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9334 Richland Dr
B- Composite 67.9
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.9/15.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$140,000

9334 Richland Dr · Houston, TX 77078
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,015 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 71 Days on market
Built 1965 8,960 sqft lot $138/sqft · 17% below area Est $168k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

INVESTORS, INVESTORS. NO HOA. PRICED TO SELL. BEING SOLD AS IS. BRING YOUR OFFERS, WILL NOT LAST LONG. Please verify room dimensions. A Diamond in the rough.

Key facts

  • 8,960 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1965

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $224 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 129 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,580/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($39k/yr) (locally 780% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($968 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.5% local appreciation)).
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (2.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $131,600 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
8.21%
Cash-on-cash
6.84%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$167,706
List price
$140,000
Delta
-16.52%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9327 Richland Dr 0.04mi 3/1.5 1,018 (+0%) 13mo $140,000 $138 87
9319 Richland Dr 0.05mi 3/1.5 1,036 (+2%) 12mo $145,000 $140 84
9334 Laura Koppe Rd 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,080 (+6%) 3mo $189,900 $176 76
9203 Richland Dr 0.32mi 3/1.5 1,060 (+4%) 12mo $143,000 $135 68
9306 Woodlyn Rd 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,139 (+12%) 12mo $143,800 $126 56
9037 Linda Vista Rd 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,092 (+8%) 6mo $189,000 $173 56
9514 Crestview Dr 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,079 (+6%) 16mo $159,000 $147 54
9214 Mirawood St 0.61mi 3/1.0 968 (-5%) 15mo $133,000 $137 49
9102 Lake Forest Blvd 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,020 (+0%) 20mo $165,000 $162 47
9125 Linda Vista Rd 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,107 (+9%) 24mo $184,999 $167 42
8921 Oak Knoll Ln 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,100 (+8%) 21mo $155,000 $141 35
8837 Richland Dr 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,132 (+12%) 14mo $140,000 $124 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.5% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.6%
Equity multiple
1.70×
Total profit
$27,471
Equity at exit
$59,023
10-year hold
IRR
15.0%
Equity multiple
3.11×
Total profit
$82,629
Equity at exit
$88,019

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77078

Home prices YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
129
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,580 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$232 /mo · $2,786/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$332
Net cashflow
$224

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,297
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9133 Woodlyn Rd Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 1073 $1,495 $1.39 3d 1 0.53mi
9943 Valley Wind Dr Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1319 $1,595 $1.21 2d 1 0.89mi
9399 Tidwell Rd Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 862 $982 $1.14 20d 1 0.96mi
9399 Tidwell Rd Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 862 $982 $1.14 43d 1 0.96mi
9399 Tidwell Rd Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1031 $1,107 $1.07 24d 1 0.96mi
8523 Brock Park Blvd Unit 1 Houston, TX 3.0 1.5 1130 $1,375 $1.22 5d 1 0.96mi
9393 Tidwell Rd Houston, TX 3.0–4.0 2.0 1135 $1,244 $1.10 1d 10 1.06mi
8631 Homewood Ln Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 1500 $1,850 $1.23 43d 1 1.07mi
8631 Homewood Ln Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,850 $1.23 43d 1 1.07mi
9110 Tidwell Rd Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 987 $1,185 $1.20 43d 1 1.07mi
9110 Tidwell Rd Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 987 $1,200 $1.22 24d 1 1.07mi
8602 Wilkins Oaks Dr Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1307 $1,775 $1.36 43d 1 1.08mi
8627 Homewood Ln Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,850 $1.23 43d 1 1.08mi
8625 Homewood Ln Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 1500 $1,850 $1.23 43d 1 1.09mi
8623 Homewood Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1150 $1,850 $1.61 43d 1 1.09mi
8623 Homewood Ln Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1150 $1,850 $1.61 18d 1 1.09mi
8711 Southwark St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,750 $1.52 43d 1 1.17mi
9930 Valley Lake Dr Houston, TX 4.0 2.0 1385 $1,795 $1.30 43d 1 1.30mi
7600 E Houston Rd Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1017 $1,436 $1.41 13d 8 1.31mi
9222 Hillis St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1498 $1,850 $1.23 43d 1 1.39mi
9700 Mesa Dr Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 784 $989 $1.26 2d 8 1.45mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $140,000 Active 71 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $140,000 Active 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $140,000 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $140,000 Active 68 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $140,000 Active 66 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $140,000 Active 62 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $140,000 Active 61 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $140,000 Active 60 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $140,000 Active 57 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $140,000 Active 54 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $140,000 Active 53 DOM
  12. 2026-04-08
    listed $140,000 Active 157-char remark
    Show marketing remark (157 chars)

    INVESTORS, INVESTORS. NO HOA. PRICED TO SELL. BEING SOLD AS IS. BRING YOUR OFFERS, WILL NOT LAST LONG. Please verify room dimensions. A Diamond in the rough.

  13. 2026-04-07
    historical
  14. 2025-10-28
    listed $140,000 Active
  15. 1991-05-09
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,786 · $232/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,786 · $232/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,960
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$2,786
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,517
− Management
−$1,517
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable income
$526
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$126
After-tax cash flow
$2,556/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
14,247
Household income
$39,093
Rent vs Own
43.8% rent · 56.2% own
Severe rent burden
780.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Race & ethnicity
Black 49% Hispanic / Latino 46% Two or more races 15% White 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 36% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
24% · Canada
Languages at home
59% English-only · Spanish 41%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.50%
Current HPI
307.0842
Rent YoY
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $140,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-10-28 Listed $140,000 HARMLS
  • 1991-05-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,786 · -4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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