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8227 Blue Rim Ln #33
B- Composite 69.1
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.0/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

8227 Blue Rim Ln #33 · Boise City, ID 83716
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,436 sqft · Manufactured · 60 Days on market
Built 2023 Excellent condition Est $162k · 8% over ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Newly constructed Fleetwood home on pillars and ties in beautiful lakeside community of Blue Valley in SE Boise. Less traffic, easy access to airport, downtown and 5 miles from Lucky Peak Reservoir! This new home has a covered front porch, all upgraded SS appliances, gas range and heat, 5" baseboards, AC and more. Come enjoy the comforts of quiet living in your own home. Manufactured home lenders available. Lot rent $560. Buyers must apply for residency at [email protected].

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Newer appliances
  • Primary suite

Tags

BLUE VALLEY LAKESIDE COMMUNITYOPEN FLOOR PLANMODERN FINISHESNEWER APPLIANCESPRIMARY SUITELARGE WALK-IN CLOSET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Builder: Fleetwood
  • HOA & community: Located in the Blue Valley subdivision / Boise South area; Property is within a mobile home park (rented lot)

Exterior

  • Parking: RV access/parking; Finished driveway
  • Utilities: City and community water service; Sewer connected; Cable connected; Broadband internet available; Power: natural gas for appliances and heating
  • Home design: Mobile/manufactured home on a rented lot; Built in 2023; Energy Star certified
  • Construction: HardiPlank-type exterior; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Full vinyl fencing; Covered patio/deck; Paved road access; Located in a mobile home park

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator; Gas oven; Gas range; Pantry; Breakfast bar; Laminate counters
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms — all on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Primary bedroom with en-suite bath; Double vanity in bath; Walk-in closet(s); Breakfast bar; Pantry; Laminate countertops
  • Laundry & utility: Utility room on the main level; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $920 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $175k).
  • Recommended offer: $170k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 2.6% in Boise City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Boise Independent District (urban): math 42% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #36 of 92 in ID (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Timberline High School (math 53% / reading 74%, grade B-, #14 of 169 statewide, top 8%, 1,398 students, 10% FRL) — zoned schools average 10% FRL vs 33% district-wide (24 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 64% at this address vs 49% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Boise Independent District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 328 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 5,129 units permitted in Ada County in 2024 (414 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ada County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $169,750 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.54%
Cap rate
12.60%
Cash-on-cash
22.53%
DSCR
2.00
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$162,268
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8433 Blue Heaven Ln 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,404 (-2%) 10mo $140,000 $100 83
8426 S Blue Heaven Ln 0.09mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (+0%) 9mo $149,900 $104 82
8533 Blue Hill Lane #134 #134 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,493 (+4%) 6mo $174,000 $117 82
8287 S Blue Rim Lane #22 Ln 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-6%) 6mo $169,900 $126 81
2312 Blue Lake Lane #70 #70 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,493 (+4%) 4mo $151,000 $101 80
8283 Blue Heaven 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,512 (+5%) 10mo $165,000 $109 80
1984 Blue Spruce Lane #170 Ln 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,512 (+5%) 9mo $174,000 $115 79
8255 Blue Ridge Lane #6 Ln 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,368 (-5%) 10mo $150,000 $110 78
8426 Blue Heaven #149 #149 0.09mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,536 (+7%) 3mo $144,200 $94 77
2164 Blue Spruce Ln #194 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,296 (-10%) 1mo $229,999 $177 76
2309 Blue Sage Lane #96 Ln 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,492 (+4%) 10mo $179,000 $120 74
2187 E Blue Lake Ln #50 0.10mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,313 (-9%) 10mo $149,000 $113 67

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.78% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.4%
Equity multiple
1.72×
Total profit
$35,180
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
27.1%
Equity multiple
3.59×
Total profit
$127,140
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Idaho
91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; minimal tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 83716

Home prices YoY
-22.8%
Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
328
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,695 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax est. 1.5%
$219 /mo · $2,625/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$566
Net cashflow
$920

