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601 Orchard Rd
D+ Composite 45.45
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$13,900

601 Orchard Rd · Pulaski, VA 24301
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · SingleFamily · 214 Days on market
Built 1960 8,276 sqft lot ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

3 Bedroom Brick Home in a great Location. Located at the end of a Cul-de-sac. The Home is in need of serious repairs and might need to be tore down. The Walls has caved in and the roof has collapsed.

Key facts

  • 8,276 sq ft lot
  • Built 1960
  • Listed 214 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $14k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $913 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $14k).
  • Recommended offer: $12k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 85.1% vs local median 5.5% in Pulaski — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#297 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Pulaski County Public School District (rural): math 48% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #86 of 131 in VA (top 66%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Pulaski County Middle (math 38% / reading 60%, grade C-, #238 of 342 statewide, top 71%, 807 students, 77% FRL); Pulaski County Senior High (math 63% / reading 70%, grade B, #195 of 319 statewide, top 62%, 1,246 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 47% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 114 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 39 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $96 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $417 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pulaski County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 214 days — a 12% lower offer ($12k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $12,232 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 214 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
9.14%
Cap rate
85.15%
Cash-on-cash
281.62%
DSCR
13.53
GRM
0.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$157,000
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
701 Orchard Rd 0.13mi 3/1.0 1,000 (0%) 4mo $199,900 $200 91
903 Mashburn Ave 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,057 (+6%) 2mo $152,000 $144 74
105 Ferry Ct 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,020 (+2%) 6mo $219,000 $215 70
113 Ferry Ct 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,080 (+8%) 1mo $239,900 $222 65
722 Walnut Ave 0.36mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,042 (+4%) 10mo $110,000 $106 63
806 Monroe Ave 0.48mi 2/1.0 (-1) 968 (-3%) 6mo $132,600 $137 62
1116 Macgill St 0.72mi 3/1.0 996 (-0%) 6mo $132,600 $133 61
616 Newbern Rd 0.52mi 2/1.0 (-1) 946 (-5%) 6mo $152,253 $161 57
1217 Newbern Rd 0.59mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,060 (+6%) 2mo $166,000 $157 56
1950 Snider Ln 0.71mi 3/1.5 936 (-6%) 2mo $116,000 $124 52
550 Monroe Ave 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 924 (-8%) 6mo $132,600 $144 50
948 4th St NE 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,020 (+2%) 14mo $190,000 $186 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
15.37×
Total profit
$55,938
Equity at exit
$2,073
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
32.78×
Total profit
$123,682
Equity at exit
$1,202

Cash invested: $3,892 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24301

Active inventory
114
Price-to-rent
0.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,270 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$73
Tax from tax record
$11 /mo · $135/yr
Insurance
$6
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$267
Net cashflow
$913

Break-even live

Break-even rent $114
Max offer price $13,900
Occupancy floor 23%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$3,475
Closing costs
$417
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
500 Pico Ter Pulaski, VA 3.0 1.0–2.0 882 $1,580 $1.79 44d 11 0.56mi
1009 High St Unit A Pulaski, VA 2.0 1.0 800 $875 $1.09 44d 1 0.65mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-04-27
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-24
    price $13,900
  3. 2026-02-16
    price $15,000
  4. 2026-01-28
    status Active
  5. 2026-01-06
    price $16,500
  6. 2025-11-06
    price $18,500
  7. 2025-09-25
    listed $20,000 Active
  8. 2003-09-11
    soldstatus $15,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$135 · $11/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$135 · $11/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,241
− Mortgage interest
−$779
− Property taxes
−$135
− Insurance
−$70
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,219
− Management
−$1,219
− Depreciation
−$404
Taxable income
$11,415
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,740
After-tax cash flow
$8,221/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pulaski County Public School District
NCES district ID
5103150
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -31.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$44,912
Composite
45.98/100
National rank
#2537
State rank
#86 of 131 in VA

Livability — Pulaski

Score
67/100
State rank
#297
US rank
#10639

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pulaski, VA
Population (ZIP)
13,370

Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
32,949 people
By 2030
31,812 · -3.5%
By 2040
29,224 · -11.3%
By 2050
26,691 · -19.0%
By 2075
21,312 · -35.3%
By 2100
15,697 · -52.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Italian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Vietnam, Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.7) · D 27.3% · R 72.0%
2008→2024 swing
-25.1pp toward R · 2008: -19.5pp · 2024: -44.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.7 2020: R+41.5 2016: R+40.7 2012: R+24.8 2008: R+19.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.98%
Current HPI
144.6556
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Pending NRVMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $13,900 NRVMLS
  • 2026-02-16 Price Changed $15,000 NRVMLS
  • 2026-01-28 Relisted NRVMLS
  • 2026-01-06 Price Changed $16,500 NRVMLS
  • 2025-11-06 Price Changed $18,500 NRVMLS
  • 2025-09-25 Listed $20,000 NRVMLS
  • 2003-09-11 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $135 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…