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1015 Saint Anthony Ln
D Composite 41.45
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.3/30.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

1015 Saint Anthony Ln · Parks, LA 70582
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,064 sqft · Manufactured public records · 21 Days on market
Built 2019 Good condition 1,280 sqft lot Est $100k · 20% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom single wide mobile home offering an open floor plan, large living area, and split-bedroom design for added privacy. The kitchen features ample cabinet space and flows into the dining area, making it great for everyday living and entertaining. The primary suite includes a private bath with relaxing space to unwind. Conveniently located with plenty of room inside and out -- perfect for homeowners or investors alike!

Key facts

  • 1,280 sq ft lot
  • Listed 21 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No designated parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electric service: SLEMCO
  • Home design: Manufactured home
  • Exterior features: Vinyl siding

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Living room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $131 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (9.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $109k (9.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 2.6% in Parks — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#182 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: employment C-, schools D-, crime F.
  • St. Martin Parish (rural): math 23% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #49 of 98 in LA (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 125 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in St. Martin Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Martin County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $108,724 (9.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
7.60%
Cash-on-cash
4.68%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$100,016
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1020 St. Jude Ln 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,216 (+14%) 4mo $114,900 $94 71

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.1%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-11,148
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
0.4%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$848
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70582

Home prices YoY
-23.8%
Active inventory
125
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,087 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$49 /mo · $584/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$228
Net cashflow
$131

Break-even live

Break-even rent $921
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $120,000 Active 16 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $120,000 Active 13 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,000 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,000 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $120,000 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $120,000 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $120,000 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $120,000 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 3 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $120,000 Active 2 DOM
  16. 2026-05-28
    listed $120,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$584 · $49/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$660 · $55/mo
Expected delta
+$76/yr (+$6/mo · 13.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,047
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$584
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,044
− Management
−$1,044
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable loss
−$437
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$105
After-tax cash flow
$1,677/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This single-wide mobile home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It offers a good investment opportunity with minimal repairs needed and potential for value increase through cosmetic updates.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace ceiling fans with LED models — Saves energy and looks modern
  • Both Install smart home devices — Improves convenience and energy efficiency

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace ceiling fans with LED models — Saves energy and looks modern
  • Both Install smart home devices — Improves convenience and energy efficiency

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Martin Parish
NCES district ID
2201590
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -44.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -36.00%
Median HH income
$42,813
Composite
23.41/100
National rank
#7897
State rank
#49 of 98 in LA

Livability — Parks

Score
64/100
State rank
#182
US rank
#14793

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
19,159

Population outlook (St. Martin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
57,446 people
By 2030
58,857 · +2.5%
By 2040
60,859 · +5.9%
By 2050
61,419 · +6.9%
By 2075
61,574 · +7.2%
By 2100
57,253 · -0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (63%)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Black 30% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 15%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
92% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Martin

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.7) · D 29.1% · R 69.8% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -20.7pp · 2024: -40.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.7 2020: R+36.1 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+24.5 2008: R+20.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -48.36%
Current HPI
155.151
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $120,000 AcadianaMLS

Property tax history

-0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $584 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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