11441 S Hunter Ave · Fortuna Foothills, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 113°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.1/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity featuring two income-producing park models—one a 1989 Redman/Imperial (12x38) rented for $750 and the other a 1987 Westwind (12x36) rented for $800—each with its own HVAC system and landlord-paid water and electricity, with the seller strongly preferring to sell this property together with neighboring 11451 S Hunter Ave for a combined, higher-income potential.
Key facts
- Listed 210 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Unpaved parking
- Utilities: Electric service on property
- Home design: Residential income property; Multi-family (2–8 plex options)
- Exterior features: Unpaved parking area
Interior
- Interior features: Central heating; Central cooling
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a manufactured listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $500 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 4.2% in Fortuna Foothills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#174 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime F.
- Yuma Union High School District (4507) (urban): math 14% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #212 of 249 in AZ (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 413 active listings in the ZIP; 1,399 units permitted in Yuma County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yuma County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 210 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $32k; list at $145k implies a 346% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 210 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.77%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $79,130
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11463 S Maria Rosa Dr | 0.25mi | 1/1.0 | 409 (-0%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $208 | 86 |
| 11529 S Sandra Ave | 0.21mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (-2%) | 5mo | $113,500 | $284 | 82 |
| 11393 S Maria Rosa Dr | 0.26mi | 1/1.0 | 396 (-3%) | 2mo | $51,250 | $129 | 81 |
| 11423 S Maria Rosa Dr | 0.25mi | 1/1.0 | 398 (-3%) | 4mo | $60,000 | $151 | 80 |
| 11360 S Maria Rosa Dr | 0.29mi | 1/1.0 | 420 (+2%) | 4mo | $67,300 | $160 | 79 |
| 11370 S Clara Anita Dr | 0.31mi | 1/1.0 | 402 (-2%) | 8mo | $99,500 | $248 | 76 |
| 12276 S Maria Rosa Pl | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 405 (-1%) | 3mo | $78,000 | $193 | 75 |
| 11281 S Clara Anita Dr #22 | 0.34mi | 1/1.0 | 395 (-4%) | 4mo | $70,000 | $177 | 75 |
| 11409 S Clara Anita Dr | 0.28mi | 1/1.0 | 385 (-6%) | 3mo | $76,000 | $197 | 74 |
| 11275 S Clara Anita Dr #21 | 0.35mi | 1/1.0 | 391 (-5%) | 5mo | $73,000 | $187 | 72 |
| 11341 S Maria Rosa Dr | 0.28mi | 1/1.0 | 386 (-6%) | 6mo | $68,900 | $178 | 72 |
| 12156 E 39 St | 0.60mi | 1/1.0 | 396 (-3%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $303 | 63 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.46% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $10,821
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $60,946
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85367
- Home prices YoY
- -26.2%
- Rents YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 413
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,715 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$34 /mo · $412/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$360
- Net cashflow
- $500
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $582 | -5% $541 | +0% $500 | +5% $459 | +10% $418 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $364 | -5% $432 | +0% $500 | +5% $567 | +10% $635 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $573 | -0.5pp $537 | base $500 | +0.5pp $462 | +1.0pp $424 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $145,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $145,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-04-08status Active 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Great investment opportunity featuring two income-producing park models—one a 1989 Redman/Imperial (12x38) rented for $750 and the other a 1987 Westwind (12x36) rented for $800—each with its own HVAC system and landlord-paid water and electricity, with the seller strongly preferring to sell this property together with neighboring 11451 S Hunter Ave for a combined, higher-income potential.
-
2026-04-08status Active
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Great investment opportunity featuring two income-producing park models—one a 1989 Redman/Imperial (12x38) rented for $750 and the other a 1987 Westwind (12x36) rented for $800—each with its own HVAC system and landlord-paid water and electricity, with the seller strongly preferring to sell this property together with neighboring 11451 S Hunter Ave for a combined, higher-income potential.
-
2026-04-07historical
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Great investment opportunity featuring two income-producing park models—one a 1989 Redman/Imperial (12x38) rented for $750 and the other a 1987 Westwind (12x36) rented for $800—each with its own HVAC system and landlord-paid water and electricity, with the seller strongly preferring to sell this property together with neighboring 11451 S Hunter Ave for a combined, higher-income potential.
-
2026-04-07historical 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Great investment opportunity featuring two income-producing park models—one a 1989 Redman/Imperial (12x38) rented for $750 and the other a 1987 Westwind (12x36) rented for $800—each with its own HVAC system and landlord-paid water and electricity, with the seller strongly preferring to sell this property together with neighboring 11451 S Hunter Ave for a combined, higher-income potential.
