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4955 Lanett Dr 🏷️ Likely Rental
D+ Composite 45.56
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$5,000

4955 Lanett Dr · Bellview, FL 32526
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,696 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1978 8,712 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

BIG PRICE REDUCTION, GREAT VALUE! * All Brick Exterior for Low Maintenance and Beauty * 4 Bedrooms off Central Hallway * Kitchen has breakfast bar and opens to Dining Area, Spacious Pantry Closet, Newer Range (Dec 2010)* Has both a Family Room and Living Room * 5 Ceiling Fans * Roof Replaced Oct 2002 * Oversized 1 Car Garage with Garage Door Opener & 2 Remotes * Large Covered Patio (23'x12') to enjoy outdoor activities * Spacious Yard perfect for a garden, pool or playground area * Backyard is Completely Privacy Fenced * Quiet Interior Street in La Villa Roble neighborhood * Sidewalks throughout the neighborhood * Large Park nearby with Playground, Track, Softball and Basketball Areas * One Year Home Warranty Provided by Seller *

Key facts

  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1978

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: MDR

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Other water source; Other sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Residential property
  • Construction: Construction details: See remarks
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Other roof

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 1
  • Flooring: Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Other flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $5,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$259,488) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $5k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $5k).
  • Cap rate 375.7% vs local median 5.2% in Bellview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#561 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 417 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $35 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $150 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $5,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
39.84%
Cap rate
375.69%
Cash-on-cash
1319.28%
DSCR
59.70
GRM
0.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$259,488
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5940 Muldoon Rd 0.32mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,684 (-1%) 3mo $273,000 $162 77
5800 Avondale Rd 0.50mi 4/2.0 1,700 (+0%) 1mo $110,000 $65 75
5000 Stevendale Rd 0.56mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,699 (+0%) 6mo $225,000 $132 64
5686 Ventura Ln 0.33mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,824 (+8%) 7mo $260,000 $143 61
4960 La Ventana Ct 0.23mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,448 (-15%) 3mo $249,000 $172 58
4655 Kimberly Dr 0.52mi 4/2.0 1,850 (+9%) 5mo $270,000 $146 57
5224 Westwind Cir 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,595 (-6%) 2mo $289,000 $181 56
5233 Westwind Cir 0.56mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,550 (-9%) 1mo $237,500 $153 54
6044 Champion Oaks Dr 0.49mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,512 (-11%) 1mo $200,000 $132 53
5142 Stevendale Rd 0.71mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,639 (-3%) 4mo $260,000 $159 53
5687 Nicholas Ln 0.54mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,863 (+10%) 4mo $155,000 $83 50
5030 Stevendale Rd 0.59mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,539 (-9%) 4mo $260,000 $169 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
72.53×
Total profit
$100,136
Equity at exit
$746
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
162.24×
Total profit
$225,741
Equity at exit
$432

Cash invested: $1,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32526

Home prices YoY
-28.3%
Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
417
Price-to-rent
0.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,992 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$26
Tax est. 1.5%
$6 /mo · $75/yr
Insurance
$2
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$418
Net cashflow
$1,539

