9334 Richland Dr · Houston, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.9/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTORS, INVESTORS. NO HOA. PRICED TO SELL. BEING SOLD AS IS. BRING YOUR OFFERS, WILL NOT LAST LONG. Please verify room dimensions. A Diamond in the rough.
Key facts
- 8,960 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1965
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $224 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 129 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,580/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($39k/yr) (locally 780% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($968 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.5% local appreciation)).
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (2.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.84%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $167,706
- List price
- $140,000
- Delta
- -16.52%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9327 Richland Dr | 0.04mi | 3/1.5 | 1,018 (+0%) | 13mo | $140,000 | $138 | 87 |
| 9319 Richland Dr | 0.05mi | 3/1.5 | 1,036 (+2%) | 12mo | $145,000 | $140 | 84 |
| 9334 Laura Koppe Rd | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (+6%) | 3mo | $189,900 | $176 | 76 |
| 9203 Richland Dr | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 | 1,060 (+4%) | 12mo | $143,000 | $135 | 68 |
| 9306 Woodlyn Rd | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,139 (+12%) | 12mo | $143,800 | $126 | 56 |
| 9037 Linda Vista Rd | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,092 (+8%) | 6mo | $189,000 | $173 | 56 |
| 9514 Crestview Dr | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,079 (+6%) | 16mo | $159,000 | $147 | 54 |
| 9214 Mirawood St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 968 (-5%) | 15mo | $133,000 | $137 | 49 |
| 9102 Lake Forest Blvd | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,020 (+0%) | 20mo | $165,000 | $162 | 47 |
| 9125 Linda Vista Rd | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,107 (+9%) | 24mo | $184,999 | $167 | 42 |
| 8921 Oak Knoll Ln | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (+8%) | 21mo | $155,000 | $141 | 35 |
| 8837 Richland Dr | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,132 (+12%) | 14mo | $140,000 | $124 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.5% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.70×
- Total profit
- $27,471
- Equity at exit
- $59,023
- IRR
- 15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.11×
- Total profit
- $82,629
- Equity at exit
- $88,019
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77078
- Home prices YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 129
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,580 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$232 /mo · $2,786/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$332
- Net cashflow
- $224
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9133 Woodlyn Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1073 | $1,495 | $1.39 | 3d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 9943 Valley Wind Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1319 | $1,595 | $1.21 | 2d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 9399 Tidwell Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 862 | $982 | $1.14 | 20d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 9399 Tidwell Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 862 | $982 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 9399 Tidwell Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1031 | $1,107 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 8523 Brock Park Blvd Unit 1 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1130 | $1,375 | $1.22 | 5d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 9393 Tidwell Rd Houston, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1135 | $1,244 | $1.10 | 1d | 10 | 1.06mi |
| 8631 Homewood Ln Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 8631 Homewood Ln Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 9110 Tidwell Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 987 | $1,185 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 9110 Tidwell Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 987 | $1,200 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 8602 Wilkins Oaks Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1307 | $1,775 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 8627 Homewood Ln Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 8625 Homewood Ln Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 8623 Homewood Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1150 | $1,850 | $1.61 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 8623 Homewood Ln Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1150 | $1,850 | $1.61 | 18d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 8711 Southwark St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,750 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 9930 Valley Lake Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1385 | $1,795 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 7600 E Houston Rd Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1017 | $1,436 | $1.41 | 13d | 8 | 1.31mi |
| 9222 Hillis St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 9700 Mesa Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 784 | $989 | $1.26 | 2d | 8 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $140,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $140,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $140,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $140,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $140,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $140,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $140,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $140,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-04-08$140,000 Active 157-char remark
Show marketing remark (157 chars)
INVESTORS, INVESTORS. NO HOA. PRICED TO SELL. BEING SOLD AS IS. BRING YOUR OFFERS, WILL NOT LAST LONG. Please verify room dimensions. A Diamond in the rough.
-
2026-04-07historical
-
2025-10-28$140,000 Active
-
1991-05-09soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,786 · $232/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,786 · $232/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,960
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$2,786
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,517
- − Management
- −$1,517
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $526
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$126
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,556/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,247
- Household income
- $39,093
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 780.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% Hispanic / Latino 46% Two or more races 15% White 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 36% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Spanish 41%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.50%
- Current HPI
- 307.0842
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Listed $140,000 HARMLS
- 2026-04-07 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-10-28 Listed $140,000 HARMLS
- 1991-05-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,786 · -4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…