774 Hillside Ave · Berlin, NH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $507 – $941
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.9/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$299,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Lovingly cared for and thoughtfully updated over the years, this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is full of warmth and character. Situated on a spacious double lot, the property offers plenty of room to enjoy the outdoors, garden, or entertain. Step inside to find a well-maintained interior with inviting living spaces and a bright, beautiful 3-season sunroom—perfect for relaxing with your morning coffee or unwinding at the end of the day. The partially finished basement provides additional flexible space for a family room, home office, or hobby area. Enjoy the outdoors from the maintenance-free Trex deck complete with a canopy—ideal for entertaining or relaxing rain or shine. A
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1960
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water on-site; Public sewer; 100 Amp service with circuit breakers; High-speed internet available; Cable available
- Home design: Ranch-style home; Existing construction; White exterior color; Built in 1960; Shingle (architectural) roof
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Concrete foundation
- Exterior features: Corner, level lot; Paved driveway; Public maintained road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric stove
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Oil-fired hot water heat
- Interior features: 4 total rooms; Basement with interior access and concrete floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $299k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $89 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $280k (6.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $280k (6.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#67 in NH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Berlin School District (town): math 24% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #91 of 98 in NH (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Berlin Elementary School (math 35% / reading 33%, grade F, #188 of 263 statewide, top 71%, 422 students, 62% FRL); Berlin Middle School (math 14% / reading 27%, grade F, #88 of 96 statewide, top 93%, 220 students, 47% FRL); Berlin Senior High School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #82 of 90 statewide, top 91%, 368 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 95 units permitted in Coos County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Coos County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$51k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($295k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.28%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $185,400
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 191 Norway St | 0.47mi | 2/1.5 | 1,020 (-1%) | 10mo | $250,000 | $245 | 66 |
| 263 Sweden St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,013 (-2%) | 9mo | $180,000 | $178 | 63 |
| 416 Madison Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,046 (+2%) | 11mo | $104,000 | $99 | 57 |
| 88 Eight St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 962 (-7%) | 19mo | $187,000 | $194 | 54 |
| 474 Madison Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,120 (+9%) | 4mo | $237,500 | $212 | 52 |
| 84 Summer St | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 | 1,124 (+9%) | 8mo | $110,000 | $98 | 48 |
| 380 Portland St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,166 (+13%) | 13mo | $210,000 | $180 | 47 |
| 402 Norway St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 990 (-4%) | 11mo | $177,500 | $179 | 46 |
| 29 Jordan Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,158 (+12%) | 22mo | $297,000 | $256 | 40 |
| 454 Willard St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,183 (+15%) | 13mo | $139,900 | $118 | 36 |
| 404 Norway St | 0.64mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 1,144 (+11%) | 12mo | $168,500 | $147 | 36 |
| 4 Sherry St | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,120 (+9%) | 23mo | $275,000 | $246 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.01×
- Total profit
- $168,611
- Equity at exit
- $269,363
- IRR
- 22.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.88×
- Total profit
- $492,208
- Equity at exit
- $580,891
Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Hampshire
- 56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 03570
- Home prices YoY
- 14.3%
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,800 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,568
- Tax from tax record
- −$430 /mo · $5,161/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$588
- Net cashflow
- $89
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $259 | -5% $174 | +0% $89 | +5% $5 | +10% $-80 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-132 | -5% $-21 | +0% $89 | +5% $200 | +10% $311 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $240 | -0.5pp $165 | base $89 | +0.5pp $12 | +1.0pp $-67 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,750
- Closing costs
- $8,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1878 Riverside Dr Berlin, NH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1396 | $2,800 | $2.01 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-29status Pending
-
2026-04-03$299,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,161 · $430/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,840 · $487/mo
- Expected delta
- +$679/yr (+$57/mo · 13.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,749
- − Property taxes
- −$5,161
- − Insurance
- −$1,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,688
- − Management
- −$2,688
- − Depreciation
- −$8,698
- Taxable loss
- −$3,879
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$931
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,003/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Berlin School District
- NCES district ID
- 3301860
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,494
- Composite
- 22.5/100
- National rank
- #8095
- State rank
- #91 of 98 in NH
Livability — Berlin
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #67
- US rank
- #11665
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Berlin, NH
- City population
- 9,473
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,473
Population outlook (Coos County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 30,912 people
- By 2030
- 29,872 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 27,449 · -11.2%
- By 2050
- 25,049 · -19.0%
- By 2075
- 19,584 · -36.6%
- By 2100
- 13,818 · -55.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 21% German 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Coos
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.8) · D 42.7% · R 56.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.1pp toward R · 2008: 18.3pp · 2024: -13.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.8 2020: R+5.9 2016: R+9.1 2012: D+17.6 2008: D+18.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 55.16%
- Current HPI
- 440.9127
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Pending — PrimeMLS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $299,000 PrimeMLS
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $5,161 · +8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…