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,531
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,041 -5% $980 +0% $920 +5% $859 +10% $799
Rent -10% $707 -5% $813 +0% $920 +5% $1,026 +10% $1,133
Rate -1.0pp $1,008 -0.5pp $964 base $920 +0.5pp $874 +1.0pp $828

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $175,000 Active 60 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $175,000 Active 59 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $175,000 Active 58 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $175,000 Active 57 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $175,000 Active 55 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $175,000 Active 52 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $175,000 Active 51 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $175,000 Active 50 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $175,000 Active 49 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $175,000 Active 46 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $175,000 Active 45 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $175,000 Active 44 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $175,000 Active 43 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 42 DOM
  15. 2026-05-12
    price $187,000
  16. 2026-04-19
    listed $193,000 Active
  17. 2023-10-31
    soldstatus Sold 495-char remark
    Show marketing remark (495 chars)

    Newly constructed Fleetwood home on pillars and ties in beautiful lakeside community of Blue Valley in SE Boise. Less traffic, easy access to airport, downtown and 5 miles from Lucky Peak Reservoir! This new home has a covered front porch, all upgraded SS appliances, gas range and heat, 5" baseboards, AC and more. Come enjoy the comforts of quiet living in your own home. Manufactured home lenders available. Lot rent $560. Buyers must apply for residency at [email protected].

  18. 2023-10-25
    status Pending 495-char remark
    Show marketing remark (495 chars)

    Newly constructed Fleetwood home on pillars and ties in beautiful lakeside community of Blue Valley in SE Boise. Less traffic, easy access to airport, downtown and 5 miles from Lucky Peak Reservoir! This new home has a covered front porch, all upgraded SS appliances, gas range and heat, 5" baseboards, AC and more. Come enjoy the comforts of quiet living in your own home. Manufactured home lenders available. Lot rent $560. Buyers must apply for residency at [email protected].

  19. 2023-04-06
    listed $198,500 Active 495-char remark
    Show marketing remark (495 chars)

    Newly constructed Fleetwood home on pillars and ties in beautiful lakeside community of Blue Valley in SE Boise. Less traffic, easy access to airport, downtown and 5 miles from Lucky Peak Reservoir! This new home has a covered front porch, all upgraded SS appliances, gas range and heat, 5" baseboards, AC and more. Come enjoy the comforts of quiet living in your own home. Manufactured home lenders available. Lot rent $560. Buyers must apply for residency at [email protected].

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,342
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$2,625
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,587
− Management
−$2,587
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable income
$8,774
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,106
After-tax cash flow
$8,932/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This move-in ready 2023 manufactured home in Blue Valley, Boise City, Idaho, is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a spacious floor plan. It's located in a highly desirable community with easy access to shopping and dining. The home is ready for immediate occupancy and can be further enhanced with minor exterior painting and landscaping improvements.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can add value
  • Rental Landscaping improvements — Attracts tenants and enhances curb appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can add value
  • Rental Landscaping improvements — Attracts tenants and enhances curb appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Boise Independent District
NCES district ID
1600360
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$49,135
Composite
41.82/100
National rank
#3388
State rank
#36 of 92 in ID

Livability — Boise City

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Boise City, ID
County
Ada County · 522,161 people
City population
152,689
Metro
Boise City, ID
Population (ZIP)
21,402
Household income
$128,822
Rent vs Own
21.2% rent · 78.8% own
Severe rent burden
408.0

Population outlook (Ada County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
535,818 people
By 2030
585,751 · +9.3%
By 2040
682,435 · +27.4%
By 2050
775,818 · +44.8%
By 2075
994,458 · +85.6%
By 2100
1,148,884 · +114.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Asian 9% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 6% Portuguese 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Ada

2024 margin
R (+10.3) · D 43.4% · R 53.8% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-4.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.2pp · 2024: -10.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+10.3 2020: R+3.9 2016: R+9.2 2012: R+11.3 2008: R+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -97.80%
Current HPI
332.0696
Rent YoY
▲ 4.78%
Metro
Boise City, ID
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $187,000 IMLS
  • 2026-04-19 Listed $193,000 IMLS
  • 2023-10-31 Sold (MLS) IMLS
  • 2023-10-25 Pending IMLS
  • 2023-04-06 Listed $198,500 IMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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