4018 Highland Ave · Salamanca, NY 14779

$149,000

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,218 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market

Built 1950 1.90 ac lot Est $117k · 27% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +27.1/30.0
• DSCR +9.4/10.0
• Appreciation +7.3/10.0
• 1% rule +6.9/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Schools +3.0/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0

Listing remarks

Nestled in a serene, park-like setting of nearly 2 acres, this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom Cape Cod-style home is situated on nearly 2 acres with mature maple and fir trees offering both shade and privacy. Located in Great Valley with a Salamanca mailing address, this home is perfect for those seeking a peaceful retreat while still being conveniently located to both Salamanca and Ellicottville. The home features a spacious and inviting sunroom, currently used as a family room, where natural light floods the space and brings the beauty of the outdoors inside. The home's classic layout includes three bedrooms, two full bathrooms, and a cozy living area. The basement includes one full bathr

Key facts

• Park-like setting
• Spacious sunroom
• 1.9 acre lot

Tags

• PARK-LIKE SETTING
• SPACIOUS SUNROOM
• OUTBUILDINGS FOR STORAGE

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $149k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $423 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 71/100 on livability (#380 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, amenities F.
• Salamanca City School District (town): math 29% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #560 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 27 active listings in the ZIP; 128 units permitted in Cattaraugus County in 2024 (21 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (4.5% local appreciation)).
• Cattaraugus County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (4.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $149,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.19% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.70%
• Cash-on-cash: 12.17%
• DSCR: 1.54
• GRM: 7.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $116,928
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
60 Cleveland Ave	0.70mi	3/1.5	1,356 (+11%)	5mo	$130,000	$96	44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.52% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 22.3%
• Equity multiple: 2.37×
• Total profit: $57,266
• Equity at exit: $80,164

10-year hold

• IRR: 22.1%
• Equity multiple: 4.64×
• Total profit: $151,846
• Equity at exit: $134,942

Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 14779

• Home prices YoY: 1.4%
• Active inventory: 27
• Price-to-rent: 7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,774 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$781
• Tax from tax record: −$135 /mo · $1,622/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$373
• Net cashflow: $423

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,239

Max offer price $149,000

Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,250
• Closing costs: $4,470
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2024-10-21
   status Pending
2. 2024-10-11
   listed $149,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,622 · $135/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,070 · $173/mo
• Expected delta: +$448/yr (+$37/mo · 27.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥90°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,291
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,346
• − Property taxes: −$1,622
• − Insurance: −$745
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,703
• − Management: −$1,703
• − Depreciation: −$4,335
• Taxable income: $2,837
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$681
• After-tax cash flow: $4,396/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Salamanca City School District
• NCES district ID: 3625440
• Math proficiency: 29% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 43% ▲ 5.00%
• Median HH income: $33,251
• Composite: 29.52/100
• National rank: #6500
• State rank: #560 of 590 in NY

Livability — Salamanca

• Score: 71/100
• State rank: #380
• US rank: #6521

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 6,791

Population outlook (Cattaraugus County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 71,623 people
• By 2030: 67,751 · -5.4%
• By 2040: 59,488 · -16.9%
• By 2050: 51,601 · -28.0%
• By 2075: 35,025 · -51.1%
• By 2100: 21,243 · -70.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (68%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 68% Native American 18% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 9% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Cattaraugus

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+32.8) · D 33.6% · R 66.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -22.2pp toward R · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -32.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+32.8 2020: R+29.5 2016: R+34.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 4.52%
• Current HPI: 320.5286
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2024-10-21 Pending — UNYREIS
• 2024-10-11 Listed $149,000 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+5.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,622 · +49.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.