Break-even live

Break-even rent $44
Max offer price $5,000
Occupancy floor 18%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$1,250
Closing costs
$150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4856 Genevive Ct Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1900 $1,850 $0.97 14d 1 0.11mi
5217 Saufley Field Rd Pensacola, FL 4.0 2.5 1817 $1,895 $1.04 23d 1 0.54mi
5184 Regalo Dr Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1504 $1,900 $1.26 23d 1 0.54mi
6077 Royal Port Ct Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.5 1542 $1,775 $1.15 23d 1 0.60mi
6081 Royal Port Ct Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.5 1428 $1,850 $1.30 23d 1 0.60mi
5404 N Blue Angel Pkwy Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,275 $1.14 23d 1 0.80mi
3219 Fresno Ave Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1192 $1,375 $1.15 23d 1 0.83mi
3230 Palmdale Ave Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,500 $1.15 23d 1 0.83mi
6225 Mobile Hwy Pensacola, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1036 $2,595 $2.50 14d 15 0.84mi
5519 Lexlee Blvd Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.5 1543 $1,850 $1.20 23d 1 0.96mi
6379 Mers Ln Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.5 1811 $1,900 $1.05 21d 1 0.99mi
5604 Scotland Ter Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1231 $1,600 $1.30 14d 1 1.13mi
5172 Zachary Blvd Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1803 $1,900 $1.05 23d 1 1.25mi
1860 Broyhill Ln Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1561 $1,600 $1.02 23d 1 1.43mi
2702 Massachusetts Ave Pensacola, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1150 $1,745 $1.52 14d 9 1.46mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    days on market $5,000 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $5,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $5,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $5,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-05-25
    listed $5,000 Active
  6. 2012-07-19
    soldstatus $83,000 743-char remark
    Show marketing remark (743 chars)

    BIG PRICE REDUCTION, GREAT VALUE! * All Brick Exterior for Low Maintenance and Beauty * 4 Bedrooms off Central Hallway * Kitchen has breakfast bar and opens to Dining Area, Spacious Pantry Closet, Newer Range (Dec 2010)* Has both a Family Room and Living Room * 5 Ceiling Fans * Roof Replaced Oct 2002 * Oversized 1 Car Garage with Garage Door Opener & 2 Remotes * Large Covered Patio (23'x12') to enjoy outdoor activities * Spacious Yard perfect for a garden, pool or playground area * Backyard is Completely Privacy Fenced * Quiet Interior Street in La Villa Roble neighborhood * Sidewalks throughout the neighborhood * Large Park nearby with Playground, Track, Softball and Basketball Areas * One Year Home Warranty Provided by Seller *

  7. 2012-03-13
    listed $89,000 743-char remark
    Show marketing remark (743 chars)

    BIG PRICE REDUCTION, GREAT VALUE! * All Brick Exterior for Low Maintenance and Beauty * 4 Bedrooms off Central Hallway * Kitchen has breakfast bar and opens to Dining Area, Spacious Pantry Closet, Newer Range (Dec 2010)* Has both a Family Room and Living Room * 5 Ceiling Fans * Roof Replaced Oct 2002 * Oversized 1 Car Garage with Garage Door Opener & 2 Remotes * Large Covered Patio (23'x12') to enjoy outdoor activities * Spacious Yard perfect for a garden, pool or playground area * Backyard is Completely Privacy Fenced * Quiet Interior Street in La Villa Roble neighborhood * Sidewalks throughout the neighborhood * Large Park nearby with Playground, Track, Softball and Basketball Areas * One Year Home Warranty Provided by Seller *

  8. 1903-01-01
    soldstatus $36,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,905
− Mortgage interest
−$280
− Property taxes
−$75
− Insurance
−$25
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,912
− Management
−$1,912
− Depreciation
−$145
Taxable income
$19,554
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,693
After-tax cash flow
$13,777/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Escambia
NCES district ID
1200510
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,649
Composite
36.04/100
National rank
#4773
State rank
#56 of 73 in FL

Livability — Bellview

Score
67/100
State rank
#561
US rank
#10731

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bellview, FL
County
Escambia County · 301,722 people
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
Population (ZIP)
44,680
Household income
$75,098
Rent vs Own
23.8% rent · 76.2% own
Severe rent burden
1166.0

Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
334,637 people
By 2030
345,779 · +3.3%
By 2040
364,828 · +9.0%
By 2050
378,514 · +13.1%
By 2075
403,220 · +20.5%
By 2100
386,125 · +15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (66%)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Black 19% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Escambia

2024 margin
R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -99.68%
Current HPI
252.6406
Rent YoY
▲ 4.42%
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-86.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-25 Listed $5,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2012-07-19 Sold (MLS) $83,000 PARMLS
  • 2012-03-13 Listed $89,000 PARMLS
  • 1903-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $36,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $869 · +22.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…