205 Shalimar Dr · Long Beach, MS 39560

$99,900

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,148 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 22 Days on market

Built 1967 0.39 ac lot Est $168k · 40% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.3/10.0
• Schools +4.4/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +3.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Come enjoy the large lot with shaded back yard by an impressive oak. This ranch style, brick home has a one car garage. Bring your imagination and complete the repairs to make this home what you envision.

Key facts

• Shaded back yard
• Large lot
• 0.39 acre lot

Tags

• LARGE LOT
• SHADED BACK YARD

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $420 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
• Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 4.6% in Long Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#52 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Long Beach School District (suburban): math 52% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #9 of 130 in MS (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Long Beach Middle School (math 65% / reading 52%, grade B, #10 of 179 statewide, top 5%, 453 students, 99% FRL); Long Beach Senior High School (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #68 of 197 statewide, top 39%, 932 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 43% district-wide (57 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 311 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $98,401 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.43% ✓
• Cap rate: 11.34%
• Cash-on-cash: 18.03%
• DSCR: 1.80
• GRM: 5.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $167,608
• Comps found: 10

Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1114 Leigh St	0.37mi	3/2.0	1,203 (+5%)	4mo	$177,500	$148	70
701 Saratoga Dr	0.32mi	3/1.5	1,174 (+2%)	19mo	$159,000	$135	65
209 Shalimar Dr	0.03mi	3/1.5	1,032 (-10%)	22mo	$100,000	$97	63
6067 Daugherty Rd	0.45mi	3/1.0	1,256 (+9%)	11mo	$200,000	$159	52
606 Saratoga Dr	0.30mi	3/1.5	1,289 (+12%)	18mo	$178,000	$138	51
111 Warwick St	0.44mi	2/1.5 (-1)	1,245 (+8%)	12mo	$199,000	$160	50
7033 Longridge Rd	0.67mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,200 (+4%)	6mo	$175,000	$146	49
1004 Alverado Dr	0.34mi	3/1.5	1,284 (+12%)	20mo	$169,900	$132	48
5587 Daugherty Rd	0.66mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,047 (-9%)	4mo	$159,000	$152	44
5603 Daugherty Rd	0.61mi	3/1.0	1,010 (-12%)	18mo	$127,500	$126	35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.93% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 8.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.32×
• Total profit: $9,085
• Equity at exit: $14,895

10-year hold

• IRR: 16.7%
• Equity multiple: 2.30×
• Total profit: $36,394
• Equity at exit: $8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Mississippi: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 39560

• Home prices YoY: -25.7%
• Rents YoY: 1.9%
• Active inventory: 311
• Price-to-rent: 5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,427 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$524
• Tax from tax record: −$142 /mo · $1,704/yr
• Insurance: −$42
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$300
• Net cashflow: $420

Break-even live

Break-even rent $896

Max offer price $99,900

Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $24,975
• Closing costs: $2,997
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
20029 Sunshine Dr Long Beach, MS	2.0	2.0	879	$1,100	$1.25	43d	1	0.60mi
5596 Daugherty Rd Long Beach, MS	3.0	2.0	1144	$1,300	$1.14	13d	1	0.62mi
18401 28th St Long Beach, MS	1.0–3.0	1.0–3.0	1034	$1,650	$1.60	13d	1	1.21mi

Listing history 2 events

1. 2025-06-28
   status Pending
2. 2025-06-05
   listed $99,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,704 · $142/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,704 · $142/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,129
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,596
• − Property taxes: −$1,704
• − Insurance: −$500
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,370
• − Management: −$1,370
• − Depreciation: −$2,906
• Taxable income: $3,683
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$884
• After-tax cash flow: $4,158/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Long Beach School District
• NCES district ID: 2802670
• Math proficiency: 52% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $50,548
• Composite: 43.68/100
• National rank: #2955
• State rank: #9 of 130 in MS

Livability — Long Beach

• Score: 69/100
• State rank: #52
• US rank: #8554

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Long Beach, MS
• County: Harrison County · 178,171 people
• City population: 18,702
• Metro: Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
• Population (ZIP): 18,702
• Household income: $69,769
• Rent vs Own: 33.7% rent · 66.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 658.0

Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 228,444 people
• By 2030: 241,942 · +5.9%
• By 2040: 267,531 · +17.1%
• By 2050: 291,062 · +27.4%
• By 2075: 346,711 · +51.8%
• By 2100: 378,165 · +65.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (80%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 80% Black 10% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 6% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada, South Korea
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harrison

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -67.49%
• Current HPI: 195.0807
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.93%
• Metro: Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2025-06-28 Pending — MLSU
• 2025-06-05 Listed $99,900 MLSU

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,704 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.