-
2026-03-10price $145,000 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Great investment opportunity featuring two income-producing park models—one a 1989 Redman/Imperial (12x38) rented for $750 and the other a 1987 Westwind (12x36) rented for $800—each with its own HVAC system and landlord-paid water and electricity, with the seller strongly preferring to sell this property together with neighboring 11451 S Hunter Ave for a combined, higher-income potential.
-
2026-03-10price $145,000
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Great investment opportunity featuring two income-producing park models—one a 1989 Redman/Imperial (12x38) rented for $750 and the other a 1987 Westwind (12x36) rented for $800—each with its own HVAC system and landlord-paid water and electricity, with the seller strongly preferring to sell this property together with neighboring 11451 S Hunter Ave for a combined, higher-income potential.
-
2025-12-09price $155,000 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Great investment opportunity featuring two income-producing park models—one a 1989 Redman/Imperial (12x38) rented for $750 and the other a 1987 Westwind (12x36) rented for $800—each with its own HVAC system and landlord-paid water and electricity, with the seller strongly preferring to sell this property together with neighboring 11451 S Hunter Ave for a combined, higher-income potential.
-
2025-12-04price $155,000
-
2025-11-09$168,900 Active 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Great investment opportunity featuring two income-producing park models—one a 1989 Redman/Imperial (12x38) rented for $750 and the other a 1987 Westwind (12x36) rented for $800—each with its own HVAC system and landlord-paid water and electricity, with the seller strongly preferring to sell this property together with neighboring 11451 S Hunter Ave for a combined, higher-income potential.
-
2025-11-09$169,900 Active
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Great investment opportunity featuring two income-producing park models—one a 1989 Redman/Imperial (12x38) rented for $750 and the other a 1987 Westwind (12x36) rented for $800—each with its own HVAC system and landlord-paid water and electricity, with the seller strongly preferring to sell this property together with neighboring 11451 S Hunter Ave for a combined, higher-income potential.
-
2018-12-28soldstatus $32,500 142-char remark
Show marketing remark (142 chars)
Amazing 6875 SQ FT Lot on Septic! Features: 2 RV Hook-ups & 2 Cement RV Pads & Power Meter/Water Meter. Great Investment Property!
-
2018-12-28soldstatus $65,000
Show marketing remark (142 chars)
Amazing 6875 SQ FT Lot on Septic! Features: 2 RV Hook-ups & 2 Cement RV Pads & Power Meter/Water Meter. Great Investment Property!
-
2018-02-02$39,876 142-char remark
Show marketing remark (142 chars)
Amazing 6875 SQ FT Lot on Septic! Features: 2 RV Hook-ups & 2 Cement RV Pads & Power Meter/Water Meter. Great Investment Property!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $412 · $34/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $957 · $80/mo
- Expected delta
- +$545/yr (+$45/mo · 132.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥113°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,579
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$412
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,646
- − Management
- −$1,646
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $3,810
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$914
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,082/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Yuma Union High School District (4507)
- NCES district ID
- 0409630
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,512
- Composite
- 12.86/100
- National rank
- #9592
- State rank
- #212 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Fortuna Foothills
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #174
- US rank
- #18663
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fortuna Foothills, AZ
- County
- Yuma County · 149,809 people
- City population
- 21,356
- Metro
- Yuma, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,074
- Household income
- $58,469
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 408.0
Population outlook (Yuma County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 211,633 people
- By 2030
- 214,114 · +1.2%
- By 2040
- 217,856 · +2.9%
- By 2050
- 220,276 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 222,359 · +5.1%
- By 2100
- 198,880 · -6.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 11% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 16% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Yuma
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.3% · R 59.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.6pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -20.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.4 2020: R+6.2 2016: R+5.5 2012: R+16.1 2008: R+13.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.81%
- Current HPI
- 227.2692
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.46%
- Metro
- Yuma, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
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Price history
+263.6% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Relisted — YAR
- 2026-04-08 Relisted — YAR
- 2026-04-07 Delisted — YAR
- 2026-04-07 Delisted — YAR
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $145,000 YAR
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $145,000 YAR
- 2025-12-09 Price Changed $155,000 YAR
- 2025-12-04 Price Changed $155,000 YAR
- 2025-11-09 Listed $168,900 YAR
- 2025-11-09 Listed $169,900 YAR
- 2018-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2018-12-28 Sold (MLS) $32,500 YAR
- 2018-02-02 Listed $39,876 YAR
Property tax history
-0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $412 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…