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44 SUNSET Dr Unit 44A
C+ Composite 64.33
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.4/30.0
  • DSCR +9.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$269,900

44 SUNSET Dr Unit 44A · Vacaville, CA 95687
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,640 sqft · Manufactured · 75 Days on market
Built 1977 Good condition $165/sqft · 61% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful Recently Renovated Manufactured Home in Vacaville! Welcome to this beautifully 1,640 sq ft (extra living on the side, buyer to verify sq. ft) renovated 3-bedroom plus extra room for office space, 2-bath manufactured home located in the desirable city of Vacaville! Conveniently situated near shopping centers, restaurants, and easy freeway access, this home offers both comfort and convenience. ? Property Features: 3 Beth and bonus room (office Space) spacious bedrooms 2 full bathrooms Recently renovated interior Bright and inviting living spaces Functional kitchen area Large backyard – perfect for family gatherings, pets, or outdoor enjoyment Front parking area with space for cars Great location close to everyday essentials This is a must-see property with plenty of space and great potential for comfortable living. Excellent Vacaville location ?? Contact me today for more information or to schedule a showing!

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Community pool
  • Built 1977

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $270k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $577 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $270k).
  • Recommended offer: $254k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.0% in Vacaville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#88 in CA, #3,156 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, cost of living F.
  • Vacaville Unified (suburban): math 37% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #522 of 1,400 in CA (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 263 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,472 units permitted in Solano County in 2024 (131 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($110k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Solano County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($254k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $253,706 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
9.42%
Cash-on-cash
11.15%
DSCR
1.50
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$167,486
List price
$269,900
Delta
61.15%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
68 Sunset Cir 0.21mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,450 (-12%) 18mo $190,000 $131 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.0%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-16,366
Equity at exit
$40,243
10-year hold
IRR
-0.7%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-3,206
Equity at exit
$23,336

Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95687

Rents YoY
-0.6%
Active inventory
263
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,250 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,415
Tax est. 1.5%
$337 /mo · $4,048/yr
Insurance
$112
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$683
Net cashflow
$577

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,520
Max offer price $269,900
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,475
Closing costs
$8,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1200 Allison Dr Vacaville, CA 3.0 1.0–2.0 964 $3,250 $3.37 13d 15 0.33mi
148 Peabody Rd Vacaville, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1046 $3,600 $3.44 2d 15 0.52mi
212 Stonyford Dr Vacaville, CA 3.0 2.0 1296 $3,000 $2.31 43d 1 0.54mi
385 Portsmouth Ave Vacaville, CA 4.0 2.0 1800 $3,200 $1.78 43d 1 0.81mi
385 Portsmouth Ave Vacaville, CA 4.0 2.0 1800 $3,200 $1.78 23d 1 0.81mi
520 McKnight Ln Vacaville, CA 3.0 2.0 1129 $2,895 $2.56 43d 1 0.91mi
381 Spindrift Way Vacaville, CA 4.0 2.0 1602 $3,199 $2.00 43d 1 1.03mi
945 Davis St Vacaville, CA 3.0 2.0 1248 $2,800 $2.24 13d 1 1.14mi
102 Laurel St Vacaville, CA 4.0 2.0 1359 $2,800 $2.06 43d 1 1.15mi
143 Sundance Dr Vacaville, CA 3.0 3.0 1900 $3,095 $1.63 43d 1 1.32mi
237 Peach Tree Ave Vacaville, CA 3.0 2.0 1396 $2,800 $2.01 13d 1 1.33mi
597 Canvasback Ct Vacaville, CA 4.0 2.5 1992 $3,399 $1.71 43d 1 1.35mi
1187 Notre Dame Cir Vacaville, CA 3.0 2.5 1807 $3,100 $1.72 43d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $269,900 Active 75 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $269,900 Active 74 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $269,900 Active 73 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $269,900 Active 72 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $269,900 Active 70 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $269,900 Active 69 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $269,900 Active 67 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $269,900 Active 66 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $269,900 Active 65 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $269,900 Active 64 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $269,900 Active 61 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $269,900 Active 60 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $269,900 Active 59 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $269,900 Active 58 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $269,900 Active 57 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $269,900 Active 56 DOM
  17. 2026-04-04
    listed $269,900 Active 946-char remark
    Show marketing remark (946 chars)

