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774 Hillside Ave
C- Composite 51.92
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$299,000

774 Hillside Ave · Berlin, NH 03570
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,030 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1960 8,712 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Lovingly cared for and thoughtfully updated over the years, this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is full of warmth and character. Situated on a spacious double lot, the property offers plenty of room to enjoy the outdoors, garden, or entertain. Step inside to find a well-maintained interior with inviting living spaces and a bright, beautiful 3-season sunroom—perfect for relaxing with your morning coffee or unwinding at the end of the day. The partially finished basement provides additional flexible space for a family room, home office, or hobby area. Enjoy the outdoors from the maintenance-free Trex deck complete with a canopy—ideal for entertaining or relaxing rain or shine. A

Key facts

  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1960

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water on-site; Public sewer; 100 Amp service with circuit breakers; High-speed internet available; Cable available
  • Home design: Ranch-style home; Existing construction; White exterior color; Built in 1960; Shingle (architectural) roof
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Concrete foundation
  • Exterior features: Corner, level lot; Paved driveway; Public maintained road frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric stove
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Oil-fired hot water heat
  • Interior features: 4 total rooms; Basement with interior access and concrete floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $299k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $89 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $280k (6.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $280k (6.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#67 in NH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Berlin School District (town): math 24% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #91 of 98 in NH (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Berlin Elementary School (math 35% / reading 33%, grade F, #188 of 263 statewide, top 71%, 422 students, 62% FRL); Berlin Middle School (math 14% / reading 27%, grade F, #88 of 96 statewide, top 93%, 220 students, 47% FRL); Berlin Senior High School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #82 of 90 statewide, top 91%, 368 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 95 units permitted in Coos County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Coos County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$51k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($295k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $280,000 (6.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
6.65%
Cash-on-cash
1.28%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$185,400
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
191 Norway St 0.47mi 2/1.5 1,020 (-1%) 10mo $250,000 $245 66
263 Sweden St 0.46mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,013 (-2%) 9mo $180,000 $178 63
416 Madison Ave 0.56mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,046 (+2%) 11mo $104,000 $99 57
88 Eight St 0.41mi 2/1.0 962 (-7%) 19mo $187,000 $194 54
474 Madison Ave 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,120 (+9%) 4mo $237,500 $212 52
84 Summer St 0.56mi 2/2.0 1,124 (+9%) 8mo $110,000 $98 48
380 Portland St 0.33mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,166 (+13%) 13mo $210,000 $180 47
402 Norway St 0.64mi 3/2.0 (+1) 990 (-4%) 11mo $177,500 $179 46
29 Jordan Ave 0.29mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,158 (+12%) 22mo $297,000 $256 40
454 Willard St 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,183 (+15%) 13mo $139,900 $118 36
404 Norway St 0.64mi 1/1.0 (-1) 1,144 (+11%) 12mo $168,500 $147 36
4 Sherry St 0.65mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,120 (+9%) 23mo $275,000 $246 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.2%
Equity multiple
3.01×
Total profit
$168,611
Equity at exit
$269,363
10-year hold
IRR
22.2%
Equity multiple
6.88×
Total profit
$492,208
Equity at exit
$580,891

Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Hampshire
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Has just-cause statute; 30-day notice; landlord-leaning vs. neighbors.

ZIP-level market 03570

Home prices YoY
14.3%
Active inventory
102
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,800 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,568
Tax from tax record
$430 /mo · $5,161/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$588
Net cashflow
$89

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,687
Max offer price $299,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $259 -5% $174 +0% $89 +5% $5 +10% $-80
Rent -10% $-132 -5% $-21 +0% $89 +5% $200 +10% $311
Rate -1.0pp $240 -0.5pp $165 base $89 +0.5pp $12 +1.0pp $-67

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,750
Closing costs
$8,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1878 Riverside Dr Berlin, NH 2.0 1.0 1396 $2,800 $2.01 45d 1 1.21mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-04-29
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-03
    listed $299,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,161 · $430/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,840 · $487/mo
Expected delta
+$679/yr (+$57/mo · 13.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,600
− Mortgage interest
−$16,749
− Property taxes
−$5,161
− Insurance
−$1,495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,688
− Management
−$2,688
− Depreciation
−$8,698
Taxable loss
−$3,879
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$931
After-tax cash flow
$2,003/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Berlin School District
NCES district ID
3301860
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$37,494
Composite
22.5/100
National rank
#8095
State rank
#91 of 98 in NH

Livability — Berlin

Score
66/100
State rank
#67
US rank
#11665

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Berlin, NH
City population
9,473
Population (ZIP)
9,473

Population outlook (Coos County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
30,912 people
By 2030
29,872 · -3.4%
By 2040
27,449 · -11.2%
By 2050
25,049 · -19.0%
By 2075
19,584 · -36.6%
By 2100
13,818 · -55.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 21% German 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
88% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Coos

2024 margin
R (+13.8) · D 42.7% · R 56.5%
2008→2024 swing
-32.1pp toward R · 2008: 18.3pp · 2024: -13.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.8 2020: R+5.9 2016: R+9.1 2012: D+17.6 2008: D+18.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 55.16%
Current HPI
440.9127
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Pending PrimeMLS
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $299,000 PrimeMLS

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,161 · +8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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