704 Dashwood Dr · Wylie, TX
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Cozy 3-Bedroom, 2-Bathroom Home Waiting for New Owners! This charming home is ready for you to move in and start enjoying all the comforts it has to offer. Whether you're relaxing in the spacious living areas or unwinding in the comfortable bedrooms, this cozy residence is perfect for creating new memories. Don't miss the opportunity to make this lovely house your new home! All offers must be submitted at vrmproperties must register as a User, enter the property address, and click on “Start Offer”. 2) This property may qualify for Seller (Vendee). 3) Seller's name is Secretary of Veterans Affairs. Seller DOES NOT pay customary closing costs: including title policy, escrow fees,
Key facts
- 6,316 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2021
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $60 ($716/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $145k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.0% in Wylie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#419 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Princeton ISD (suburban): math 51% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #188 of 826 in TX (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Mayfield El (609 students, 73% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 56% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 1404 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,194 units permitted in Collin County in 2024 (3,988 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Collin County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 232 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $78k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 8→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 232 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.55%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $232,632
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5430 Longshadow Dr | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,436 (0%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $143 | 97 |
| 628 Dashwood Dr | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,407 (-2%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $174 | 93 |
| 5313 Vinebrook Way | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,407 (-2%) | 5mo | $215,000 | $153 | 86 |
| 528 Autumnwood Way | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,504 (+5%) | 3mo | $240,000 | $160 | 79 |
| 416 Ardsley Ln | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,438 (+0%) | 0mo | $259,000 | $180 | 74 |
| 122 Autumn Sage Ln | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,438 (+0%) | 3mo | $230,000 | $160 | 68 |
| 5300 County Road 437 | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,514 (+5%) | 0mo | $399,000 | $264 | 65 |
| 6110 Pinion Trl | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 | 1,419 (-1%) | 1mo | $229,990 | $162 | 64 |
| 5125 Greywing Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,602 (+12%) | 4mo | $320,000 | $200 | 57 |
| 713 Stallings Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,625 (+13%) | 4mo | $270,000 | $166 | 56 |
| 4925 Woodloch Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,596 (+11%) | 5mo | $259,000 | $162 | 53 |
| 6100 Pinion Trl | 0.68mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,549 (+8%) | 1mo | $237,490 | $153 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-28,495
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- -21.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.10×
- Total profit
- $-41,352
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75407
- Home prices YoY
- -30.3%
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 1404
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,984 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$532 /mo · $6,382/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$42
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$417
- Net cashflow
- $60
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $153 | -5% $106 | +0% $60 | +5% $13 | +10% $-34 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-97 | -5% $-19 | +0% $60 | +5% $138 | +10% $216 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $143 | -0.5pp $102 | base $60 | +0.5pp $17 | +1.0pp $-27 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 617 Dashwood Dr Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,619 | $1.12 | 3d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 5322 Longshadow Dr Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1407 | $1,899 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 5322 Longshadow Dr Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1407 | $1,699 | $1.21 | 2d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 5324 Vinebrook Way Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1262 | $1,695 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 718 Trestle Dr Princeton, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1012 | $1,750 | $1.73 | 17d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 510 Olmstead Dr Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $2,395 | $1.90 | 6d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 5318 Curwood Dr Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,650 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 5405 Lavender Dr Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1675 | $1,900 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 5405 Lavender Dr Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1675 | $1,900 | $1.13 | 25d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 5213 Longshadow Dr Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $2,035 | $1.62 | 6d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 404 Dewberry St Princeton, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1674 | $1,850 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 427 Ashbrook Way Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1482 | $1,800 | $1.21 | 4d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 320 Dewberry St Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1481 | $1,745 | $1.18 | 13d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 411 Ashbrook Way Princeton, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1675 | $1,995 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 330 Ashbrook Way Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1479 | $1,800 | $1.22 | 19d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 403 Ashbrook Way Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1485 | $1,849 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 403 Ashbrook Way Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1485 | $1,749 | $1.18 | 6d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 5808 Cherry Hollow Way Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,749 | $1.39 | 18d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 318 Mahogany Ln Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1479 | $1,800 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 5105 Greywing Dr Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1438 | $1,895 | $1.32 | 18d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 5119 Winterberry Dr Princeton, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1838 | $2,135 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 5847 Rock Maple Dr Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1481 | $1,785 | $1.21 | 8d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 5847 Rock Maple Dr Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1481 | $1,785 | $1.21 | 17d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 5836 Crystal Water Way Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1481 | $1,799 | $1.21 | 6d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 524 Hackney Dr Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,900 | $1.19 | 25d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 136 Honeysuckle St Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1267 | $1,700 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 605 Merriam Dr Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1596 | $2,250 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 128 Honeysuckle St Princeton, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1675 | $2,200 | $1.31 | 19d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 5504 Rockrose Ln Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1479 | $1,999 | $1.35 | 5d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 119 Cypress Ln Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,750 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 501 Merriam Dr Princeton, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1838 | $2,500 | $1.36 | 19d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 4912 Ascot Way Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1801 | $2,050 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 122 Lemongrass Dr Princeton, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1674 | $1,955 | $1.17 | 6d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 705 Alden Dr Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1596 | $2,100 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 252 Ardsley Ln Princeton, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1838 | $2,000 | $1.09 | 3d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 252 Ardsley Ln Princeton, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1838 | $2,000 | $1.09 | 17d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4812 Sagerun Dr Princeton, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1838 | $2,099 | $1.14 | 3d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 725 Alden Dr Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1596 | $2,099 | $1.32 | 12d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 228 Rubylace Dr Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $1,700 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 5644 Rockrose Ln Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1262 | $1,800 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $42 · $504/yr
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-01-29status Pending
-
2026-01-15historical Active Option Contract
-
2025-12-24price $165,000
-
2025-11-28price $195,000
-
2025-09-27price $199,000
-
2025-08-18price $215,000
-
2025-07-18price $229,000
-
2025-06-09$242,750 Active
-
2024-11-30historical
-
2024-09-21historical Active Option Contract
-
2024-08-22price $274,000
-
2024-08-08price $274,499
-
2024-07-22price $274,500
-
2024-06-26price $274,999
-
2024-06-19price $275,000
-
2024-05-24price $278,999
-
2024-05-09price $279,000
-
2024-05-04status Active
-
2024-04-22historical Active Option Contract
-
2024-04-16price $279,999
-
2024-04-01price $280,000
-
2024-03-26price $284,000
-
2024-01-29price $284,999
-
2024-01-10$285,000 Active
-
2023-08-02$299,999 Active
-
2022-10-11soldstatus
-
2022-10-07status Pending
-
2022-10-07soldstatus Closed
-
2022-09-07historical Active Option Contract
-
2022-09-05price $314,999
-
2022-09-02$315,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,382 · $532/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,382 · $532/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 8 d/yr ≥110°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,811
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$6,382
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,905
- − Management
- −$1,905
- − HOA
- −$504
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable loss
- −$1,753
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$421
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,137/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Princeton ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4835850
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,827
- Composite
- 42.44/100
- National rank
- #3226
- State rank
- #188 of 826 in TX
Livability — Wylie
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #419
- US rank
- #8623
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Collin County · 1,159,394 people
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,171
- Household income
- $100,037
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 368.0
Population outlook (Collin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,210,074 people
- By 2030
- 1,358,201 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 1,654,061 · +36.7%
- By 2050
- 1,937,359 · +60.1%
- By 2075
- 2,567,039 · +112.1%
- By 2100
- 2,952,048 · +144.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Hispanic / Latino 30% Black 17% Two or more races 10% Asian 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, China, Mexico
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 22% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Collin
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.1) · D 43.1% · R 54.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.4pp toward D · 2008: -25.6pp · 2024: -11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.1 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+31.6 2008: R+25.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -103.99%
- Current HPI
- 238.9373
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.02%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-47.6% since first listed31 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-29 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-01-15 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2025-12-24 Price Changed $165,000 NTREIS
- 2025-11-28 Price Changed $195,000 NTREIS
- 2025-09-27 Price Changed $199,000 NTREIS
- 2025-08-18 Price Changed $215,000 NTREIS
- 2025-07-18 Price Changed $229,000 NTREIS
- 2025-06-09 Listed $242,750 NTREIS
- 2024-11-30 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2024-09-21 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2024-08-22 Price Changed $274,000 NTREIS
- 2024-08-08 Price Changed $274,499 NTREIS
- 2024-07-22 Price Changed $274,500 NTREIS
- 2024-06-26 Price Changed $274,999 NTREIS
- 2024-06-19 Price Changed $275,000 NTREIS
- 2024-05-24 Price Changed $278,999 NTREIS
- 2024-05-09 Price Changed $279,000 NTREIS
- 2024-05-04 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2024-04-22 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2024-04-16 Price Changed $279,999 NTREIS
- 2024-04-01 Price Changed $280,000 NTREIS
- 2024-03-26 Price Changed $284,000 NTREIS
- 2024-01-29 Price Changed $284,999 NTREIS
- 2024-01-10 Listed $285,000 NTREIS
- 2023-08-02 Listed $299,999 NTREIS
- 2022-10-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-10-07 Pending — NTREIS
- 2022-10-07 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2022-09-07 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2022-09-05 Price Changed $314,999 NTREIS
- 2022-09-02 Listed $315,000 NTREIS
Property tax history
+77.3%/yrLatest (2025): $6,382 · -4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…