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Cottonwood 1 205 Plan 🏗️ New Construction
B Composite 71.83
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$84,900

Cottonwood 1 205 Plan · Rockford, MN 55373
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,267 sqft · Manufactured · 696 Days on market
Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Make your new home in Rockford Riverview Estates, a well-maintained, professionally managed manufactured home community! This is a 2019 3 bed/2 bath, 1267.20 sq. ft. home in a gorgeous neighborhood. Rockford Riverview Estates is the perfect place to enjoy the laid-back Rockford lifestyle! Let us show you around the place! Call and schedule a viewing today!

Key facts

  • Listed 695 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $638 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.3% vs local median 3.0% in Rockford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#487 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, employment A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Rockford Public School District (rural): math 42% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #88 of 301 in MN (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,260 units permitted in Wright County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wright County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 696 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $74,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 696 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.83%
Cap rate
15.31%
Cash-on-cash
32.19%
DSCR
2.43
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.2%
Equity multiple
2.13×
Total profit
$26,886
Equity at exit
$12,659
10-year hold
IRR
34.8%
Equity multiple
4.19×
Total profit
$75,812
Equity at exit
$7,341

Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55373

Home prices YoY
-25.3%
Active inventory
59
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,550 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$445
Tax est. 1.5%
$106 /mo · $1,274/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$326
Net cashflow
$638

Break-even live

Break-even rent $743
Max offer price $84,900
Occupancy floor 54%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $696 -5% $667 +0% $638 +5% $608 +10% $579
Rent -10% $515 -5% $577 +0% $638 +5% $699 +10% $760
Rate -1.0pp $681 -0.5pp $659 base $638 +0.5pp $616 +1.0pp $593

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,225
Closing costs
$2,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8627 Woodlawn Dr Rockford, MN 2.0 1.0 1300 $1,550 $1.19 21d 1 0.25mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $84,900 Active 696 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $84,900 Active 693 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $84,900 Active 692 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $84,900 Active 691 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $84,900 Active 690 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $84,900 Active 688 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $84,900 Active 684 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $84,900 Active 683 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $84,900 Active 682 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $84,900 Active 679 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $84,900 Active 678 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $84,900 Active 677 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $84,900 Active 676 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $84,900 Active 675 DOM
  15. 2024-08-21
    status Active 358-char remark
    Show marketing remark (358 chars)

    Make your new home in Rockford Riverview Estates, a well-maintained, professionally managed manufactured home community! This is a 2019 3 bed/2 bath, 1267.20 sq. ft. home in a gorgeous neighborhood. Rockford Riverview Estates is the perfect place to enjoy the laid-back Rockford lifestyle! Let us show you around the place! Call and schedule a viewing today!

  16. 2024-07-27
    historical 358-char remark
    Show marketing remark (358 chars)

    Make your new home in Rockford Riverview Estates, a well-maintained, professionally managed manufactured home community! This is a 2019 3 bed/2 bath, 1267.20 sq. ft. home in a gorgeous neighborhood. Rockford Riverview Estates is the perfect place to enjoy the laid-back Rockford lifestyle! Let us show you around the place! Call and schedule a viewing today!

  17. 2024-06-29
    listed $84,900 Active 358-char remark
    Show marketing remark (358 chars)

    Make your new home in Rockford Riverview Estates, a well-maintained, professionally managed manufactured home community! This is a 2019 3 bed/2 bath, 1267.20 sq. ft. home in a gorgeous neighborhood. Rockford Riverview Estates is the perfect place to enjoy the laid-back Rockford lifestyle! Let us show you around the place! Call and schedule a viewing today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,600
− Mortgage interest
−$4,756
− Property taxes
−$1,274
− Insurance
−$424
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,488
− Management
−$1,488
− Depreciation
−$2,470
Taxable income
$6,700
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,608
After-tax cash flow
$6,045/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home is in good condition with a modern kitchen and bathrooms. It is ready for a fresh coat of paint and updated flooring to further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a home more appealing
  • Rental Replace flooring in bathrooms — Updated flooring can attract renters
  • Both Install new window treatments — Enhances curb appeal and can be a selling point

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a home more appealing
  • Rental Replace flooring in bathrooms — Updated flooring can attract renters
  • Both Install new window treatments — Enhances curb appeal and can be a selling point

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rockford Public School District
NCES district ID
2732070
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$77,286
Composite
45.33/100
National rank
#2641
State rank
#88 of 301 in MN

Livability — Rockford

Score
66/100
State rank
#487
US rank
#11694

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rockford, MN
City population
5,725
Population (ZIP)
5,725

Population outlook (Wright County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
142,526 people
By 2030
146,915 · +3.1%
By 2040
153,625 · +7.8%
By 2050
155,416 · +9.0%
By 2075
150,352 · +5.5%
By 2100
130,631 · -8.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 4% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 16% Romanian 4% Scottish 2%
Foreign-born
4% · South Korea, Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wright

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.4) · D 34.4% · R 63.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-11.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.4pp · 2024: -29.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.4 2020: R+28.6 2016: R+33.2 2012: R+21.4 2008: R+17.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -73.98%
Current HPI
218.0934
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2024-08-21 Relisted Zillow
  • 2024-07-27 Delisted Zillow
  • 2024-06-29 Listed $84,900 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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