1591 NE Miami Gardens Dr #103 · Ojus, FL 33179

$315,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 983 sqft · Condo public records · 126 Days on market

Built 1966 $353/mo HOA · 10% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +19.3/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +6.1/10.0
• 1% rule +5.7/10.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Livability +4.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.6/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Well-maintained condo in the desirable Skylake area, conveniently located near shopping centers and public transportation. This spacious unit offers 2 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, a kitchen with stainless steel appliances, and a private balcony with beautiful views. The unit is currently rented for $2,350/month, making it a great income-producing investment. No rental restrictions and low HOA fees of $353. One assigned parking space directly in front of the unit. Community amenities include a pool, gym, and clubroom.

Key facts

• Clubroom
• Private balcony
• Community amenities

Tags

• STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES
• PRIVATE BALCONY
• COMMUNITY AMENITIES
• POOL
• GYM
• CLUBROOM

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Annual tax amount listed (financial details retained separately)
• Financial info: Pets not allowed
• HOA & community: Association fee of $353 monthly; Association covers insurance, pest control, pool(s), and water; Association amenities include a clubhouse and pool

Exterior

• Parking: Assigned parking; Guest parking available; One assigned space
• Security: Smoke detector(s)
• Utilities: Water included in association fee; Electric utilities; Sewer (standard); Has cooling and heating
• Home design: Block construction; 3 stories; Entry level: 1; Resale property
• Construction: Block construction
• Exterior features: Lakefront location; Association pool; Has a view; Smoke detectors

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: Bedroom located on the main level
• Flooring: Tile
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
• Interior features: First-floor entry; Closet cabinetry; Bedroom on main level; Tile flooring

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $315k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $345 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $315k).
• Recommended offer: $277k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 83/100 on livability (#58 in FL, #1,031 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F.
• Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 572 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $3,377/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 3123% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($277k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 6 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $74k; list at $315k implies a 326% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $277,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.07% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.61%
• Cash-on-cash: 4.69%
• DSCR: 1.21
• GRM: 7.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.22% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -12.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.57×
• Total profit: $-38,149
• Equity at exit: $46,968

10-year hold

• IRR: -8.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.55×
• Total profit: $-40,063
• Equity at exit: $27,235

Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33179

• Rents YoY: 0.2%
• Active inventory: 572
• Price-to-rent: 7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,377 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,652
• Tax from tax record: −$187 /mo · $2,244/yr
• Insurance: −$131
• HOA: −$353
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$709
• Net cashflow: $345

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,941

Max offer price $315,000

Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $78,750
• Closing costs: $9,450
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $353 · $4,236/yr
• Likely covers: poolgymparking
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 36 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $315,000 Active 126 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $315,000 Active 125 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $315,000 Active 124 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $315,000 Active 123 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $315,000 Active 121 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $315,000 Active 117 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $315,000 Active 116 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $315,000 Active 115 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $315,000 Active 112 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $315,000 Active 111 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $315,000 Active 110 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $315,000 Active 109 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $315,000 Active 108 DOM
14. 2026-02-12
    listed $315,000 Active
15. 2024-07-07
    historical $2,350
16. 2024-07-05
    historical
17. 2024-05-15
    price $2,350
18. 2024-04-16
    price $2,550
19. 2024-03-06
    price $2,250
20. 2024-02-03
    listed $2,350
21. 2024-01-11
    listed $254,000 Active
22. 2023-11-30
    historical
23. 2023-08-15
    price $254,000
24. 2023-07-31
    listed $258,000 Active
25. 2023-05-31
    historical
26. 2023-02-12
    price $248,000
27. 2023-01-02
    price $250,000
28. 2022-11-02
    price $258,000
29. 2022-10-03
    listed $261,500 Active
30. 2016-12-23
    soldstatus $74,000
31. 2016-10-17
    historical
32. 2016-09-06
    price $115,000
33. 2016-07-12
    listed $120,000 Active
34. 2005-10-08
    soldstatus $178,000
35. 2001-07-10
    soldstatus $42,500
36. 1989-02-17
    soldstatus $32,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,244 · $187/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,614 · $218/mo
• Expected delta: +$371/yr (+$31/mo · 16.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 26% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $40,521
• − Mortgage interest: −$17,645
• − Property taxes: −$2,244
• − Insurance: −$1,575
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,242
• − Management: −$3,242
• − HOA: −$4,236
• − Depreciation: −$9,164
• Taxable loss: −$825
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$198
• After-tax cash flow: $4,332/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Miami-Dade
• NCES district ID: 1200390
• Math proficiency: 45% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 54% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $43,928
• Composite: 41.76/100
• National rank: #3397
• State rank: #40 of 73 in FL

Livability — Ojus

• Score: 83/100
• State rank: #58
• US rank: #1031

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime B+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Ojus, FL
• County: Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• Population (ZIP): 51,591
• Household income: $65,211
• Rent vs Own: 43.3% rent · 56.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 3123.0

Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 3,126,439 people
• By 2030: 3,325,765 · +6.4%
• By 2040: 3,697,561 · +18.3%
• By 2050: 4,012,134 · +28.3%
• By 2075: 4,605,612 · +47.3%
• By 2100: 4,866,598 · +55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 23% White 19% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 6% Dominican 3% Salvadoran 3%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 13% Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 48% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 42% English-only · Spanish 37% French/Haitian/Cajun 13% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade

• 2024 margin: R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -608.34%
• Current HPI: 328.1733
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.22%
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+884.4% since first listed

23 events — show timeline

• 2026-02-12 Listed $315,000 MARMLS
• 2024-07-07 Rental Removed $2,350 MARMLS
• 2024-07-05 Listing Removed — MARMLS
• 2024-05-15 Price Changed $2,350 MARMLS
• 2024-04-16 Price Changed $2,550 MARMLS
• 2024-03-06 Price Changed $2,250 MARMLS
• 2024-02-03 Listed for Rent $2,350 MARMLS
• 2024-01-11 Listed $254,000 MARMLS
• 2023-11-30 Listing Removed — MARMLS
• 2023-08-15 Price Changed $254,000 MARMLS
• 2023-07-31 Listed $258,000 MARMLS
• 2023-05-31 Listing Removed — MARMLS
• 2023-02-12 Price Changed $248,000 MARMLS
• 2023-01-02 Price Changed $250,000 MARMLS
• 2022-11-02 Price Changed $258,000 MARMLS
• 2022-10-03 Listed $261,500 MARMLS
• 2016-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
• 2016-10-17 Listing Removed — MARMLS
• 2016-09-06 Price Changed $115,000 MARMLS
• 2016-07-12 Listed $120,000 MARMLS
• 2005-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $178,000 Public Records
• 2001-07-10 Sold (Public Records) $42,500 Public Records
• 1989-02-17 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,244 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.