444 Indian Summer Ln · Virginia Beach, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 94.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.8/30.0
- ARV discount +9.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Tenant occupied. Lease ends 31 October but, Tenant agrees to leave if sold Make an offer accounting for needed repairs i. e. flooring, painting etc. .. As-is Owner to make no repairs.
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1979
- Listed 80 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA (no association fees)
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking with driveway spaces for 2 vehicles
- Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric water heater
- Home design: Attached townhouse in a traditional style; 2 stories; Slab foundation; Simple ownership
- Construction: Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Back privacy wood fence
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: No bedroom with full bathroom on first floor; Total of 4 rooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump for heating and cooling
- Interior features: Carpet and vinyl flooring
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $305 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $164k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.5% in Virginia Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#38 in VA, #880 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, commute F.
- Va Beach City Public School District (urban): math 69% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #10 of 131 in VA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Diamond Springs Elementary (484 students, 100% FRL); Bayside High (math 63% / reading 75%, grade B, #170 of 319 statewide, top 55%, 1,983 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 83% FRL vs 28% district-wide (54 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 220 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 666 units permitted in Virginia Beach city in 2024 (347 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Virginia Beach County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $103k; list at $175k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 94% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.48%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $182,984
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 619 Aubrey Dr | 0.39mi | 2/1.5 | 1,044 (+2%) | 3mo | $166,000 | $159 | 77 |
| 404 Osprey St | 0.33mi | 2/1.5 | 1,072 (+4%) | 6mo | $225,000 | $210 | 72 |
| 5494 Davis Way | 0.40mi | 2/1.5 | 990 (-4%) | 5mo | $200,000 | $202 | 71 |
| 447 Peregrine St | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,100 (+7%) | 6mo | $230,000 | $209 | 68 |
| 551 Pier Ct #204 | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 | 957 (-7%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $172 | 62 |
| 513 Peak Ct | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 | 957 (-7%) | 2mo | $170,000 | $178 | 58 |
| 655 Crows Nest Ct | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 | 957 (-7%) | 9mo | $150,000 | $157 | 57 |
| 507 Wharf Ct | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 | 957 (-7%) | 5mo | $150,000 | $157 | 56 |
| 503 Summit Ct | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 957 (-7%) | 2mo | $159,705 | $167 | 54 |
| 610 Pylon Ct | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 | 957 (-7%) | 7mo | $170,000 | $178 | 54 |
| 501 Peak Ct | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 | 957 (-7%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $183 | 53 |
| 501 Summit Ct #101 | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 | 957 (-7%) | 8mo | $170,000 | $178 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-4,075
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.87×
- Total profit
- $42,439
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23462
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 220
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,805 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$130 /mo · $1,564/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$379
- Net cashflow
- $305
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 451 Adkins Arch Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $1,975 | $1.60 | 4d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 453 Peregrine St Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 994 | $1,500 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 449 Peregrine St Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,995 | $1.43 | 16d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 326 Harrier St Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1178 | $1,995 | $1.69 | 16d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 512 Featherstone Ct Unit 520102-F Virginia Beach, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $799 | $0.89 | 4d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 512 Featherstone Ct Unit 501-201D Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $1,549 | $1.73 | 24d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 512 Featherstone Ct Unit 573F Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1047 | $1,675 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 5212 Richard Rd Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1372 | $2,100 | $1.53 | 21d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 5206 Richard Rd Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1240 | $1,795 | $1.45 | 21d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 616 Aubrey Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1266 | $1,995 | $1.58 | 24d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 5161 Weaver Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 971 | $1,549 | $1.60 | 4d | 4 | 0.40mi |
| 5141 Gracewood Ln Unit 203 Virginia Beach, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 748 | $1,595 | $2.13 | 20d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 608 Spirit Ct Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 866 | $1,875 | $2.17 | 8d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 5516 Seawall Ct Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1125 | $1,536 | $1.36 | 2d | 18 | 0.51mi |
| 607 Crows Nest Ct Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,700 | $2.43 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 502 Wharf Ct Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 866 | $1,495 | $1.73 | 11d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5619 Summit Arch Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 957 | $1,650 | $1.72 | 4d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 5517 Lynbrook Lndg Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1360 | $2,335 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 337 Dorset Ave Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1180 | $1,700 | $1.44 | 8d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 700 Wolftrap Ln Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1360 | $1,795 | $1.32 | 12d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 700 Wolftrap Ln Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1360 | $1,795 | $1.32 | 16d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 700 Wolftrap Ln Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1360 | $1,795 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 5547 Lynbrook Lndg Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,350 | $1.65 | 17d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 5441 Greenwich Rd Virginia Beach, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1075 | $3,149 | $2.93 | 2d | 13 | 0.90mi |
| 5414 Catina Arch Virginia Beach, VA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 866 | $1,717 | $1.98 | 3d | 10 | 0.96mi |
| 849 Gas Light Ln Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,900 | $1.52 | 17d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 912 Southmoor Dr #204 Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1367 | $1,810 | $1.32 | 12d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 920 Southmoor Dr #305 Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1367 | $1,900 | $1.39 | 17d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 6647 Ethan Allen Ln Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1176 | $1,750 | $1.49 | 11d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 924 Southmoor Dr #204 Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1367 | $1,950 | $1.43 | 21d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 712 White Hall Ln Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $2,200 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 150 Loflin Way Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $1,775 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 5301 Justin Ct Virginia Beach, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 695 | $1,599 | $2.30 | 24d | 12 | 1.11mi |
| 5212 Nuthall Dr #103 Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1367 | $1,895 | $1.39 | 15d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 5312 Justin Ct Unit 800-21-102E Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,599 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4733 Adler Ave Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,995 | $1.73 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 813 S Grosvenor Ct Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1476 | $2,300 | $1.56 | 4d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 5317 Warminster Dr #303 Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,997 | $1.48 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 5831 E Hastings Arch Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,950 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 5300 Warminster Dr #205 Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1366 | $1,750 | $1.28 | 2d | 1 | 1.18mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-15pricedays on market $175,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $200,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $200,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 183-char remark
-
2026-06-08days on market $200,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $200,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $200,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $200,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $200,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $200,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-03-30$200,000 Active
-
2019-12-17historical
-
2019-12-16$110 Active
-
2005-09-26soldstatus $103,000
-
2003-08-19soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,564 · $130/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,564 · $130/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 94% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,664
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$1,564
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,733
- − Management
- −$1,733
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $866
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$208
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,456/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Va Beach City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103840
- Math proficiency
- 69% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 78% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,452
- Composite
- 63.81/100
- National rank
- #594
- State rank
- #10 of 131 in VA
Livability — Virginia Beach
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #38
- US rank
- #880
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Virginia Beach, VA
- County
- Virginia Beach City · 448,227 people
- City population
- 448,227
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 66,151
- Household income
- $69,040
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3906.0
Population outlook (Virginia Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 480,401 people
- By 2030
- 491,221 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 504,882 · +5.1%
- By 2050
- 508,847 · +5.9%
- By 2075
- 504,831 · +5.1%
- By 2100
- 465,867 · -3.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 45% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 10% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 6% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Virginia Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.4pp toward D · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+5.4 2016: R+4.5 2012: R+2.5 2008: R+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -269.19%
- Current HPI
- 333.1908
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.61%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+233.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Listed $200,000 REINMLS
- 2019-12-17 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2019-12-16 Listed $110 REINMLS
- 2005-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $103,000 Public Records
- 2003-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,564 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…