114 Bartlett St · Rochester, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +6.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don't miss out on this great 2 family investment property priced to sell! Each unit is very spacious with 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath. Great layout with spacious living areas in both units and solid mechanics. There are also some vinyl windows throughout! Sold as is.
Key facts
- Upper lower duplex
- Value add potential
- Newer furnace
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
- Cap rate 24.7% vs local median 9.3% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 51 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,962/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 1300% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($484 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.7% local appreciation)).
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (3.7% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 8 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $33k; list at $70k implies a 111% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1888 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1888 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.80% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 65.69%
- DSCR
- 3.92
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $123,074
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1038-1040 S Plymouth Ave | 0.44mi | 6/2.0 | 2,128 (+2%) | 7mo | $235,000 | $110 | 70 |
| 406 Champlain St | 0.29mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,162 (+4%) | 16mo | $103,000 | $48 | 62 |
| 288 Reynolds St | 0.12mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,975 (-5%) | 22mo | $72,000 | $36 | 62 |
| 153 Atkinson St | 0.50mi | 7/2.0 (+1) | 2,040 (-2%) | 13mo | $160,000 | $78 | 57 |
| 422 Magnolia St | 0.53mi | 6/2.0 | 2,148 (+3%) | 18mo | $70,000 | $33 | 55 |
| 101 Superior St | 0.61mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,032 (-3%) | 12mo | $85,000 | $42 | 52 |
| 359 Magnolia St | 0.48mi | 6/2.0 | 1,956 (-6%) | 18mo | $110,000 | $56 | 52 |
| 93 Jefferson Ave | 0.73mi | 7/2.0 (+1) | 2,199 (+5%) | 6mo | $150,000 | $68 | 47 |
| 121 Elba St | 0.56mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,378 (+14%) | 6mo | $140,000 | $59 | 41 |
| 18 - 20 Eagle St | 0.68mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,230 (+7%) | 17mo | $235,500 | $106 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.69% appreciation · 6.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 74.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.43×
- Total profit
- $86,775
- Equity at exit
- $34,234
- IRR
- 74.7%
- Equity multiple
- 12.37×
- Total profit
- $222,848
- Equity at exit
- $55,012
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14608
- Home prices YoY
- 1.3%
- Rents YoY
- 6.6%
- Active inventory
- 51
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,962 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$81 /mo · $969/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$412
- Net cashflow
- $1,073
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,113 | -5% $1,093 | +0% $1,073 | +5% $1,053 | +10% $1,033 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $918 | -5% $995 | +0% $1,073 | +5% $1,150 | +10% $1,228 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,108 | -0.5pp $1,091 | base $1,073 | +0.5pp $1,055 | +1.0pp $1,036 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 649 Jay St Rochester, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2144 | $2,000 | $0.93 | 3d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-03-18status Pending
-
2026-03-14historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-03-09$70,000 Active
-
2025-04-13historical $1,100
-
2025-03-29$1,100
-
2024-05-06historical $1,100
-
2024-04-13$1,100
-
2024-03-14historical $1,400
-
2024-01-20$1,400
-
2018-08-17soldstatus $33,100
-
2018-08-16soldstatus $33,000 Closed Sale or Rented 266-char remark
Show marketing remark (266 chars)
Don't miss out on this great 2 family investment property priced to sell! Each unit is very spacious with 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath. Great layout with spacious living areas in both units and solid mechanics. There are also some vinyl windows throughout! Sold as is.
-
2018-05-15status Under Contract- Do Not Show 266-char remark
Show marketing remark (266 chars)
Don't miss out on this great 2 family investment property priced to sell! Each unit is very spacious with 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath. Great layout with spacious living areas in both units and solid mechanics. There are also some vinyl windows throughout! Sold as is.
-
2018-05-04$39,900 Active 266-char remark
Show marketing remark (266 chars)
Don't miss out on this great 2 family investment property priced to sell! Each unit is very spacious with 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath. Great layout with spacious living areas in both units and solid mechanics. There are also some vinyl windows throughout! Sold as is.
-
2018-02-07historical
-
2018-01-10price $39,900
-
2017-11-27price $44,900
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2017-11-07$49,900 Active
-
2014-03-28soldstatus $30,000
-
2014-03-27soldstatus $30,000
-
2013-10-15$30,000
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2013-07-17$650
-
2007-10-26soldstatus $43,000
-
2006-01-31soldstatus $32,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $969 · $81/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,076 · $90/mo
- Expected delta
- +$107/yr (+$9/mo · 11.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,544
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$969
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,884
- − Management
- −$1,884
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $12,501
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,000
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,876/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rochester City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624750
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,923
- Composite
- 18.98/100
- National rank
- #8850
- State rank
- #589 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #222
- US rank
- #3482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rochester, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 432,803
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,792
- Household income
- $40,646
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1300.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 50% White 25% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 12% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, India
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.69%
- Current HPI
- 280.2411
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.61%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+118.8% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-18 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-03-14 Contingent — UNYREIS
- 2026-03-09 Listed $70,000 UNYREIS
- 2025-04-13 Rental Removed $1,100 RENTEC
- 2025-03-29 Listed for Rent $1,100 RENTEC
- 2024-05-06 Rental Removed $1,100 RENTEC
- 2024-04-13 Listed for Rent $1,100 RENTEC
- 2024-03-14 Rental Removed $1,400 APPFOLIO
- 2024-01-20 Listed for Rent $1,400 APPFOLIO
- 2018-08-17 Sold (Public Records) $33,100 Public Records
- 2018-08-16 Sold (MLS) $33,000 UNYREIS
- 2018-05-15 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2018-05-04 Listed $39,900 UNYREIS
- 2018-02-07 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2018-01-10 Price Changed $39,900 UNYREIS
- 2017-11-27 Price Changed $44,900 UNYREIS
- 2017-11-07 Listed $49,900 UNYREIS
- 2014-03-28 Sold (MLS) $30,000 UNYREIS
- 2014-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 2013-10-15 Listed $30,000 UNYREIS
- 2013-07-17 Listed $650 UNYREIS
- 2007-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records
- 2006-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $969 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…