601 Orchard Rd · Pulaski, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$13,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3 Bedroom Brick Home in a great Location. Located at the end of a Cul-de-sac. The Home is in need of serious repairs and might need to be tore down. The Walls has caved in and the roof has collapsed.
Key facts
- 8,276 sq ft lot
- Built 1960
- Listed 214 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $14k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $913 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $14k).
- Recommended offer: $12k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 85.1% vs local median 5.5% in Pulaski — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#297 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Pulaski County Public School District (rural): math 48% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #86 of 131 in VA (top 66%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Pulaski County Middle (math 38% / reading 60%, grade C-, #238 of 342 statewide, top 71%, 807 students, 77% FRL); Pulaski County Senior High (math 63% / reading 70%, grade B, #195 of 319 statewide, top 62%, 1,246 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 47% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 114 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 39 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $96 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $417 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pulaski County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 214 days — a 12% lower offer ($12k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 214 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 9.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 85.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 281.62%
- DSCR
- 13.53
- GRM
- 0.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $157,000
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 701 Orchard Rd | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (0%) | 4mo | $199,900 | $200 | 91 |
| 903 Mashburn Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,057 (+6%) | 2mo | $152,000 | $144 | 74 |
| 105 Ferry Ct | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,020 (+2%) | 6mo | $219,000 | $215 | 70 |
| 113 Ferry Ct | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (+8%) | 1mo | $239,900 | $222 | 65 |
| 722 Walnut Ave | 0.36mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,042 (+4%) | 10mo | $110,000 | $106 | 63 |
| 806 Monroe Ave | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 968 (-3%) | 6mo | $132,600 | $137 | 62 |
| 1116 Macgill St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 996 (-0%) | 6mo | $132,600 | $133 | 61 |
| 616 Newbern Rd | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 946 (-5%) | 6mo | $152,253 | $161 | 57 |
| 1217 Newbern Rd | 0.59mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,060 (+6%) | 2mo | $166,000 | $157 | 56 |
| 1950 Snider Ln | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 936 (-6%) | 2mo | $116,000 | $124 | 52 |
| 550 Monroe Ave | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 924 (-8%) | 6mo | $132,600 | $144 | 50 |
| 948 4th St NE | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,020 (+2%) | 14mo | $190,000 | $186 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 15.37×
- Total profit
- $55,938
- Equity at exit
- $2,073
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 32.78×
- Total profit
- $123,682
- Equity at exit
- $1,202
Cash invested: $3,892 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24301
- Active inventory
- 114
- Price-to-rent
- 0.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,270 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$73
- Tax from tax record
- −$11 /mo · $135/yr
- Insurance
- −$6
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$267
- Net cashflow
- $913
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $3,475
- Closing costs
- $417
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 500 Pico Ter Pulaski, VA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 882 | $1,580 | $1.79 | 44d | 11 | 0.56mi |
| 1009 High St Unit A Pulaski, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $875 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-24price $13,900
-
2026-02-16price $15,000
-
2026-01-28status Active
-
2026-01-06price $16,500
-
2025-11-06price $18,500
-
2025-09-25$20,000 Active
-
2003-09-11soldstatus $15,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $135 · $11/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $135 · $11/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,241
- − Mortgage interest
- −$779
- − Property taxes
- −$135
- − Insurance
- −$70
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,219
- − Management
- −$1,219
- − Depreciation
- −$404
- Taxable income
- $11,415
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,740
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,221/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pulaski County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103150
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -31.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,912
- Composite
- 45.98/100
- National rank
- #2537
- State rank
- #86 of 131 in VA
Livability — Pulaski
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #297
- US rank
- #10639
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pulaski, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,370
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 32,949 people
- By 2030
- 31,812 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 29,224 · -11.3%
- By 2050
- 26,691 · -19.0%
- By 2075
- 21,312 · -35.3%
- By 2100
- 15,697 · -52.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Italian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Vietnam, Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.7) · D 27.3% · R 72.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.1pp toward R · 2008: -19.5pp · 2024: -44.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.7 2020: R+41.5 2016: R+40.7 2012: R+24.8 2008: R+19.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.98%
- Current HPI
- 144.6556
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
-7.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — NRVMLS
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $13,900 NRVMLS
- 2026-02-16 Price Changed $15,000 NRVMLS
- 2026-01-28 Relisted — NRVMLS
- 2026-01-06 Price Changed $16,500 NRVMLS
- 2025-11-06 Price Changed $18,500 NRVMLS
- 2025-09-25 Listed $20,000 NRVMLS
- 2003-09-11 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.8%/yrLatest (2026): $135 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…