in GA
Livability — Blairsville
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #73
- US rank
- #6374
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,226
Population outlook (Union County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 23,917 people
- By 2030
- 24,582 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 25,370 · +6.1%
- By 2050
- 25,697 · +7.4%
- By 2075
- 26,629 · +11.3%
- By 2100
- 26,162 · +9.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Serbian 4% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Union
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.5) · D 18.5% · R 81.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.5pp toward R · 2008: -52.0pp · 2024: -62.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.5 2020: R+63.3 2016: R+65.5 2012: R+59.9 2008: R+52.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.27%
- Current HPI
- 362.7971
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+283.3% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — NEGBOR
- 2026-05-15 Delisted — NEGBOR
- 2026-04-30 Listed $299,000 NEGBOR
- 2021-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $233,400 Public Records
- 2021-04-07 Sold (MLS) $233,400 NEGBOR
- 2020-12-10 Listed $229,900 NEGBOR
- 2006-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
- 2006-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $114,300 Public Records
- 2004-02-11 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 2000-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $87,500 Public Records
- 1995-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,125 · -5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…