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12 Worthington Ave
B+ Composite 77.25
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,000

12 Worthington Ave · Geneva, NY 14456
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,336 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1920 2,045 sqft lot $67/sqft · 35% below area Est $137k · 35% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

All the major items already done for you: new roof, siding, furnace, hot water heater, sump pump, sewer line to street, sidewalk, fenced in back yard and back porch. New pergo floors in the kitchen and dining room and new stove and microwave. All that is left to do is pick out some new flooring for some of your living space and enjoy this freshly remodeled home. A true must see. Most furniture is included as well. Call to set up your showing.

Key facts

  • Versatile layout
  • Flex space
  • Fenced in backyard

Tags

FENCED IN BACKYARDDEDICATED DINING AREAFLEX SPACEVERSATILE LAYOUTCLOSE TO DOWNTOWN GENEVA

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage; No driveway
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Two-story home; Resale property; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Stone foundation; Vinyl siding exterior
  • Exterior features: Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 30 x 68

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 6 total rooms including living spaces (bedroom count not specified)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Den; Separate/formal dining room; Separate/formal living room; Combined living/dining area; Partial basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $641 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.9% vs local median 5.0% in Geneva — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in NY, #2,760 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, employment D.
  • Geneva City School District (town): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #528 of 590 in NY (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 122 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 284 units permitted in Ontario County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ontario County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $58k; list at $89k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $87,665 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.79%
Cap rate
14.94%
Cash-on-cash
30.89%
DSCR
2.37
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$136,699
List price
$89,000
Delta
-34.89%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5 Cortland St 0.10mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,440 (+8%) 5mo $189,900 $132 73
98 William St 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,464 (+10%) 7mo $87,000 $59 70
16 Goodelle Ter 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,344 (+1%) 0mo $142,500 $106 70
27 Dorchester Ave 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,268 (-5%) 3mo $60,000 $47 69
87 Madison St 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,144 (-14%) 3mo $165,000 $144 65
100 William St 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,512 (+13%) 7mo $145,000 $96 64
151 Hillcrest Ave 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,352 (+1%) 3mo $246,500 $182 64
66 Milton St 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,503 (+12%) 3mo $111,453 $74 62
47 Jefferson Ave 0.27mi 3/1.5 1,152 (-14%) 3mo $185,000 $161 60
61 Tillman St 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,416 (+6%) 7mo $159,000 $112 55
89 Maple St 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,449 (+8%) 8mo $241,000 $166 42
111 Lewis St 0.54mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,470 (+10%) 9mo $172,500 $117 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.7%
Equity multiple
2.06×
Total profit
$26,455
Equity at exit
$13,270
10-year hold
IRR
33.4%
Equity multiple
4.04×
Total profit
$75,738
Equity at exit
$7,695

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14456

Home prices YoY
-15.8%
Active inventory
122
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,590 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax est. 1.5%
$111 /mo · $1,335/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$334
Net cashflow
$641

Break-even live

Break-even rent $779
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $703 -5% $672 +0% $641 +5% $611 +10% $580
Rent -10% $516 -5% $579 +0% $641 +5% $704 +10% $767
Rate -1.0pp $686 -0.5pp $664 base $641 +0.5pp $618 +1.0pp $595

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
300 Sheridan Park Unit 140 Geneva, NY 2.0 1.0 1045 $1,450 $1.39 3d 1 1.03mi
794 Pre Emption Rd Unit 9 Geneva, NY 2.0 1.0 1800 $1,700 $0.94 3d 1 1.19mi
794 Pre Emption Rd Unit 10 Geneva, NY 2.0 1.0 1750 $1,650 $0.94 3d 1 1.19mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    price $89,000 1143-char remark
  2. 2026-05-01
    listed $99,500 Active 1143-char remark
  3. 2017-05-11
    soldstatus $58,000 Closed Sale or Rented 446-char remark
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    All the major items already done for you: new roof, siding, furnace, hot water heater, sump pump, sewer line to street, sidewalk, fenced in back yard and back porch. New pergo floors in the kitchen and dining room and new stove and microwave. All that is left to do is pick out some new flooring for some of your living space and enjoy this freshly remodeled home. A true must see. Most furniture is included as well. Call to set up your showing.

  4. 2017-05-11
    soldstatus $58,000
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    All the major items already done for you: new roof, siding, furnace, hot water heater, sump pump, sewer line to street, sidewalk, fenced in back yard and back porch. New pergo floors in the kitchen and dining room and new stove and microwave. All that is left to do is pick out some new flooring for some of your living space and enjoy this freshly remodeled home. A true must see. Most furniture is included as well. Call to set up your showing.

  5. 2017-03-31
    status Pending Sale 446-char remark
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    All the major items already done for you: new roof, siding, furnace, hot water heater, sump pump, sewer line to street, sidewalk, fenced in back yard and back porch. New pergo floors in the kitchen and dining room and new stove and microwave. All that is left to do is pick out some new flooring for some of your living space and enjoy this freshly remodeled home. A true must see. Most furniture is included as well. Call to set up your showing.

  6. 2017-01-03
    price $58,500 446-char remark
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    All the major items already done for you: new roof, siding, furnace, hot water heater, sump pump, sewer line to street, sidewalk, fenced in back yard and back porch. New pergo floors in the kitchen and dining room and new stove and microwave. All that is left to do is pick out some new flooring for some of your living space and enjoy this freshly remodeled home. A true must see. Most furniture is included as well. Call to set up your showing.

  7. 2016-09-21
    listed $60,000 Active 446-char remark
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    All the major items already done for you: new roof, siding, furnace, hot water heater, sump pump, sewer line to street, sidewalk, fenced in back yard and back porch. New pergo floors in the kitchen and dining room and new stove and microwave. All that is left to do is pick out some new flooring for some of your living space and enjoy this freshly remodeled home. A true must see. Most furniture is included as well. Call to set up your showing.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,086
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$1,335
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,527
− Management
−$1,527
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$6,678
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,603
After-tax cash flow
$6,094/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Geneva City School District
NCES district ID
3611970
Math proficiency
36% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▲ 11.00%
Median HH income
$44,012
Composite
33.48/100
National rank
#5448
State rank
#528 of 590 in NY

Livability — Geneva

Score
78/100
State rank
#177
US rank
#2760

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Geneva, NY
Population (ZIP)
19,864

Population outlook (Ontario County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
111,230 people
By 2030
111,401 · +0.2%
By 2040
109,535 · -1.5%
By 2050
104,895 · -5.7%
By 2075
92,999 · -16.4%
By 2100
73,723 · -33.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7% Black 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 9%
Common ancestry
Iranian 5% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ontario

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.4% · R 50.6%
2008→2024 swing
-1.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -1.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.2 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.6 2012: R+1.6 2008: R+0.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -57.56%
Current HPI
307.9168
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+48.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $89,000 UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $99,500 UNYREIS
  • 2017-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
  • 2017-05-11 Sold (MLS) $58,000 UNYREIS
  • 2017-03-31 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2017-01-03 Price Changed $58,500 UNYREIS
  • 2016-09-21 Listed $60,000 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+30.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,790 · +15.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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