1015 Saint Anthony Ln · Parks, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.3/30.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom single wide mobile home offering an open floor plan, large living area, and split-bedroom design for added privacy. The kitchen features ample cabinet space and flows into the dining area, making it great for everyday living and entertaining. The primary suite includes a private bath with relaxing space to unwind. Conveniently located with plenty of room inside and out -- perfect for homeowners or investors alike!
Key facts
- 1,280 sq ft lot
- Listed 21 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No designated parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electric service: SLEMCO
- Home design: Manufactured home
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Living room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $131 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (9.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $109k (9.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 2.6% in Parks — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#182 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: employment C-, schools D-, crime F.
- St. Martin Parish (rural): math 23% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #49 of 98 in LA (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 125 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in St. Martin Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Martin County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.68%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $100,016
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1020 St. Jude Ln | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (+14%) | 4mo | $114,900 | $94 | 71 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-11,148
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $848
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70582
- Home prices YoY
- -23.8%
- Active inventory
- 125
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,087 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$49 /mo · $584/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$228
- Net cashflow
- $131
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $120,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $120,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $120,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $120,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-28$120,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $584 · $49/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $660 · $55/mo
- Expected delta
- +$76/yr (+$6/mo · 13.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,047
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$584
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,044
- − Management
- −$1,044
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable loss
- −$437
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$105
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,677/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This single-wide mobile home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It offers a good investment opportunity with minimal repairs needed and potential for value increase through cosmetic updates.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace ceiling fans with LED models — Saves energy and looks modern
- Both Install smart home devices — Improves convenience and energy efficiency
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace ceiling fans with LED models — Saves energy and looks modern ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Improves convenience and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Martin Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201590
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -44.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -36.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,813
- Composite
- 23.41/100
- National rank
- #7897
- State rank
- #49 of 98 in LA
Livability — Parks
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #182
- US rank
- #14793
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,159
Population outlook (St. Martin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 57,446 people
- By 2030
- 58,857 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 60,859 · +5.9%
- By 2050
- 61,419 · +6.9%
- By 2075
- 61,574 · +7.2%
- By 2100
- 57,253 · -0.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Black 30% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Martin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.7) · D 29.1% · R 69.8% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -20.7pp · 2024: -40.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.7 2020: R+36.1 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+24.5 2008: R+20.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -48.36%
- Current HPI
- 155.151
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $120,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $584 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…