🏷️ Likely Rental
4955 Lanett Dr · Bellview, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$5,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
BIG PRICE REDUCTION, GREAT VALUE! * All Brick Exterior for Low Maintenance and Beauty * 4 Bedrooms off Central Hallway * Kitchen has breakfast bar and opens to Dining Area, Spacious Pantry Closet, Newer Range (Dec 2010)* Has both a Family Room and Living Room * 5 Ceiling Fans * Roof Replaced Oct 2002 * Oversized 1 Car Garage with Garage Door Opener & 2 Remotes * Large Covered Patio (23'x12') to enjoy outdoor activities * Spacious Yard perfect for a garden, pool or playground area * Backyard is Completely Privacy Fenced * Quiet Interior Street in La Villa Roble neighborhood * Sidewalks throughout the neighborhood * Large Park nearby with Playground, Track, Softball and Basketball Areas * One Year Home Warranty Provided by Seller *
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1978
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: MDR
Exterior
- Parking: Garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Other water source; Other sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Residential property
- Construction: Construction details: See remarks
- Exterior features: Front porch; Other roof
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 1
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Other flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $5k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $5k).
- Cap rate 375.7% vs local median 5.2% in Bellview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#561 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 417 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $35 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $150 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 39.84% ✓
- Cap rate
- 375.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1319.28%
- DSCR
- 59.70
- GRM
- 0.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $259,488
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5940 Muldoon Rd | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,684 (-1%) | 3mo | $273,000 | $162 | 77 |
| 5800 Avondale Rd | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 | 1,700 (+0%) | 1mo | $110,000 | $65 | 75 |
| 5000 Stevendale Rd | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,699 (+0%) | 6mo | $225,000 | $132 | 64 |
| 5686 Ventura Ln | 0.33mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,824 (+8%) | 7mo | $260,000 | $143 | 61 |
| 4960 La Ventana Ct | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,448 (-15%) | 3mo | $249,000 | $172 | 58 |
| 4655 Kimberly Dr | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 | 1,850 (+9%) | 5mo | $270,000 | $146 | 57 |
| 5224 Westwind Cir | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,595 (-6%) | 2mo | $289,000 | $181 | 56 |
| 5233 Westwind Cir | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,550 (-9%) | 1mo | $237,500 | $153 | 54 |
| 6044 Champion Oaks Dr | 0.49mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,512 (-11%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $132 | 53 |
| 5142 Stevendale Rd | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,639 (-3%) | 4mo | $260,000 | $159 | 53 |
| 5687 Nicholas Ln | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,863 (+10%) | 4mo | $155,000 | $83 | 50 |
| 5030 Stevendale Rd | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,539 (-9%) | 4mo | $260,000 | $169 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 72.53×
- Total profit
- $100,136
- Equity at exit
- $746
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 162.24×
- Total profit
- $225,741
- Equity at exit
- $432
Cash invested: $1,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32526
- Home prices YoY
- -28.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 417
- Price-to-rent
- 0.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,992 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$26
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$6 /mo · $75/yr
- Insurance
- −$2
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$418
- Net cashflow
- $1,539
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $1,250
- Closing costs
- $150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4856 Genevive Ct Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1900 | $1,850 | $0.97 | 14d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 5217 Saufley Field Rd Pensacola, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1817 | $1,895 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5184 Regalo Dr Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1504 | $1,900 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 6077 Royal Port Ct Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1542 | $1,775 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 6081 Royal Port Ct Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1428 | $1,850 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 5404 N Blue Angel Pkwy Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,275 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3219 Fresno Ave Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $1,375 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3230 Palmdale Ave Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 6225 Mobile Hwy Pensacola, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1036 | $2,595 | $2.50 | 14d | 15 | 0.84mi |
| 5519 Lexlee Blvd Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1543 | $1,850 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 6379 Mers Ln Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1811 | $1,900 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 5604 Scotland Ter Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1231 | $1,600 | $1.30 | 14d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 5172 Zachary Blvd Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1803 | $1,900 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1860 Broyhill Ln Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1561 | $1,600 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2702 Massachusetts Ave Pensacola, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1150 | $1,745 | $1.52 | 14d | 9 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-02days on market $5,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $5,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $5,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $5,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-25$5,000 Active
-
2012-07-19soldstatus $83,000 743-char remark
Show marketing remark (743 chars)
BIG PRICE REDUCTION, GREAT VALUE! * All Brick Exterior for Low Maintenance and Beauty * 4 Bedrooms off Central Hallway * Kitchen has breakfast bar and opens to Dining Area, Spacious Pantry Closet, Newer Range (Dec 2010)* Has both a Family Room and Living Room * 5 Ceiling Fans * Roof Replaced Oct 2002 * Oversized 1 Car Garage with Garage Door Opener & 2 Remotes * Large Covered Patio (23'x12') to enjoy outdoor activities * Spacious Yard perfect for a garden, pool or playground area * Backyard is Completely Privacy Fenced * Quiet Interior Street in La Villa Roble neighborhood * Sidewalks throughout the neighborhood * Large Park nearby with Playground, Track, Softball and Basketball Areas * One Year Home Warranty Provided by Seller *
-
2012-03-13$89,000 743-char remark
Show marketing remark (743 chars)
BIG PRICE REDUCTION, GREAT VALUE! * All Brick Exterior for Low Maintenance and Beauty * 4 Bedrooms off Central Hallway * Kitchen has breakfast bar and opens to Dining Area, Spacious Pantry Closet, Newer Range (Dec 2010)* Has both a Family Room and Living Room * 5 Ceiling Fans * Roof Replaced Oct 2002 * Oversized 1 Car Garage with Garage Door Opener & 2 Remotes * Large Covered Patio (23'x12') to enjoy outdoor activities * Spacious Yard perfect for a garden, pool or playground area * Backyard is Completely Privacy Fenced * Quiet Interior Street in La Villa Roble neighborhood * Sidewalks throughout the neighborhood * Large Park nearby with Playground, Track, Softball and Basketball Areas * One Year Home Warranty Provided by Seller *
-
1903-01-01soldstatus $36,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,905
- − Mortgage interest
- −$280
- − Property taxes
- −$75
- − Insurance
- −$25
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,912
- − Management
- −$1,912
- − Depreciation
- −$145
- Taxable income
- $19,554
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,693
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,777/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Escambia
- NCES district ID
- 1200510
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,649
- Composite
- 36.04/100
- National rank
- #4773
- State rank
- #56 of 73 in FL
Livability — Bellview
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #561
- US rank
- #10731
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bellview, FL
- County
- Escambia County · 301,722 people
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,680
- Household income
- $75,098
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1166.0
Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 334,637 people
- By 2030
- 345,779 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 364,828 · +9.0%
- By 2050
- 378,514 · +13.1%
- By 2075
- 403,220 · +20.5%
- By 2100
- 386,125 · +15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Black 19% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Escambia
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -99.68%
- Current HPI
- 252.6406
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.42%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-86.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-25 Listed $5,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2012-07-19 Sold (MLS) $83,000 PARMLS
- 2012-03-13 Listed $89,000 PARMLS
- 1903-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $36,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $869 · +22.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…