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496 Forest Cir
B- Composite 69.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$299,000

496 Forest Cir · Blairsville, GA 30512
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,680 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1983 0.66 ac lot $178/sqft · at area comps Est $416k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cute Ranch Home in a Great Neighborhood. 3/3 Ranch Style home with Additional Living Space in the Basement with a 1 car Garage and an Attached 2 car Carport. Main Level Living with Room for Guests in the Basement or a Great Play Area for the Kiddos. Covered front Porch, Screened in Large Side Porch and an Open Back Porch for all your Grilling Needs. Also has a 10x16 Shed to store your Tools & Toys. This home is Move in Ready!

Key facts

  • Front porch
  • Spacious living room
  • 0.66 acre lot

Tags

NORTH GEORGIA MOUNTAINSFRONT PORCHSCREENED-IN SIDE PORCHSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMPARTIALLY FINISHED BASEMENT

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Association fee paid annually

Exterior

  • Parking: 1 garage space; Carport; Driveway; Concrete surfaces; 1 covered parking space; Open parking available (total 1 parking space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; One and one-half stories; Built in 1983; Frame construction with wood siding; Resale condition
  • Construction: Frame and wood siding construction; Shingle roof; Year built: 1983
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Paved road frontage; Level to sloping topography

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range; Microwave; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level; 3 bedrooms on main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Vented fireplace (1); Finished basement (partial/full)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $299k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $821 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $299k).
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 2.6% in Blairsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#73 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing C-, amenities D, commute F.
  • Union County (rural): math 37% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #48 of 174 in GA (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 789 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 281 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Union County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $233k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $299,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
9.59%
Cash-on-cash
11.76%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$415,982
List price
$299,000
Delta
-28.12%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
17 Hollow Hill Spur 0.28mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,680 (0%) 16mo $365,000 $217 65
17 Hollow Hill Spur #1 0.28mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,680 (0%) 16mo $365,000 $217 65
141 Rocky Cir 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,436 (-14%) 10mo $320,000 $223 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.2%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$3,699
Equity at exit
$44,582
10-year hold
IRR
10.7%
Equity multiple
1.84×
Total profit
$70,033
Equity at exit
$25,852

Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30512

Home prices YoY
-12.8%
Active inventory
789
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,300 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,568
Tax from tax record
$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$693
Net cashflow
$821

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,261
Max offer price $299,000
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,750
Closing costs
$8,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
274 Henson Rd Blairsville, GA 3.0 3.0 2212 $3,300 $1.49 43d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2021-04-09
    soldstatus $233,400
  2. 2021-04-07
    soldstatus $233,400 435-char remark
    Show marketing remark (435 chars)

    Cute Ranch Home in a Great Neighborhood. 3/3 Ranch Style home with Additional Living Space in the Basement with a 1 car Garage and an Attached 2 car Carport. Main Level Living with Room for Guests in the Basement or a Great Play Area for the Kiddos. Covered front Porch, Screened in Large Side Porch and an Open Back Porch for all your Grilling Needs. Also has a 10x16 Shed to store your Tools & Toys. This home is Move in Ready!

  3. 2020-12-10
    listed $229,900 435-char remark
    Show marketing remark (435 chars)

    Cute Ranch Home in a Great Neighborhood. 3/3 Ranch Style home with Additional Living Space in the Basement with a 1 car Garage and an Attached 2 car Carport. Main Level Living with Room for Guests in the Basement or a Great Play Area for the Kiddos. Covered front Porch, Screened in Large Side Porch and an Open Back Porch for all your Grilling Needs. Also has a 10x16 Shed to store your Tools & Toys. This home is Move in Ready!

  4. 2006-08-30
    soldstatus $160,000
  5. 2006-06-05
    soldstatus $114,300
  6. 2004-02-11
    soldstatus $120,000
  7. 2000-07-13
    soldstatus $87,500
  8. 1995-01-06
    soldstatus $78,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,125 · $94/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,751 · $229/mo
Expected delta
+$1,626/yr (+$136/mo · 144.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$39,600
− Mortgage interest
−$16,749
− Property taxes
−$1,125
− Insurance
−$1,495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,168
− Management
−$3,168
− Depreciation
−$8,698
Taxable income
$5,198
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,247
After-tax cash flow
$8,601/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Union County
NCES district ID
1305250
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$41,487
Composite
33.25/100
National rank
#5514
State rank
#48 of 174 in GA

Livability — Blairsville

Score
72/100
State rank
#73
US rank
#6374

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing C- Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
24,226

Population outlook (Union County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
23,917 people
By 2030
24,582 · +2.8%
By 2040
25,370 · +6.1%
By 2050
25,697 · +7.4%
By 2075
26,629 · +11.3%
By 2100
26,162 · +9.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Serbian 4% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Union

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.5) · D 18.5% · R 81.0%
2008→2024 swing
-10.5pp toward R · 2008: -52.0pp · 2024: -62.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.5 2020: R+63.3 2016: R+65.5 2012: R+59.9 2008: R+52.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -53.27%
Current HPI
362.7971
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+283.3% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending NEGBOR
  • 2026-05-15 Delisted NEGBOR
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $299,000 NEGBOR
  • 2021-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $233,400 Public Records
  • 2021-04-07 Sold (MLS) $233,400 NEGBOR
  • 2020-12-10 Listed $229,900 NEGBOR
  • 2006-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
  • 2006-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $114,300 Public Records
  • 2004-02-11 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
  • 2000-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $87,500 Public Records
  • 1995-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,125 · -5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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