🏷️ Likely Rental
921 Caroline St Unit 2 units · Thibodaux, LA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 Buildings for sale on the corner of Caroline and Bradford. First building is a rent house (1079 square ft living 2 bed 2 bath). It is currently occupied by a long term tenant and collects $750 per month. The driveway next to first house is shared for additional parking (see map and sketch). The second building is connected via the back porch (1601 square ft). Second building is currently being used as storage and contains a kitchen area and 1/2 bathroom. Tons of rental potential in the 2nd building. There is an additional storage shed connected to the 2nd building that is sizeable-not included in the attached sketch. Listing agent is Owner/Agent.
Key facts
- Kitchen area
- Shared driveway
- 5,270 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $139k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $103 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $135k (3.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $131k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.8% in Thibodaux — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#2 in LA, #723 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment F.
- Lafourche Parish (other): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #22 of 98 in LA (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 513 active listings in the ZIP; 319 units permitted in Lafourche Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.19%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $192,716
- List price
- $139,000
- Delta
- -27.87%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 202 East 8th St | 0.35mi | 2/3.0 | 2,404 (-10%) | 23mo | $200,000 | $83 | 45 |
| 306 E 2nd St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,353 (-12%) | 1mo | $320,000 | $136 | 40 |
| 404 Menard St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,322 (-13%) | 10mo | $315,000 | $136 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.9% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-16,056
- Equity at exit
- $20,725
- IRR
- -2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-5,975
- Equity at exit
- $12,018
Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70301
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 513
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,347 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$729
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$174 /mo · $2,085/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$283
- Net cashflow
- $103
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,750
- Closing costs
- $4,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $139,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $139,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $139,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $139,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $139,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-03-22$139,000 Active 656-char remark
Show marketing remark (656 chars)
2 Buildings for sale on the corner of Caroline and Bradford. First building is a rent house (1079 square ft living 2 bed 2 bath). It is currently occupied by a long term tenant and collects $750 per month. The driveway next to first house is shared for additional parking (see map and sketch). The second building is connected via the back porch (1601 square ft). Second building is currently being used as storage and contains a kitchen area and 1/2 bathroom. Tons of rental potential in the 2nd building. There is an additional storage shed connected to the 2nd building that is sizeable-not included in the attached sketch. Listing agent is Owner/Agent.
-
2026-03-22$139,000 Active 656-char remark
Show marketing remark (656 chars)
2 Buildings for sale on the corner of Caroline and Bradford. First building is a rent house (1079 square ft living 2 bed 2 bath). It is currently occupied by a long term tenant and collects $750 per month. The driveway next to first house is shared for additional parking (see map and sketch). The second building is connected via the back porch (1601 square ft). Second building is currently being used as storage and contains a kitchen area and 1/2 bathroom. Tons of rental potential in the 2nd building. There is an additional storage shed connected to the 2nd building that is sizeable-not included in the attached sketch. Listing agent is Owner/Agent.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,161
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,786
- − Property taxes
- −$2,085
- − Insurance
- −$695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,293
- − Management
- −$1,293
- − Depreciation
- −$4,044
- Taxable loss
- −$1,034
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$248
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,489/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This property requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen and bathrooms, paint the exterior and interior, and replace awnings. These updates would significantly increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of replacement
- Moderate kitchen appliances — dated and in need of replacement
- Moderate bathroom fixtures — dated and in need of replacement
- Moderate bathroom tile — dated and in need of replacement
- Moderate exterior siding — weathered and in need of repainting
- Moderate exterior awnings — weathered and in need of replacement
- Moderate interior paint — dated and in need of fresh paint
Value-add opportunities
- Both update kitchen and bathrooms — modernizing the kitchen and bathrooms would significantly increase both resale and rental value
- Both paint exterior and replace awnings — updating the exterior would improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value
- Both paint interior and replace window treatments — updating the interior would improve the home's appearance and increase both resale and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| kitchen appliances · dated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · dated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom tile · dated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| exterior siding · weathered and in need of repainting | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| exterior awnings · weathered and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| interior paint · dated and in need of fresh paint | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 7 items | $21,000–105,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both update kitchen and bathrooms — modernizing the kitchen and bathrooms would significantly increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both paint exterior and replace awnings — updating the exterior would improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both paint interior and replace window treatments — updating the interior would improve the home's appearance and increase both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafourche Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200900
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -43.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,703
- Composite
- 34.4/100
- National rank
- #5205
- State rank
- #22 of 98 in LA
Livability — Thibodaux
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #2
- US rank
- #723
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Thibodaux, LA
- County
- Lafourche Parish · 50,095 people
- City population
- 50,095
- Metro
- Houma-Thibodaux, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,095
- Household income
- $58,394
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1513.0
Population outlook (Lafourche County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 102,122 people
- By 2030
- 103,361 · +1.2%
- By 2040
- 104,401 · +2.2%
- By 2050
- 102,795 · +0.7%
- By 2075
- 95,599 · -6.4%
- By 2100
- 82,303 · -19.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 18% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafourche
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.1) · D 18.4% · R 80.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.1pp toward R · 2008: -46.0pp · 2024: -62.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.1 2020: R+60.3 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+48.5 2008: R+46.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.35%
- Current HPI
- 124.5559
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- Metro
- Houma-Thibodaux, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-22 Listed $139,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-03-22 Listed $139,000 AcadianaMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…