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1538 Logan St Duplex
B- Composite 66.22
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.6/30.0
  • DSCR +9.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,999

1538 Logan St · Jacksonville, FL 32209
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 56 Days on market
Built 1958 3,920 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

Don't miss out on this turn key investment property. Both side are newly renovated . Each side is rented for $800 per month. Property has new roof, new plumbing, new fence, new gutters new windows ,etc.

Key facts

  • 3,920 sq ft lot
  • 4 parking spots
  • Built 1958

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Owner pays taxes

Exterior

  • Parking: 4 parking spaces total; Additional parking available; Guest parking; On-street parking
  • Security: Other security features
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Separate water meters
  • Home design: Duplex (multi-family); One level; Entry at level 1; North-facing
  • Construction: 2 buildings; 1 story total
  • Exterior features: Many trees on the lot; City street frontage; Paved road access; Security features (other); Shingle/other roof

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Tile flooring; Unfurnished units

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $449 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $224/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $145k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 394 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,935/mo this rent would consume 76% of the median local household income ($31k/yr) (locally 2921% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $145,499 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
9.88%
Cash-on-cash
12.82%
DSCR
1.57
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$44,352
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1507 Union St W 0.07mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,100 (+4%) 19mo $46,500 $42 69

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.3%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$2,038
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
9.7%
Equity multiple
1.71×
Total profit
$29,626
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32209

Home prices YoY
-22.1%
Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
394
Price-to-rent
12.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,935 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$231 /mo · $2,770/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$406
Net cashflow
$449

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,367
Max offer price $149,999
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $534 -5% $491 +0% $449 +5% $406 +10% $364
Rent -10% $296 -5% $372 +0% $449 +5% $525 +10% $602
Rate -1.0pp $524 -0.5pp $487 base $449 +0.5pp $410 +1.0pp $370

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $1,935

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1607 Logan St Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1232 $1,800 $1.46 24d 1 0.05mi
1539 Union St W Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,144 $1.14 14d 1 0.06mi
1545 Union St W Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1253 $1,400 $1.12 3d 1 0.06mi
1470 Windle St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1170 $1,425 $1.22 15d 1 0.12mi
1448 Union St W Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 958 $1,200 $1.25 24d 1 0.13mi
1358 Prince St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1044 $1,350 $1.29 24d 1 0.37mi
1358 Prince St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 3.5 1044 $1,350 $1.29 22d 1 0.37mi
1640 W 4th St Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1119 $1,675 $1.50 20d 1 0.37mi
1783 W 3rd St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 816 $650 $0.80 24d 1 0.40mi
1478 W 5th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 960 $1,225 $1.28 24d 1 0.46mi
1478 W 5th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 960 $1,225 $1.28 5d 1 0.46mi
1788 W 5th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 948 $1,295 $1.37 24d 1 0.48mi
1355 Grothe St Jacksonville, FL 4.0 1.0 1312 $1,350 $1.03 18d 1 0.51mi
1319 Woods St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1103 $1,221 $1.11 24d 1 0.52mi
1911 W 3rd St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 912 $1,050 $1.15 5d 1 0.60mi
1537 7th St W Unit B Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,050 $1.11 24d 1 0.61mi
1923 Broadway Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1230 $1,421 $1.16 24d 1 0.61mi
1537 W 7th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,050 $1.11 8d 1 0.61mi
1866 W 6th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,120 $1.05 4d 1 0.64mi
1979 Yulee St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,500 $1.43 24d 1 0.69mi
2012 Baldwin St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1232 $1,445 $1.17 24d 1 0.72mi
1934 W 6th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 948 $1,125 $1.19 24d 1 0.72mi
1740 W 9th St Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1148 $1,285 $1.12 21d 1 0.80mi
1454 Francis St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1084 $1,243 $1.15 24d 1 0.81mi
1995 W 4th St Jacksonville, FL 4.0 1.5 1213 $1,375 $1.13 24d 1 0.81mi
181 Barstow Pl Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1363 $2,500 $1.83 24d 1 0.83mi
1934 Ella St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1045 $1,095 $1.05 21d 1 0.86mi
2011 W 5th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 988 $1,150 $1.16 24d 1 0.87mi
226 Spruce St Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1196 $1,148 $0.96 3d 1 0.88mi
1733 McMillan St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1211 $1,265 $1.04 5d 1 0.88mi
1721 Campus St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 909 $1,400 $1.54 24d 1 0.90mi
2154 Placeda St Jacksonville, FL 4.0 1.5 1124 $1,500 $1.33 22d 1 1.00mi
2185 Kingston St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1230 $1,381 $1.12 24d 1 1.02mi
2306 Fairfax St Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 900 $700 $0.78 24d 1 1.03mi
2312 Fairfax St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 726 $650 $0.90 18d 1 1.04mi
2210 Pullman Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 940 $1,050 $1.12 3d 1 1.07mi
2116 McMillan St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.5 1120 $1,425 $1.27 22d 1 1.08mi
1525 W 15th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,245 $1.13 24d 1 1.10mi
371 Smith St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,325 $1.26 5d 1 1.16mi
2134 Danson St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.5 1080 $995 $0.92 4d 1 1.18mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,999 Active 56 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,999 Active 55 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,999 Active 54 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    price $149,999 Active 53 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $154,500 Active 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $154,500 Active 50 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $154,500 Active 47 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $154,500 Active 46 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $154,500 Active 45 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $159,500 Active 42 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $159,500 Active 41 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,500 Active 40 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,500 Active 39 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,500 Active 38 DOM
  15. 2026-05-20
    price $159,500
  16. 2026-05-11
    price $164,500
  17. 2026-04-30
    price $169,500
  18. 2026-04-23
    listed $170,000 Active
  19. 2025-02-22
    historical $750
  20. 2024-06-18
    listed $775
  21. 2022-01-25
    soldstatus $155,000
  22. 2022-01-14
    soldstatus $155,000 Sold 202-char remark
    Show marketing remark (202 chars)

