2710 Hawk St · Federal Heights, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.9/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.2/15.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity is knocking! This spacious home features an AC unit that’s only 3 years old and a 2-year-old water heater. It offers two storage sheds (12x12 and 6x4), perfect for extra storage or tools. Permitted Carpot. The seller is also offering $1,000 in concessions toward interior paint and the replacement of two windows, giving you the opportunity to add your own personal touch. Great potential with a little TLC! Contact me for more details or to schedule a showing. Showings start on 1/2/2026
Key facts
- Two permitted sheds
- Two car carport
- 48.58 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Land lease in effect (monthly $931) through December 31, 2026
- HOA & community: Association: Denver Cascade (professionally managed); Association fee $1,295 monthly ($15,540 annually)
Exterior
- Parking: 2 off-street parking spaces (2 total parking spaces)
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured in park (mobile home); Individual ownership; Single-story (all main-level rooms)
- Construction: Metal siding; Metal roof; Built area approximately 1,464 (public records)
- Exterior features: Public water
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms, all on the main level
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms, both on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Dryer; Range; Washer
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $41 ($495/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.2% in Federal Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#28 in CO, #3,380 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, crime F.
- Adams 12 Five Star Schools (suburban): math 31% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #26 of 86 in CO (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Federal Heights Elementary School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #958 of 966 statewide, top 100%, 414 students, 87% FRL); Northglenn Middle School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #246 of 270 statewide, top 91%, 684 students, 85% FRL); Northglenn High School (math 16% / reading 38%, grade F, #257 of 381 statewide, top 68%, 1,959 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 33% district-wide (47 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 14% at this address vs 38% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Adams 12 Five Star Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 136 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,299 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (343 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,435/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 1521% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Adams County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 53% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.86% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.08%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 2.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $86,376
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2685 Hawk St | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,488 (+2%) | 2mo | $49,900 | $34 | 84 |
| 9755 Elderberry St | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-8%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $63 | 78 |
| 2920 Dove St | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,512 (+3%) | 7mo | $70,000 | $46 | 71 |
| 1801 W 92nd Ave | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,512 (+3%) | 7mo | $80,000 | $53 | 58 |
| 2551 W 92nd Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,560 (+7%) | 7mo | $130,500 | $84 | 56 |
| 1801 W 92nd Ave | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,568 (+7%) | 7mo | $85,000 | $54 | 52 |
| 1801 W 92nd Ave | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,568 (+7%) | 8mo | $93,000 | $59 | 51 |
| 1801 W 92nd Ave | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-8%) | 8mo | $93,000 | $69 | 50 |
| 1801 W 92nd Ave #652 | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-8%) | 9mo | $16,000 | $12 | 48 |
| 1801 W 92nd Ave #61 | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-8%) | 12mo | $56,500 | $42 | 46 |
| 2901 Cascade Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (-15%) | 16mo | $125,000 | $100 | 45 |
| 1801 W 92nd Ave | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (-15%) | 6mo | $76,000 | $61 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.77% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-15,660
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- -51.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.17×
- Total profit
- $-27,846
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80260
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 136
- Price-to-rent
- 2.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,435 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$1,295
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$511
- Net cashflow
- $41
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $100 | -5% $71 | +0% $41 | +5% $12 | +10% $-18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-151 | -5% $-55 | +0% $41 | +5% $137 | +10% $234 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $84 | -0.5pp $63 | base $41 | +0.5pp $19 | +1.0pp $-3 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1801 W 92nd Ave #754 Denver, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1123 | $1,995 | $1.78 | 6d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 10154 Wyandott Cir N Thornton, CO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1464 | $2,465 | $1.68 | 17d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 9400 Elm Ct #645 Denver, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1184 | $2,203 | $1.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1921 W 101st Ave Unit 1921 Thornton, CO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1335 | $2,800 | $2.10 | 15d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3390 W 96th Ave Westminster, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1665 | $2,895 | $1.74 | 6d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3323 W 96th Cir Westminster, CO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1190 | $3,339 | $2.81 | 2d | 21 | 0.74mi |
| 9783 Croke Dr Denver, CO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1240 | $1,999 | $1.61 | 6d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 9710 Huron St Unit B Northglenn, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1292 | $2,080 | $1.61 | 18d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 9189 Gale Blvd Thornton, CO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 755 | $1,699 | $2.25 | 25d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3601 W 90th Ave Unit 1 Westminster, CO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1770 | $2,850 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3601 W 90th Ave Westminster, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1770 | $2,850 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 536 Niver Ave Northglenn, CO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1752 | $2,979 | $1.70 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 9132 Osceola St Westminster, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $2,350 | $1.95 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 9130 Osceola St Westminster, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $2,350 | $1.95 | 12d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 8670 Clay St Unit 6301 Westminster, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1110 | $2,325 | $2.09 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 8670 Clay St Unit 5201 Westminster, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1110 | $2,550 | $2.30 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 8670 Clay St Unit 4211 Westminster, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1110 | $2,186 | $1.97 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 8670 Clay St Unit 7219 Westminster, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1110 | $2,373 | $2.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 8972 Fox Dr Unit 102 Thornton, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1472 | $2,295 | $1.56 | 6d | 1 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $1,295 · $15,540/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $85,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $85,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-04-12status Active
-
2026-03-29status Pending Accepting Backup Offers
-
2026-02-27price $85,000
-
2025-12-30$90,000 Active
-
2025-11-11historical
-
2025-05-19$100,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,220
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,275
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,338
- − Management
- −$2,338
- − HOA
- −$15,540
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $71
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$17
- After-tax cash flow
- $478/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Adams 12 Five Star Schools
- NCES district ID
- 0806900
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,478
- Composite
- 34.87/100
- National rank
- #5086
- State rank
- #26 of 86 in CO
Livability — Federal Heights
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #28
- US rank
- #3380
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Federal Heights, CO
- County
- Adams County · 464,133 people
- City population
- 34,677
- Metro
- Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,677
- Household income
- $61,852
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1521.0
Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 598,184 people
- By 2030
- 651,880 · +9.0%
- By 2040
- 759,778 · +27.0%
- By 2050
- 862,889 · +44.3%
- By 2075
- 1,085,994 · +81.5%
- By 2100
- 1,211,318 · +102.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (61%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 61% White 30% Two or more races 26% Asian 3% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 51%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 53% English-only · Spanish 42% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Adams
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.0) · D 53.2% · R 44.1% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.3pp toward R · 2008: 18.4pp · 2024: 9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.0 2020: D+16.3 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+15.1 2008: D+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -260.84%
- Current HPI
- 285.4552
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.77%
- Metro
- Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
-15.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-12 Relisted — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-29 Pending — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $85,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-30 Listed $90,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-11 Listing Removed — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-19 Listed $100,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…