    Beautiful Recently Renovated Manufactured Home in Vacaville! Welcome to this beautifully 1,640 sq ft (extra living on the side, buyer to verify sq. ft) renovated 3-bedroom plus extra room for office space, 2-bath manufactured home located in the desirable city of Vacaville! Conveniently situated near shopping centers, restaurants, and easy freeway access, this home offers both comfort and convenience. ? Property Features: 3 Beth and bonus room (office Space) spacious bedrooms 2 full bathrooms Recently renovated interior Bright and inviting living spaces Functional kitchen area Large backyard – perfect for family gatherings, pets, or outdoor enjoyment Front parking area with space for cars Great location close to everyday essentials This is a must-see property with plenty of space and great potential for comfortable living. Excellent Vacaville location ?? Contact me today for more information or to schedule a showing!

  18. 2026-04-03
    historical $269,900 946-char remark
    Show marketing remark (946 chars)

    Beautiful Recently Renovated Manufactured Home in Vacaville! Welcome to this beautifully 1,640 sq ft (extra living on the side, buyer to verify sq. ft) renovated 3-bedroom plus extra room for office space, 2-bath manufactured home located in the desirable city of Vacaville! Conveniently situated near shopping centers, restaurants, and easy freeway access, this home offers both comfort and convenience. ? Property Features: 3 Beth and bonus room (office Space) spacious bedrooms 2 full bathrooms Recently renovated interior Bright and inviting living spaces Functional kitchen area Large backyard – perfect for family gatherings, pets, or outdoor enjoyment Front parking area with space for cars Great location close to everyday essentials This is a must-see property with plenty of space and great potential for comfortable living. Excellent Vacaville location ?? Contact me today for more information or to schedule a showing!

  19. 2026-04-03
    listed $269,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (946 chars)

    Beautiful Recently Renovated Manufactured Home in Vacaville! Welcome to this beautifully 1,640 sq ft (extra living on the side, buyer to verify sq. ft) renovated 3-bedroom plus extra room for office space, 2-bath manufactured home located in the desirable city of Vacaville! Conveniently situated near shopping centers, restaurants, and easy freeway access, this home offers both comfort and convenience. ? Property Features: 3 Beth and bonus room (office Space) spacious bedrooms 2 full bathrooms Recently renovated interior Bright and inviting living spaces Functional kitchen area Large backyard – perfect for family gatherings, pets, or outdoor enjoyment Front parking area with space for cars Great location close to everyday essentials This is a must-see property with plenty of space and great potential for comfortable living. Excellent Vacaville location ?? Contact me today for more information or to schedule a showing!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone A · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 24 unhealthy d/yr today · 24 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$39,003
− Mortgage interest
−$15,119
− Property taxes
−$4,048
− Insurance
−$2,852
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,120
− Management
−$3,120
− Depreciation
−$7,852
Taxable income
$2,892
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$694
After-tax cash flow
$6,233/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This recently renovated manufactured home in Vacaville is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for further value increases through cosmetic updates.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both New kitchen backsplash — Enhances kitchen aesthetics and can increase both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both New kitchen backsplash — Enhances kitchen aesthetics and can increase both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Vacaville Unified
NCES district ID
0640590
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$71,383
Composite
42.48/100
National rank
#6877
State rank
#522 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Vacaville

Score
77/100
State rank
#88
US rank
#3156

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute B- Cost of living F Crime C Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Vacaville, CA
County
Solano County · 433,239 people
City population
109,591
Metro
Vallejo, CA
Population (ZIP)
69,390
Household income
$109,566
Rent vs Own
33.1% rent · 66.9% own
Severe rent burden
1761.0

Population outlook (Solano County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
478,685 people
By 2030
497,974 · +4.0%
By 2040
528,515 · +10.4%
By 2050
549,115 · +14.7%
By 2075
587,229 · +22.7%
By 2100
571,378 · +19.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 13% Black 10% Asian 10% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 13% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 12% Tagalog/Filipino 3% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Solano

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.0) · D 60.0% · R 37.1% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
-5.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 23.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.0 2020: D+30.3 2016: D+30.5 2012: D+28.1 2008: D+28.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -299.59%
Current HPI
268.0777
Rent YoY
▼ -0.55%
Metro
Vallejo, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-04 Listed $269,900 CRMLS
  • 2026-04-03 Coming Soon $269,900 CRMLS
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $269,900 BAREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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