    Don't miss out on this turn key investment property. Both side are newly renovated . Each side is rented for $800 per month. Property has new roof, new plumbing, new fence, new gutters new windows ,etc.

  23. 2022-01-05
    status Pending 202-char remark
    Show marketing remark (202 chars)

    Don't miss out on this turn key investment property. Both side are newly renovated . Each side is rented for $800 per month. Property has new roof, new plumbing, new fence, new gutters new windows ,etc.

  24. 2021-12-09
    price $150,000 202-char remark
    Show marketing remark (202 chars)

    Don't miss out on this turn key investment property. Both side are newly renovated . Each side is rented for $800 per month. Property has new roof, new plumbing, new fence, new gutters new windows ,etc.

  25. 2021-12-09
    status Active 202-char remark
    Show marketing remark (202 chars)

    Don't miss out on this turn key investment property. Both side are newly renovated . Each side is rented for $800 per month. Property has new roof, new plumbing, new fence, new gutters new windows ,etc.

  26. 2021-08-17
    historical 202-char remark
    Show marketing remark (202 chars)

    Don't miss out on this turn key investment property. Both side are newly renovated . Each side is rented for $800 per month. Property has new roof, new plumbing, new fence, new gutters new windows ,etc.

  27. 2021-08-05
    listed $170,000 Active 202-char remark
    Show marketing remark (202 chars)

    Don't miss out on this turn key investment property. Both side are newly renovated . Each side is rented for $800 per month. Property has new roof, new plumbing, new fence, new gutters new windows ,etc.

  28. 2020-01-02
    soldstatus $1,850,000
  29. 2017-12-08
    soldstatus $1,683,000
  30. 1998-02-23
    soldstatus $464,700
  31. 1994-03-10
    soldstatus $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,770 · $231/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,770 · $231/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,220
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,770
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,858
− Management
−$1,858
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$3,219
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$773
After-tax cash flow
$4,612/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duval
NCES district ID
1200480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,987
Composite
38.97/100
National rank
#4076
State rank
#48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, FL
County
Duval County · 1,015,274 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
34,657
Household income
$30,514
Rent vs Own
53.0% rent · 47.0% own
Severe rent burden
2921.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,013,010 people
By 2030
1,059,228 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,141,439 · +12.7%
By 2050
1,205,258 · +19.0%
By 2075
1,324,282 · +30.7%
By 2100
1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -53.92%
Current HPI
189.5977
Rent YoY
▲ 1.81%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+254.4% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $159,500 realMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $164,500 realMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $169,500 realMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $170,000 realMLS
  • 2025-02-22 Rental Removed $750 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-06-18 Listed for Rent $775 APPFOLIO
  • 2022-01-25 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
  • 2022-01-14 Sold (MLS) $155,000 realMLS
  • 2022-01-05 Pending realMLS
  • 2021-12-09 Price Changed $150,000 realMLS
  • 2021-12-09 Relisted realMLS
  • 2021-08-17 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2021-08-05 Listed $170,000 realMLS
  • 2020-01-02 Sold (Public Records) $1,850,000 Public Records
  • 2017-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $1,683,000 Public Records
  • 1998-02-23 Sold (Public Records) $464,700 Public Records
  • 1994-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+15.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,770 · +20.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…